NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1NYI

NYI

27-17-5

VAN

16-28-5

NHLMon, Jan 19FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNYI -155

Recap · NHL

ew York Islanders went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 4–3.

VAN +1.5 cashed (NYI won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYI · top performer

Mathew Barzal

C · #13

2Points

—

SOG

VAN · top performer

Nils Hoglander

LW · #21

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. BarzalC · #13	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	20:38
C. CizikasC · #53	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	16:04
J. DrouinLW · #29	0	0	0	4	1	2	0	17:32
A. DuclairLW · #11	2	0	2	5	0	2	0	17:03
M. GatcombC · #16	0	0	-1	1	2	0	0	11:12
E. HeinemanLW · #51	0	0	-1	2	2	3	0	16:31
S. HolmstromRW · #10	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	18:15
A. LeeLW · #27	0	1	2	2	1	1	0	15:00
K. MacLeanC · #32	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	12:59
J. PageauC · #44	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	13:58
C. RitchieC · #64	0	1	-2	1	0	2	2	13:25
M. TsyplakovRW · #7	0	0	-2	2	0	0	0	6:43

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
A. BoqvistD · #34	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	14:08
T. DeAngeloD · #77	1	1	0	3	2	2	0	17:08
S. MayfieldD · #24	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	18:14
A. PelechD · #3	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	19:58
R. PulockD · #6	1	0	0	2	0	2	2	22:08
M. SchaeferD · #48	0	2	1	2	0	1	0	25:04

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
I. SorokinG · #30	32	3	29	.906	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
B. BoeserRW · #6	0	0	-1	3	1	0	0	17:37
J. DeBruskLW · #74	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	17:04
C. GarlandRW · #8	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	15:22
N. HoglanderLW · #21	0	1	1	2	1	0	0	11:36
D. KampfC · #64	0	1	0	5	3	0	0	14:54
E. KaneLW · #91	1	0	0	5	4	0	0	19:10
L. KarlssonC · #94	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	12:50
D. O'ConnorLW · #18	1	0	2	2	1	0	2	16:20
L. OhgrenLW · #92	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	12:23
E. PetterssonC · #40	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	20:43
A. RatyC · #54	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	13:51
M. SassonC · #63	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	9:35

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
Z. BuiumD · #24	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	21:45
F. HronekD · #17	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	28:01
T. MyersD · #57	0	0	-1	0	1	1	2	18:43
M. PetterssonD · #29	0	0	-1	0	0	2	0	22:19
Elias N. PetterssonD · #25	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	13:09
T. WillanderD · #5	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	13:10

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
K. LankinenG · #32	33	4	29	.879	56:04

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 20

VAN4@

NYI1

Jan 20

NYI4@

VAN3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYI -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYI-15561%

VAN+13043%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYI -1.5↗SpreadBet NYI -1.5↗

Line movement · 14 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYI beat VAN 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYI	1	2	1	4
VAN	2	0	1	3

Period scoring

NYI won 1 · VAN won 1

NYI

VAN

Play-by-play · 290 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·19:44
Linus Karlsson Tip-In Wide Left
·
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·19:18
Brock Boeser shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
·
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·19:13
Elias Pettersson faceoff won against Casey Cizikas
· ·
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·19:13
Icing
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·18:52
Giveaway by Nils Hoglander
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·18:48
Filip Hronek shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
·
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·18:15
Elias Pettersson faceoff won against Jean-Gabriel Pageau
· ·
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·18:15
Icing
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·18:09
Kyle MacLean faceoff won against Elias Pettersson
· ·
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·18:09
Timeout - Home
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·18:09
Drew O'Connor Goal (11) Tip-In, assists: Filip Hronek (25)
·
NYI 4·VAN 3
3rd·18:03
Elias Pettersson Wrist Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin
· ·
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·17:52
Elias Pettersson Snap Shot Wide Right
· ·
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·17:20
Mathew Barzal faceoff won against Elias Pettersson
· ·
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·17:20
Icing
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·17:16
Matthew Schaefer Wrist Shot Wide Left
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·17:13
Nils Hoglander Wrist Shot saved by Ilya Sorokin
·
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·16:59
Zeev Buium shot blocked by Jonathan Drouin
·
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·16:53
Aatu Raty faceoff won against Mathew Barzal
·
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·16:53
Icing
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·16:27
Giveaway by Mathew Barzal
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·15:47
Mathew Barzal faceoff won against Elias Pettersson
· ·
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·15:47
Off-side
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·15:38
Giveaway by Tony DeAngelo
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·15:37
Takeaway by Tony DeAngelo
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·15:35
Giveaway by Ilya Sorokin
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·14:36
Aatu Raty hit Adam Boqvist
·
NYI 4·VAN 2
3rd·14:33
Marc Gatcomb hit Zeev Buium
·
NYI 4·VAN 2

Team stats

NYI

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NYI -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYI -155/VAN +130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
BURSTS26999+
Ryan PulockNYI · D
SHOT MPH103.099+
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
DIST MI274.399
Emil HeinemanNYI · LW
SHOT MPH97.399
Brock BoeserVAN · RW
SHOT MPH96.498

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

35.5%

ensemble · NYI favored

Elo Static
46.5%
P(VAN win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
46.5%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
46.5%
P(VAN win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+130

Close price

+130

Open no-vig

41.7%

Close no-vig

41.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss