Mar 7, 26sim 98
76
6(H)3
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+1SEA
CAR
38-16-6
12
SEA
29-22-9
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
eattle Kraken held off Carolina Hurricanes, 2–1.
SEA +1.5 cashed (CAR lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CAR · top performer
Nikolaj Ehlers
LW · #27
1Points
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
SEA · top performer
Frederick Gaudreau
C · #89
1Points
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle Kraken · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
CAR38-16-6
12
SEA29-22-9
CAR38-16-6SEA29-22-9
CAR
38-16-6
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
SEA
29-22-9
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
2
Season series
Series tied 1-1
Jan 11SEA2@CAR3
SEA2@CAR3Mar 3CAR1@SEA2today
CAR1@SEA2todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CAR -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
CAR-18565%SEA+15439%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 9 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
SEA beat CAR 2-1.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| SEA | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Period scoring
CAR won 0 · SEA won 1
0
0
1
1
2
2
0
0
3
CAR
SEA
Play-by-play · 308 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·19:58
Sebastian Aho Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·19:54
Sebastian Aho Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·19:44
Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Freddy Gaudreau
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·19:29
Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·19:24
Jamie Oleksiak hit Seth Jarvis
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·19:08
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·19:08
Goalie Stopped
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·19:06
Shayne Gostisbehere Slap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·18:59
Sebastian Aho Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·18:50
Freddy Gaudreau shot blocked by Shayne Gostisbehere
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·18:48
Giveaway by Nikolaj Ehlers
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·18:38
Sebastian Aho shot blocked by Jamie Oleksiak
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·18:31
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·18:31
Timeout - Visitor
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·18:31
Eeli Tolvanen Holding against Sebastian Aho
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·18:12
Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·17:58
Jordan Staal Tip-In Wide Right
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·17:52
Seth Jarvis Slap Shot High and Wide Left
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·17:40
Seth Jarvis shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·17:39
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·17:39
Puck Frozen - Goalie
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·16:48
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·16:48
Goalie Stopped
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·16:46
Nikolaj Ehlers Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·16:35
Freddy Gaudreau faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·16:35
Goalie Stopped
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·16:33
Sebastian Aho Slap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
- 3rd·15:48
Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen
·
CAR 1·SEA 2
Team stats
CAR
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
36
Shots
15
0.0
PCT
0.0
6
PIM
2
24
Faceoffs W
26
6
Blocks
22
20
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
6
Betting line
CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·CAR -185/SEA +154
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Brandon MontourSEA · DSHOT MPH101.698
Matty BeniersSEA · CDIST MI267.798
Sean WalkerCAR · DSKATE MPH22.998
Taylor HallCAR · LWBURSTS4696
Jared McCannSEA · LWSHOT MPH94.496
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · SEA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+154
Close price
+154
Open no-vig
37.8%
Close no-vig
37.8%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit