NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1CBJ

CBJ

30-21-8

NYR

23-29-8

NHLMon, Mar 2FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNYR -110

CBJ · top performer

Kirill Marchenko

RW · #86

3Points

—

SOG

NYR · top performer

Gabe Perreault

RW · #94

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CoyleC · #3	0	2	0	3	0	1	0	17:13
A. FantilliC · #19	1	1	0	2	1	2	0	17:55
D. HeinenLW · #43	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	15:06
B. JennerC · #38	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	16:37
I. LundestromC · #21	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	10:24
K. MarchenkoRW · #86	2	1	0	4	0	0	0	18:04
M. MarchmentLW · #17	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	17:13
S. MonahanC · #23	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	17:03
M. OlivierRW · #24	1	0	-1	2	3	2	0	16:09
C. SillingerC · #4	0	0	-1	1	2	1	0	15:01
D. VoronkovLW · #10	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	9:59
M. WoodLW · #11	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	10:11

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. FabbroD · #15	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	14:54
E. GudbransonD · #44	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	22:18
D. MateychukD · #5	0	1	-1	2	0	2	0	21:06
I. ProvorovD · #9	0	1	0	2	0	2	0	27:10
D. SeversonD · #78	0	2	0	0	0	3	0	21:59
E. ZamulaD · #6	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	12:50

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. MerzlikinsG · #90	33	4	29	.879	61:04

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. BrissonC · #91	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	9:46
S. CarrickC · #39	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	8:14
W. CuylleLW · #50	0	1	2	3	4	0	0	19:17
T. KartyeLW · #24	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	13:20
N. LabaC · #42	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	13:19
A. LafreniereLW · #13	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	18:51
J.T. MillerLW · #8	0	1	0	2	0	1	0	19:23
G. PerreaultRW · #94	2	1	1	6	0	0	0	17:18
T. RaddyshRW · #14	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	11:28
C. ShearyLW · #43	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11:38
V. TrocheckC · #16	0	1	1	3	2	1	0	20:43
M. ZibanejadC · #93	0	0	0	5	3	3	0	20:11

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. BorgenD · #17	1	1	3	3	8	1	0	17:37
A. FoxD · #23	0	0	-1	3	1	1	0	26:16
V. GavrikovD · #44	1	0	-1	2	0	0	0	25:22
V. IorioD · #6	0	0	-1	1	0	2	0	14:22
M. RobertsonD · #29	0	0	-1	1	2	1	0	16:21
B. SchneiderD · #4	0	0	3	2	1	0	0	19:03

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ShesterkinG · #31	29	5	24	.828	60:49

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

Shots

100.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 16

NYR2@

CBJ1

Mar 3

CBJ5@

NYR4today

Mar 19

NYR3@

CBJ6

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJ-11052%

NYR-11052%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYR -1.5↗SpreadBet NYR -1.5↗

Line movement · 24 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat NYR 5-4. K. Marchenko led the way — 2 G · 1 A · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
CBJ	2	2	0	1	5
NYR	0	0	4	0	4

Period scoring

CBJ won 3 · NYR won 1

CBJ

NYR

Play-by-play · 324 plays

period

event

player

OT·1:04
Game End
CBJ 5·NYR 4
OT·1:04
End of OT
CBJ 5·NYR 4
OT·1:04
Kirill Marchenko Goal (22) Snap Shot, assists: Damon Severson (19), Adam Fantilli (25)
· ·
CBJ 5·NYR 4
OT·0:56
Gabe Perreault shot blocked by Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
OT·0:00
J.T. Miller faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·19:50
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Damon Severson
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·19:41
Dante Fabbro hit Alexis Lafrenière
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·19:09
Takeaway by Kirill Marchenko
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:53
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:53
Icing
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:35
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:35
Puck in Netting
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:33
Will Cuylle Tip-In Wide Right
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:20
Vincent Trocheck Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:52
Ivan Provorov shot blocked by Taylor Raddysh
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:30
Sean Monahan shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:17
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Noah Laba
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:17
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:14
Mika Zibanejad Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:13
Mika Zibanejad Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:00
Mason Marchment Backhand saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:52
J.T. Miller shot blocked by Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:46
J.T. Miller faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:46
Icing
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:26
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:26
Icing
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:01
Braden Schneider Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·15:44
Braden Schneider hit Danton Heinen
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4

Betting line

NYR -1.5·O/U 5.5·CBJ -110/NYR -110

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets went into New York Rangers and beat them, 5–4 in overtime.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (NYR lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.4%

ensemble · NYR favored

Elo Static
50.4%
P(NYR win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.4%
P(NYR win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.4%
P(NYR win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Columbus Blue JacketsNew York Rangers

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