WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+29MIN

23-21

72101

MIN

34-10

WNBASun, Sep 14FinalSeriesMIN wins series 4-0

GS · top performer

Cecilia Zandalasini

F · #24

9.6Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

MIN · top performer

Napheesa Collier

F · #24

16.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowGS ↔ MIN

Biggest swing: 7pp · 1st Quarter · 4:15

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
C. ZandalasiniF · #24	30	14	3-10	1-5	7-7	-24	4	2
J. SalaunF · #13	36	13	5-11	3-7	—	-34	6	0
T. FagbenleC · #14	20	12	5-8	0-1	2-4	-9	3	3
K. CharlesG · #6	18	2	1-6	0-1	—	-12	1	1
V. BurtonG · #22	34	14	3-13	3-9	5-5	-28	5	7
Bench
M. BillingsF · #25	4	0	—	—	—	+1	0	0
L. AmihereF · #3	4	0	—	—	—	+5	1	0
I. RupertC · #12	17	0	0-2	0-2	—	-21	3	1
K. MartinG · #20	26	11	2-7	2-6	5-7	-23	2	2
K. ChenG · #2	4	2	1-1	—	—	+5	1	1
C. LeiteG · #0	8	4	0-1	—	4-4	-5	0	0
Team		72	20-59	9-31	23-27		26	17
DNP: T. Hayes

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
B. CarletonF · #6	21	2	0-1	0-1	2-2	+12	3	3
A. SmithF · #8	28	9	2-5	1-4	4-7	+31	6	2
N. CollierF · #24	26	20	7-11	1-3	5-5	+11	6	2
K. McBrideG · #21	26	17	6-10	3-5	2-2	+11	3	1
C. WilliamsG · #10	27	11	4-10	1-2	2-2	+22	4	4
Bench
J. ShepardF · #15	17	12	4-7	—	4-4	+26	8	4
M. KliundikovaF · #77	4	0	0-1	—	—	-5	1	2
C. TaylorF · #20	4	0	0-1	—	—	-5	1	0
A. KosuF · #7	4	6	3-3	—	—	-5	0	0
N. HiedemanG · #2	26	18	7-15	2-7	2-2	+32	3	4
D. CarringtonG · #3	11	6	2-3	2-2	—	+20	0	2
J. SherrodG · #00	4	0	0-1	—	—	-5	1	1
Team		101	35-68	10-24	21-24		36	25

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

20-59

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

35-68

FG %

9-31

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

10-24

23-27

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

21-24

Assists

Turnovers

Playoff series

MIN leads series 1-0

Sep 14

GS72@

MIN101today

Sep 18

MIN75@

GS74

How it ended

MIN beat GS 101-72. N. Collier led with 20 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST. MIN outscored the other side 26-12 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

MIN vs GS

Starters vs bench

production by unit

GSstarters 76% of pts

Starters(5)

55 PTS · 19 REB · 13 AST

GS 30

Bench(6)

17 PTS · 7 REB · 4 AST

GS 11

MINstarters 58% of pts

Starters(5)

59 PTS · 22 REB · 12 AST

GS 52

Bench(7)

42 PTS · 14 REB · 13 AST

GS 40

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

GS1st Quarter · 4:15 · 17-7

+7pp→ 43% WP

Janelle Salaun · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Veronica Burton assists)

GS1st Quarter · 2.3 · 28-21

+6pp→ 38% WP

Janelle Salaun · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Veronica Burton assists)

GS2nd Quarter · 7:30 · 31-25

+7pp→ 39% WP

Veronica Burton · makes 27-foot three point jumper (Iliana Rupert assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
GS	28	12	18	14	72
MIN	21	26	32	22	101

Period scoring

GS won 1 · MIN won 3

Fagbenle 8

McBride 5

Burton 4

McBride 9

Martin 6

Collier 9

Martin 5

Hiedeman 7

MIN

Shooting comparison

MIN

34%

20-59

51%

35-68

29%

9-31

3PT

42%

10-24

85%

23-27

88%

21-24

Play-by-play · 380 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
GS 72·MIN 101
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
GS 72·MIN 101
Q4·4.6
Kaitlyn Chen makes two point shot (Kate Martin assists)
·
GS 72·MIN 101
Q4·13.1
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu makes 3-foot two point shot (Maria Kliundikova assists)
·
GS 70·MIN 101
Q4·36.6
Kate Martin makes free throw 2 of 2
GS 70·MIN 99
Q4·36.6
Golden State Valkyries offensive team rebound
GS 69·MIN 99
Q4·36.6
Kate Martin misses free throw 1 of 2
GS 69·MIN 99
Q4·36.6
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu shooting foul
GS 69·MIN 99
Q4·50.4
Kaitlyn Chen defensive rebound
GS 69·MIN 99
Q4·53.2
Maria Kliundikova misses 16-foot jumper
GS 69·MIN 99
Q4·1:11
Kate Martin makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kaitlyn Chen assists)
·
GS 69·MIN 99
Q4·1:25
Laeticia Amihere defensive rebound
GS 66·MIN 99
Q4·1:30
Natisha Hiedeman misses 29-foot three point jumper
GS 66·MIN 99
Q4·1:39
Jaylyn Sherrod offensive rebound
GS 66·MIN 99
Q4·1:41
Jaylyn Sherrod misses two point shot
GS 66·MIN 99
Q4·1:49
Maria Kliundikova offensive rebound
GS 66·MIN 99
Q4·1:52
Natisha Hiedeman misses 23-foot three point jumper
GS 66·MIN 99
Q4·2:03
Camryn Taylor defensive rebound
GS 66·MIN 99
Q4·2:07
Carla Leite misses 16-foot pullup jump shot
GS 66·MIN 99
Q4·2:20
Golden State Valkyries offensive team rebound
GS 66·MIN 99
Q4·2:21
Kate Martin misses free throw 2 of 2
GS 66·MIN 99
Q4·2:21
Kate Martin makes free throw 1 of 2
GS 66·MIN 99
Q4·2:21
Camryn Taylor shooting foul
GS 65·MIN 99
Q4·2:30
Iliana Rupert defensive rebound
GS 65·MIN 99
Q4·2:33
Camryn Taylor misses 13-foot two point shot
GS 65·MIN 99
Q4·2:53
Carla Leite makes free throw 2 of 2
GS 65·MIN 99
Q4·2:53
Carla Leite makes free throw 1 of 2
GS 64·MIN 99
Q4·2:53
(02:53) [Golden State Valkyries] REF-INITIATED REVIEW (REPLAY SUPPORTS CALL)
GS 63·MIN 99
Q4·2:53
Anastasiia Olairi Kosu personal foul
GS 63·MIN 99
Q4·2:56
Official timeout
GS 63·MIN 99

Recap · WNBA

innesota Lynx held off Golden State Valkyries, 101–72. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

GS20/59 · 34%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim7/13

54%

In the paint2/7

29%

Mid-range2/8

25%

Top-of-arc 37/24

29%

Left corner 31/5

20%

Right corner 31/1

100%

MIN35/68 · 51%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim16/23

70%

In the paint6/10

60%

Mid-range3/11

27%

Top-of-arc 38/17

47%

Left corner 31/4

25%

Right corner 31/2

50%

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

MIN

eFG%

shooting

41.5%

58.8%

TOV%

ball control

18.4%

12.3%

OREB%

offensive glass

10.0%

28.1%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

39.0%

30.9%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 12 players in cohort

Jessica ShepardDAL · F
DRB%.32899
Veronica BurtonGS · G
AST/TO3.797
Kayla McBrideMIN · G
AST/TO2.391
Kaila CharlesGS · G
ORB%.10186
Courtney WilliamsMIN · G
AST/TO2.286

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

GS20/59 · 34%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim7/13

54%

In the paint2/7

29%

Mid-range2/8

25%

Top-of-arc 37/24

29%

Left corner 31/5

20%

Right corner 31/1

100%

MIN35/68 · 51%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim16/23

70%

In the paint6/10

60%

Mid-range3/11

27%

Top-of-arc 38/17

47%

Left corner 31/4

25%

Right corner 31/2

50%

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

72.2%

ensemble · MIN favored

Elo Static
74.2%
P(MIN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
74.9%
P(MIN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
76.8%
P(MIN win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

1.09 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

93% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIN vs GS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

110

projections · 90 high confidence

Points

Kayla McBrideMIN
22.2± 6.2high
Olivia MilesMIN
19.5± 7.8high
Gabby WilliamsGS
14.0± 6.8high

Rebounds

Natasha HowardMIN
7.4± 2.9high
Olivia MilesMIN
5.2± 2.8high
Kiah StokesGS
5.0± 1.9high

Assists

Olivia MilesMIN
6.5± 1.9high
Veronica BurtonGS
5.5± 2.6high
Courtney WilliamsMIN
4.6± 2.1high

Blocks

Kiah StokesGS
1.9± 1.9high
Nia CoffeyMIN
1.2± 1.1high
Dorka JuhaszMIN
1.0± 0.3low

Steals

Kayla McBrideMIN
2.0± 1.5high
Gabby WilliamsGS
1.7± 1.1high
Veronica BurtonGS
1.6± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Team pages

Golden State ValkyriesMinnesota Lynx

Elsewhere in the WNBA

Data via ESPN · wehoop