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FINAL+7NY
NY

NY

27-17

7669
PHX

PHX

27-17

WNBASun, Sep 14FinalSeriesPHX wins series 3-1
Game flowNY PHX

Biggest swing: 26pp · 4th Quarter · 1:14

WNBA · New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final / OT
box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
40187-141-33-5+1664
39104-92-7+1261
3573-71-3+9122
40239-123-62-3+1165
43166-183-121-1+767
Bench
1321-6-1780
100-1+200
1500-50-2-540
Team7630-7210-336-94819
DNP: I. Harrison, S. Talbot, N. Sabally, M. Johannes

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

42

FG %

32

19

Ast

16

Team stats

NY

Away

Stat

PHX

Home

30-72

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

25-77

42

FG %

32

10-33

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

6-26

6-9

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

13-16

10

OR

5

38

DR

26

19

Assists

16

20

Turnovers

10

Playoff series

NY leads series 1-0

Sep 14NYNY76@PHXPHX69today
Sep 18PHXPHX86@NYNY60
Sep 20NYNY73@PHXPHX79

How it ended

NY beat PHX 76-69. N. Cloud led with 23 PTS, 6 REB, 5 AST. Monique Akoa Makani's play in the 4th quarter drove the biggest swing of the night (26pp).

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

PHX vs NY

0255075100Q2Q3Q4OT

Starters vs bench

production by unit
NYNYstarters 97% of pts

Starters(5)

74 PTS · 36 REB · 19 AST

GS 58

Bench(3)

2 PTS · 12 REB · 0 AST

PHXPHXstarters 70% of pts

Starters(5)

48 PTS · 22 REB · 14 AST

GS 23

Bench(3)

21 PTS · 9 REB · 2 AST

GS 21

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
NY4th Quarter · 4:00 · 63-61
+24pp72% WP

Kahleah Copper · out of bounds lost ball turnover

PHX4th Quarter · 2:20 · 63-63
+19pp73% WP

Jonquel Jones · shooting foul

NY4th Quarter · 1:14 · 65-65
+26pp50% WP

Monique Akoa Makani · lost ball turnover (Breanna Stewart steals)

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234OTT
NY172711101176
PHX1330148469

Period scoring

NY won 3 · PHX won 2

17
13

Q1

Jones 5

Copper 4

27
30

Q2

Ionescu 9

Thomas 8

11
14

Q3

Ionescu 3

Bonner 4

10
8

Q4

Cloud 6

Copper 4

11
4

OT

Fiebich 5

Thomas 2

NY
PHX

Shooting comparison

NY
PHX

42%

30-72

FG

32%

25-77

30%

10-33

3PT

23%

6-26

67%

6-9

FT

81%

13-16

Play-by-play · 408 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·0.0

    End of Game

    NY 76·PHX 69

  2. OT·0.0

    End of the 1st Overtime

    NY 76·PHX 69

  3. OT·2.5

    Kennedy Burke offensive rebound

    NY 76·PHX 69

  4. OT·6.1

    Leonie Fiebich misses 24-foot three point jumper

    NY 76·PHX 69

  5. OT·28.4

    DeWanna Bonner lost ball turnover (Natasha Cloud steals)

    ·

    NY 76·PHX 69

    0.8pp

  6. OT·32.3

    Sabrina Ionescu lost ball turnover (Kahleah Copper steals)

    ·

    NY 76·PHX 69

    +0.7pp

  7. OT·39.2

    Jonquel Jones defensive rebound

    NY 76·PHX 69

  8. OT·42.6

    Satou Sabally misses 25-foot three point jumper

    ·

    NY 76·PHX 69

    0.9pp

  9. OT·47.5

    Mercury Full timeout

    NY 76·PHX 69

  10. OT·57.3

    Leonie Fiebich makes 24-foot three point jumper (Natasha Cloud assists)

    ·

    NY 76·PHX 69

    5pp

  11. OT·1:16

    Liberty Full timeout

    NY 73·PHX 69

  12. OT·1:16

    DeWanna Bonner makes two point shot (Satou Sabally assists)

    · ·

    NY 73·PHX 69

    +1pp

  13. OT·1:21

    Natasha Cloud bad pass (Satou Sabally steals)

    · ·

    NY 73·PHX 67

    +2pp

  14. OT·1:41

    Alyssa Thomas makes tip shot

    NY 73·PHX 67

    +1pp

  15. OT·1:41

    Alyssa Thomas offensive rebound

    NY 73·PHX 65

    +0.8pp

  16. OT·1:42

    Jonquel Jones blocks Monique Akoa Makani 's 4-foot two point shot

    ·

    NY 73·PHX 65

    1pp

  17. OT·1:51

    Natasha Cloud makes free throw 2 of 2

    NY 73·PHX 65

  18. OT·1:51

    Liberty offensive team rebound

    NY 72·PHX 65

    +0.5pp

  19. OT·1:51

    Natasha Cloud misses free throw 1 of 2

    NY 72·PHX 65

    +0.6pp

  20. OT·1:51

    Kahleah Copper shooting foul

    NY 72·PHX 65

    2pp

  21. OT·2:07

    Kennedy Burke enters the game for Breanna Stewart

    ·

    NY 72·PHX 65

  22. OT·2:07

    Alyssa Thomas out of bounds bad pass turnover

    NY 72·PHX 65

    2pp

  23. OT·2:07

    Alyssa Thomas offensive rebound

    NY 72·PHX 65

    +1pp

  24. OT·2:11

    Monique Akoa Makani misses 17-foot pullup jump shot

    NY 72·PHX 65

    2pp

  25. OT·2:20

    Leonie Fiebich makes 1-foot layup (Sabrina Ionescu assists)

    ·

    NY 72·PHX 65

    3pp

  26. OT·2:38

    Jonquel Jones defensive rebound

    NY 70·PHX 65

    1pp

  27. OT·2:41

    Satou Sabally misses 15-foot pullup jump shot

    ·

    NY 70·PHX 65

    5pp

  28. OT·2:59

    Satou Sabally defensive rebound

    ·

    NY 70·PHX 65

  29. OT·3:01

    Breanna Stewart misses free throw 1 of 1BIG MOMENT

    NY 70·PHX 65

    +7pp

  30. OT·3:01

    Liberty Full timeout

    NY 70·PHX 65

Recap · WNBA

ew York Liberty went into Phoenix Mercury and beat them, 76–69 in overtime.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP
NYNY30/72 · 42%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim10/17
59%
In the paint7/14
50%
Mid-range3/8
38%
Top-of-arc 37/23
30%
Left corner 31/3
33%
Right corner 32/7
29%
PHXPHX25/77 · 32%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim12/26
46%
In the paint5/16
31%
Mid-range2/9
22%
Top-of-arc 36/22
27%
Left corner 30/2
0%
Right corner 30/1
0%

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

NYNY
PHXPHX

eFG%

shooting

48.6%
36.4%

TOV%

ball control

20.8%
10.6%

OREB%

offensive glass

27.8%
11.6%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

8.3%
16.9%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 players in cohort
  • Natasha MackPHX · F
    TS%.70899+
  • Kahleah CopperPHX · G
    USG%.30599
  • Jonquel JonesNY · C
    DRB%.27493
  • Breanna StewartNY · F
    USG%.28091
  • Alyssa ThomasPHX · F
    AST/TO2.389

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP
NYNY30/72 · 42%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim10/17
59%
In the paint7/14
50%
Mid-range3/8
38%
Top-of-arc 37/23
30%
Left corner 31/3
33%
Right corner 32/7
29%
PHXPHX25/77 · 32%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim12/26
46%
In the paint5/16
31%
Mid-range2/9
22%
Top-of-arc 36/22
27%
Left corner 30/2
0%
Right corner 30/1
0%

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

52.6%

ensemble · PHX favored

  • Elo Static

    59.9%

    P(PHX win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    58.2%

    P(PHX win)

    34%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    55.2%

    P(PHX win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

1.94 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

87% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PHX vs NY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 70 high confidence

Points

  • Breanna StewartNY
    22.8± 8.7high
  • Kahleah CopperPHX
    20.2± 8.1high
  • Sabrina IonescuNY
    18.8± 6.4high

Rebounds

  • Jonquel JonesNY
    9.6± 3.2high
  • Breanna StewartNY
    8.8± 2.8high
  • Alyssa ThomasPHX
    7.5± 2.7high

Assists

  • Alyssa ThomasPHX
    8.3± 3.9high
  • Sabrina IonescuNY
    4.7± 1.6high
  • Breanna StewartNY
    3.6± 2.7high

Blocks

  • Breanna StewartNY
    1.6± 1.1high
  • Natasha MackPHX
    1.1± 0.9high
  • Jonquel JonesNY
    1.0± 0.7high

Steals

  • Alyssa ThomasPHX
    1.4± 1.3high
  • Breanna StewartNY
    1.3± 1.4high
  • Leonie FiebichNY
    1.2± 1.1medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · wehoop