Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in DET at NSH?

The model favors NSH, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.

When is the pick logged, and can it change?

Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

How is the pick graded?

In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2DET

DET

35-20-6

NSH

27-25-8

NHLMon, Mar 2FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasDET -112

DET · top performer

Alex DeBrincat

RW · #93

2Points

—

SOG

NSH · top performer

Filip Forsberg

LW · #9

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AppletonC · #22	0	2	2	3	0	0	2	13:58
J.T. CompherLW · #37	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	11:05
A. CoppC · #18	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	17:09
A. DeBrincatRW · #93	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	17:02
E. FinnieC · #58	1	0	1	3	2	1	0	11:31
P. KaneRW · #88	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	14:47
M. KasperC · #92	0	2	2	1	1	0	0	15:22
D. LarkinC · #71	0	0	0	6	0	1	2	19:46
M. RasmussenC · #27	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	17:29
L. RaymondLW · #23	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	17:59
D. ShineRW · #65	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	9:01
J. van RiemsdykLW · #21	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	10:01

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. Bernard-DockerD · #25	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	19:52
B. ChiarotD · #8	0	0	1	0	3	4	0	23:45
S. EdvinssonD · #77	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	22:52
A. JohanssonD · #20	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	16:40
A. Sandin-PellikkaD · #44	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	12:16
M. SeiderD · #53	0	0	1	1	3	3	2	23:36

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. GibsonG · #36	11	1	10	.909	20:00
C. TalbotG · #39	19	1	18	.947	40:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BuntingLW · #58	0	0	-4	1	2	0	0	13:32
L. EvangelistaRW · #77	0	1	-1	0	1	0	0	18:09
F. ForsbergLW · #9	1	0	-1	6	0	0	0	18:52
E. HaulaLW · #56	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	16:15
T. JostC · #17	0	0	0	5	1	1	0	13:32
Z. L'HeureuxLW · #68	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	12:03
J. MarchessaultRW · #81	1	0	-1	2	1	0	2	19:34
M. McCarronC · #47	0	0	-2	1	2	0	0	11:10
R. O'ReillyC · #90	0	1	0	7	0	0	0	21:33
C. SmithRW · #36	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	11:35
S. StamkosC · #91	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	19:47
M. WoodRW · #71	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	12:23

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BarronD · #20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8:01
N. BlankenburgD · #37	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	15:39
N. HagueD · #41	0	0	0	3	2	1	0	21:24
R. JosiD · #59	0	1	-3	3	1	2	0	26:09
N. PerbixD · #48	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	18:18
B. SkjeiD · #76	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	22:46

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SarosG · #74	30	3	27	.900	57:01

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

NSH

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 27

NSH6@

DET3

Mar 2

DET4@

NSH2today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DET-11253%

NSH-10852%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 31 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DET beat NSH 4-2. A. DeBrincat led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
DET	1	2	1	4
NSH	1	1	0	2

Period scoring

DET won 2 · NSH won 0

DET

NSH

Play-by-play · 315 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·19:43
Michael McCarron faceoff won against Marco Kasper
·
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·19:43
Erik Haula Slashing against Marco Kasper
·
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·19:32
Marco Kasper faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·19:32
Alex DeBrincat Goal (31) Backhand, assists: Lucas Raymond (44)
·
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·19:27
Giveaway by Roman Josi
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·19:01
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·19:01
Icing
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:54
Jonathan Marchessault Wrist Shot Short
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:34
J.T. Compher shot blocked by Steven Stamkos
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:20
Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Dylan Larkin
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:20
Icing
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:10
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:10
Icing
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:00
Filip Forsberg shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:55
Steven Stamkos faceoff won against Dylan Larkin
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:55
Goalie Stopped
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:54
Roman Josi Slap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:34
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:34
Icing
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:05
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Roman Josi
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:52
Steven Stamkos faceoff won against Andrew Copp
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:52
Goalie Stopped
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:49
Nick Perbix Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:09
Tyson Jost faceoff won against Dylan Larkin
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:09
Puck in Benches
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:06
Michael Bunting hit Simon Edvinsson
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:00
Erik Haula Backhand Wide Right
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·15:40
Brady Skjei shot blocked by Andrew Copp
·
DET 3·NSH 2

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 6.5·DET -112/NSH -108

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

etroit Red Wings went into Nashville Predators and beat them, 4–2.

DET -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

52.0%

ensemble · NSH favored

Elo Static
52.0%
P(NSH win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
52.0%
P(NSH win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
52.0%
P(NSH win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-108

Close price

-108

Open no-vig

49.6%

Close no-vig

49.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Logged before tip · graded in public

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in DET at NSH?: The model favors NSH, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?: Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.
How is the pick graded?: In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

Team pages

Detroit Red WingsNashville Predators

Elsewhere in the NHL