NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1CBJ

CBJ

30-21-8

NYR

23-29-8

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLMon, Mar 2FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNYR -110

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets went into New York Rangers and beat them, 5–4 in overtime.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (NYR lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CBJ · top performer

Kirill Marchenko

RW · #86

3Points

—

SOG

NYR · top performer

Gabe Perreault

RW · #94

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

CBJ30-21-8

NYR23-29-8

CBJ30-21-8NYR23-29-8

CBJ

30-21-8

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

NYR

23-29-8

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 16

NYR2@

CBJ1

Mar 3

CBJ5@

NYR4today

Mar 19

NYR3@

CBJ6

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJ-11052%

NYR-11052%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYR -1.5↗SpreadBet NYR -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat NYR 5-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
CBJ	2	2	0	1	5
NYR	0	0	4	0	4

Period scoring

CBJ won 3 · NYR won 1

CBJ

NYR

Play-by-play · 324 plays

period

event

player

OT·1:04
Game End
CBJ 5·NYR 4
OT·1:04
End of OT
CBJ 5·NYR 4
OT·1:04
Kirill Marchenko Goal (22) Snap Shot, assists: Damon Severson (19), Adam Fantilli (25)
· ·
CBJ 5·NYR 4
OT·0:56
Gabe Perreault shot blocked by Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
OT·0:00
J.T. Miller faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·19:50
Braden Schneider shot blocked by Damon Severson
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·19:41
Dante Fabbro hit Alexis Lafrenière
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·19:09
Takeaway by Kirill Marchenko
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:53
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:53
Icing
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:35
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:35
Puck in Netting
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:33
Will Cuylle Tip-In Wide Right
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·18:20
Vincent Trocheck Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:52
Ivan Provorov shot blocked by Taylor Raddysh
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:30
Sean Monahan shot blocked by Vincent Iorio
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:17
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Noah Laba
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:17
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:14
Mika Zibanejad Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:13
Mika Zibanejad Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·17:00
Mason Marchment Backhand saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:52
J.T. Miller shot blocked by Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:46
J.T. Miller faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:46
Icing
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:26
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:26
Icing
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·16:01
Braden Schneider Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4
3rd·15:44
Braden Schneider hit Danton Heinen
·
CBJ 4·NYR 4

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

Shots

100.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NYR -1.5·O/U 5.5·CBJ -110/NYR -110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

J.T. MillerNYR · LW
SHOT MPH102.699+
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
BURSTS30199
Adam FantilliCBJ · C
DIST MI256.696
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
DIST MI263.494

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NYR favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYR vs CBJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high
Adam FantilliCBJ
2.4± 2.0high

Goals

Gabe PerreaultNYR
0.4± 1.0high
Adam FantilliCBJ
0.3± 0.5high
Boone JennerCBJ
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Adam FoxNYR
1.2± 1.0high
J.T. MillerNYR
1.0± 1.0high
Mika ZibanejadNYR
0.9± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands