Aug 21, 25sim 92
1656
18(H)67
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+6SEA
SEA
18-18
9488
CHI
8-26
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
eattle Storm went into Chicago Sky and beat them, 94–88.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
SEA · top performer
Skylar Diggins
G · #4
22.5Game score
24
Pts
1
Reb
6
Ast
CHI · top performer
Angel Reese
F · #5
14.3Game score
19
Pts
7
Reb
4
Ast
WNBA · Seattle Storm at Chicago Sky · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
SEA18-18
9488
CHI8-26
SEA18-18CHI8-26
SEA
18-18
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 33 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +9 | |
| 35 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +13 | |
| 28 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2 | |
| 32 | 24 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +8 | |
| 30 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5 | |
USG%.28786 AST/TO1.857 TS%.54843 | ||||||||
| 19 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +5 | |
| 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -9 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +11 | |
| Team | 94 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 12 | ||
| DNP: K. Samuelson, M. Holmes, L. Brown, Z. Cooke | ||||||||
CHI
8-26
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -17 | |
| 26 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | |
| 26 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -8 | |
| 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -16 | |
| 34 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | |
| 28 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -5 | |
| 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | |
| 14 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | |
| 25 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +8 | |
| Team | 88 | 30 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 12 | ||
| DNP: M. Westbeld, C. Vandersloot, H. Van Lith | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
50
FG %
47
21
Ast
30
Season series
SEA wins series 3-0
Jul 25SEA95@CHI57
SEA95@CHI57Aug 20SEA94@CHI88today
SEA94@CHI88todayAug 31CHI69@SEA79
CHI69@SEA79Headlines · top performers
Game flowSEA ↔ CHI
Biggest swing: 15pp · 1st Quarter · 3:54
SEAS. Diggins
GGame leader · 32 min
24 PTS · 1 REB · 6 AST
CHIA. Reese
FGame leader · 26 min
19 PTS · 7 REB · 4 AST
How it ended
SEA beat CHI 94-88. S. Diggins led with 24 PTS, 1 REB, 6 AST. SEA outscored the other side 26-14 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs SEA
Starters vs bench
production by unitSEAstarters 82% of ptsStarters(5)
77 PTS · 23 REB · 21 AST
GS 71
Bench(3)
17 PTS · 9 REB · 0 AST
GS 12
CHIstarters 60% of ptsStarters(5)
53 PTS · 20 REB · 20 AST
GS 42
Bench(4)
35 PTS · 10 REB · 10 AST
GS 32
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactSEA1st Quarter · 3:54 · 12-11
+10pp→ 70% WP
Gabby Williams · enters the game for Skylar Diggins
SEA1st Quarter · 3:54 · 12-11
+15pp→ 70% WP
Rebecca Allen · enters the game for Michaela Onyenwere
CHI2nd Quarter · 8:36 · 24-25
+7pp→ 38% WP
Rachel Banham · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Elizabeth Williams assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 20 | 26 | 20 | 28 | 94 |
| CHI | 20 | 14 | 16 | 38 | 88 |
Period scoring
SEA won 2 · CHI won 1
20
20
Q1
Diggins 6
Cardoso 6
26
14
Q2
Ogwumike 7
Uzun 5
20
16
Q3
Diggins 9
Reese 6
28
38
Q4
Ogwumike 10
Nurse 13
SEA
CHI
Shooting comparison
SEA
CHI
50%
34-68
FG
47%
36-77
36%
8-22
3PT
50%
8-16
78%
18-23
FT
80%
8-10
Play-by-play · 385 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
SEA 94·CHI 88
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
SEA 94·CHI 88
- Q4·0.0
(00:00) [Storm] REF-INITIATED REVIEW (REPLAY SUPPORTS CALL)
SEA 94·CHI 88
- Q4·0.0
Ariel Atkins makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kia Nurse assists)
·
SEA 94·CHI 88
- Q4·9.6
Skylar Diggins makes free throw 2 of 2
SEA 94·CHI 85
- Q4·9.6
Skylar Diggins makes free throw 1 of 2
SEA 93·CHI 85
- Q4·9.6
Angel Reese personal take foul
SEA 92·CHI 85
- Q4·10.7
Kia Nurse lost ball turnover (Brittney Sykes steals)
·
SEA 92·CHI 85
−0.5pp
- Q4·15.0
Sky Full timeout
SEA 92·CHI 85
- Q4·15.0
Skylar Diggins makes free throw 2 of 2
SEA 92·CHI 85
- Q4·15.0
Storm offensive team rebound
SEA 91·CHI 85
- Q4·15.0
Skylar Diggins misses free throw 1 of 2
SEA 91·CHI 85
- Q4·15.0
Elizabeth Williams personal take foul
·
SEA 91·CHI 85
−0.7pp
- Q4·17.6
Storm Full timeout
SEA 91·CHI 85
- Q4·17.6
Kia Nurse makes 25-foot three point jumper (Angel Reese assists)
·
SEA 91·CHI 85
+0.6pp
- Q4·21.1
Ezi Magbegor enters the game for Dominique Malonga
·
SEA 91·CHI 82
- Q4·21.1
Sky Full timeout
SEA 91·CHI 82
- Q4·21.1
Angel Reese defensive rebound
SEA 91·CHI 82
- Q4·21.4
Dominique Malonga misses free throw 1 of 1
SEA 91·CHI 82
- Q4·21.4
Angel Reese shooting foul
SEA 91·CHI 82
- Q4·21.4
Dominique Malonga makes two point shot
SEA 91·CHI 82
- Q4·21.4
Dominique Malonga offensive rebound
SEA 89·CHI 82
−0.7pp
- Q4·23.4
Gabby Williams misses 24-foot three point jumper
·
SEA 89·CHI 82
+0.5pp
- Q4·29.5
Dominique Malonga enters the game for Ezi Magbegor
·
SEA 89·CHI 82
- Q4·29.5
Elizabeth Williams enters the game for Rebecca Allen
· ·
SEA 89·CHI 82
- Q4·29.5
Storm timeout
SEA 89·CHI 82
- Q4·29.5
Kia Nurse makes 26-foot three point jumper (Sevgi Uzun assists)
·
SEA 89·CHI 82
- Q4·35.5
Rebecca Allen enters the game for Elizabeth Williams
· ·
SEA 89·CHI 79
- Q4·35.5
Sky timeout
SEA 89·CHI 79
- Q4·35.7
Nneka Ogwumike makes 25-foot three point jumper (Gabby Williams assists)
· ·
SEA 89·CHI 79
Team stats
SEA
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
34-68
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
36-77
50
FG %
47
8-22
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
8-16
18-23
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
8-10
21
Assists
30
12
Turnovers
12
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 14 players in cohort
Brittney SykesTOR · GUSG%.28786
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · SEA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs SEA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
95
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Dominique MalongaSEA13.6± 9.4low
- Skylar DigginsCHI13.3± 9.9low
Rebounds
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Dominique MalongaSEA7.6± 3.0low
- Mackenzie HolmesSEA5.0± 3.8low
Assists
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.4± 4.7low
- Jade MelbourneSEA3.9± 2.1low
Blocks
- Dominique MalongaSEA1.4± 1.5low
- Flau'jae JohnsonSEA1.3± 1.8low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
Steals
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jade MelbourneSEA1.2± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
SEA
league avg
CHI
41.6%
FG%
◀
44.7
41.1%
34.1%
3PT %
◀
32.6
25.9%
79.5
PPG
85.4
▶82.8
17.0
Assists / G
18.0
▶19.3
13.6
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶11.0