NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2DET

DET

35-20-6

NSH

27-25-8

NHLMon, Mar 2FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasDET -112

Recap · NHL

etroit Red Wings went into Nashville Predators and beat them, 4–2.

DET -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DET · top performer

Mason Appleton

C · #22

2Points

—

SOG

NSH · top performer

Luke Evangelista

RW · #77

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. AppletonC · #22	0	2	2	3	0	0	2	13:58
J.T. CompherLW · #37	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	11:05
A. CoppC · #18	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	17:09
A. DeBrincatRW · #93	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	17:02
E. FinnieC · #58	1	0	1	3	2	1	0	11:31
P. KaneRW · #88	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	14:47
M. KasperC · #92	0	2	2	1	1	0	0	15:22
D. LarkinC · #71	0	0	0	6	0	1	2	19:46
M. RasmussenC · #27	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	17:29
L. RaymondLW · #23	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	17:59
D. ShineRW · #65	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	9:01
J. van RiemsdykLW · #21	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	10:01

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. Bernard-DockerD · #25	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	19:52
B. ChiarotD · #8	0	0	1	0	3	4	0	23:45
S. EdvinssonD · #77	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	22:52
A. JohanssonD · #20	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	16:40
A. Sandin-PellikkaD · #44	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	12:16
M. SeiderD · #53	0	0	1	1	3	3	2	23:36

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. GibsonG · #36	11	1	10	.909	20:00
C. TalbotG · #39	19	1	18	.947	40:00

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. BuntingLW · #58	0	0	-4	1	2	0	0	13:32
L. EvangelistaRW · #77	0	1	-1	0	1	0	0	18:09
F. ForsbergLW · #9	1	0	-1	6	0	0	0	18:52
E. HaulaLW · #56	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	16:15
T. JostC · #17	0	0	0	5	1	1	0	13:32
Z. L'HeureuxLW · #68	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	12:03
J. MarchessaultRW · #81	1	0	-1	2	1	0	2	19:34
M. McCarronC · #47	0	0	-2	1	2	0	0	11:10
R. O'ReillyC · #90	0	1	0	7	0	0	0	21:33
C. SmithRW · #36	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	11:35
S. StamkosC · #91	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	19:47
M. WoodRW · #71	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	12:23

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. BarronD · #20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8:01
N. BlankenburgD · #37	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	15:39
N. HagueD · #41	0	0	0	3	2	1	0	21:24
R. JosiD · #59	0	1	-3	3	1	2	0	26:09
N. PerbixD · #48	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	18:18
B. SkjeiD · #76	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	22:46

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. SarosG · #74	30	3	27	.900	57:01

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 27

NSH6@

DET3

Mar 2

DET4@

NSH2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DET-11253%

NSH-10852%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 17 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DET beat NSH 4-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
DET	1	2	1	4
NSH	1	1	0	2

Period scoring

DET won 2 · NSH won 0

DET

NSH

Play-by-play · 315 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·19:43
Michael McCarron faceoff won against Marco Kasper
·
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·19:43
Erik Haula Slashing against Marco Kasper
·
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·19:32
Marco Kasper faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·19:32
Alex DeBrincat Goal (31) Backhand, assists: Lucas Raymond (44)
·
DET 4·NSH 2
3rd·19:27
Giveaway by Roman Josi
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·19:01
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·19:01
Icing
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:54
Jonathan Marchessault Wrist Shot Short
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:34
J.T. Compher shot blocked by Steven Stamkos
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:20
Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Dylan Larkin
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:20
Icing
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:10
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:10
Icing
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·18:00
Filip Forsberg shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:55
Steven Stamkos faceoff won against Dylan Larkin
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:55
Goalie Stopped
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:54
Roman Josi Slap Shot saved by Cam Talbot
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:34
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:34
Icing
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·17:05
Alex DeBrincat shot blocked by Roman Josi
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:52
Steven Stamkos faceoff won against Andrew Copp
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:52
Goalie Stopped
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:49
Nick Perbix Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:09
Tyson Jost faceoff won against Dylan Larkin
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:09
Puck in Benches
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:06
Michael Bunting hit Simon Edvinsson
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·16:00
Erik Haula Backhand Wide Right
·
DET 3·NSH 2
3rd·15:40
Brady Skjei shot blocked by Andrew Copp
·
DET 3·NSH 2

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

NSH

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 6.5·DET -112/NSH -108

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE

Moritz SeiderDET · D
DIST MI299.899
Brady SkjeiNSH · D
SKATE MPH23.497
Alex DeBrincatDET · RW
DIST MI252.196
Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
DIST MI246.195
Emmitt FinnieDET · C
BURSTS19394

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

52.1%

ensemble · NSH favored

Elo Static
52.0%
P(NSH win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
52.0%
P(NSH win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
52.0%
P(NSH win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-108

Close price

-108

Open no-vig

49.6%

Close no-vig

49.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss