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FINAL+1BOS
BOS

BOS

42-24-8

43
CBJ

CBJ

38-24-12

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSun, Mar 29FinalSeriesBOS leads series 2-0VegasCBJ -162

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 4–3.

BOS +1.5 cashed (CBJ lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

BOS · top performer

BOS
Viktor Arvidsson

Viktor Arvidsson

LW · #71

3Points

0

G

3

A

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

CBJ
Kirill Marchenko

Kirill Marchenko

RW · #86

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Boston Bruins at Columbus Blue Jackets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
4
3
BOS42-24-8CBJ38-24-12
BOS

BOS

42-24-8

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CBJ

CBJ

38-24-12

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

16

PIM

20

Season series

BOS leads series 2-0

Feb 27CBJCBJ2@BOSBOS4
Mar 29BOSBOS4@CBJCBJ3today
Apr 12BOSBOS3@CBJCBJ2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOSBOS+13642%
CBJCBJ-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 12 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat CBJ 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
BOS003014
CBJ300003

Period scoring

BOS won 2 · CBJ won 1

0
3

1

0
0

2

3
0

3

0
0

OT

1
0

SO

BOS
CBJ

Play-by-play · 349 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    BOS 2·CBJ 1

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    BOS 2·CBJ 1

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    BOS 2·CBJ 1

  4. SO·0:00

    Viktor Arvidsson Goal Backhand

    BOS 2·CBJ 1

  5. SO·0:00

    Charlie Coyle Goal Wrist Shot

    BOS 2·CBJ 1

  6. SO·0:00

    Casey Mittelstadt Backhand saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    BOS 2·CBJ 1

  7. SO·0:00

    Kirill Marchenko Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman

    ·

    BOS 2·CBJ 1

  8. SO·0:00

    Fraser Minten Goal Snap Shot

    BOS 2·CBJ 1

  9. SO·0:00

    Adam Fantilli Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman

    ·

    BOS 2·CBJ 1

  10. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    BOS 2·CBJ 1

  11. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  12. OT·4:59

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Pavel Zacha

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  13. OT·4:59

    Goalie Stopped

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  14. OT·4:57

    Pavel Zacha Tip-In saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  15. OT·4:54

    Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Charlie Coyle

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  16. OT·4:54

    Goalie Stopped

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  17. OT·4:53

    David Pastrnak Wrist Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  18. OT·4:31

    Fraser Minten shot blocked by Adam Fantilli

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  19. OT·4:21

    Marat Khusnutdinov Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  20. OT·4:03

    Hampus Lindholm Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    · ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  21. OT·4:03

    Marat Khusnutdinov shot blocked by Zach Werenski

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  22. OT·3:35

    David Pastrnak Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  23. OT·3:18

    Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Adam Fantilli

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  24. OT·3:18

    Goalie Stopped

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  25. OT·3:16

    Adam Fantilli Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  26. OT·2:54

    Charlie McAvoy Slap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  27. OT·2:17

    David Pastrnak Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  28. OT·2:07

    Takeaway by Nikita Zadorov

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  29. OT·2:03

    Denton Mateychuk Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

  30. OT·1:39

    Cole Sillinger Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    BOS 3·CBJ 3

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

39

Shots

25

50.0

PCT

50.0

16

PIM

20

32

Faceoffs W

27

14

Blocks

24

14

Giveaways

16

4

Takeaways

5

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS +136/CBJ -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198
  • Adam FantilliCBJ · C
    DIST MI256.696
  • Erik GudbransonCBJ · D
    SHOT MPH98.692

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+136

Close price

+136

Open no-vig

40.7%

Close no-vig

40.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

CBJ vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Zach WerenskiCBJ
    3.4± 2.5high
  • David PastrnakBOS
    3.2± 2.2high
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
    2.8± 1.6high

Goals

  • Morgan GeekieBOS
    0.6± 0.9high
  • David PastrnakBOS
    0.3± 0.5high
  • Matthew PoitrasBOS
    0.3± 0.8low

Points

  • David PastrnakBOS
    1.1± 1.1high
  • Morgan GeekieBOS
    0.9± 1.2high
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
    0.8± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR