NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3CAR

CAR

30-15-4

24-22-2

NHLSat, Jan 17FinalSeriesCAR leads series 3-0VegasCAR -115

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes went into New Jersey Devils and beat them, 4–1.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CAR · top performer

Sebastian Aho

C · #20

3Points

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

Cody Glass

C · #12

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
S. AhoC · #20	0	3	3	0	2	0	0	19:17
J. BlakeRW · #53	1	0	1	6	0	0	0	14:32
N. EhlersLW · #27	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	15:20
T. HallLW · #71	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	13:19
M. JankowskiLW · #77	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10:01
S. JarvisC · #24	0	1	3	0	1	3	0	17:24
J. KotkaniemiC · #82	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	9:32
J. MartinookLW · #48	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	17:56
E. RobinsonLW · #50	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	10:25
J. StaalC · #11	0	0	1	3	3	1	0	17:05
L. StankovenC · #22	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	14:45
A. SvechnikovRW · #37	3	0	3	4	4	0	0	14:53

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. ChatfieldD · #5	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	19:55
K. MillerD · #19	0	1	3	3	1	1	2	24:11
A. NikishinD · #21	0	0	0	4	2	2	0	21:13
J. SlavinD · #74	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	19:22
S. WalkerD · #26	0	1	2	2	0	2	6	21:37

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
F. AndersenG · #31	30	1	29	.967	59:52

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. BrattLW · #63	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	18:26
C. BrownRW · #16	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	15:25
P. CotterLW · #47	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	9:47
E. DadonovLW · #33	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	12:29
C. GlassC · #12	0	1	0	2	1	2	0	16:24
L. GlendeningC · #14	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	8:40
A. GritsyukRW · #81	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	15:04
N. HischierC · #13	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	21:12
J. HughesC · #86	0	0	-2	3	1	0	0	20:46
J. LammikkoC · #83	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6:13
T. MeierRW · #28	1	0	-2	7	2	0	0	21:07
D. MercerC · #91	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	18:32

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
B. DillonD · #5	0	0	-1	1	5	1	0	15:34
D. HamiltonD · #7	0	1	-1	2	2	1	0	20:05
L. HughesD · #43	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	21:35
J. KovacevicD · #8	0	0	-1	0	3	3	0	19:06
B. PesceD · #22	0	0	-3	3	0	4	0	18:17
J. SiegenthalerD · #71	0	0	-1	0	2	2	0	19:21

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. MarkstromG · #25	35	4	31	.886	59:57

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

CAR leads series 3-0

Oct 9

NJ3@

CAR6

Jan 5

CAR3@

NJ1

Jan 18

CAR4@

NJ1today

Mar 28

NJ2@

CAR5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CAR-11553%

NJ-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat NJ 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	2	2	4
NJ	0	0	1	1

Period scoring

CAR won 2 · NJ won 0

CAR

Play-by-play · 319 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·19:29
Jackson Blake Batted saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·19:28
Jackson Blake Backhand saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·19:23
Logan Stankoven faceoff won against Luke Glendening
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·19:23
Goalie Stopped
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·19:21
Jackson Blake Snap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·18:31
Paul Cotter hit Joel Nystrom
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·18:24
Juho Lammikko hit Joel Nystrom
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·18:20
Paul Cotter shot blocked by Alexander Nikishin
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·18:14
Dougie Hamilton shot blocked by Eric Robinson
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·18:02
Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Paul Cotter
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·18:02
Goalie Stopped
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·18:00
Timo Meier Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·17:59
Timo Meier Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·17:48
Brett Pesce Slap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·17:45
Timo Meier Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·17:06
Giveaway by Jonas Siegenthaler
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·16:50
Cody Glass faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·16:50
Puck in Benches
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·16:44
Cody Glass faceoff won against Jesperi Kotkaniemi
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·16:44
Puck in Crowd
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·16:38
Taylor Hall Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·16:36
Taylor Hall Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·16:22
Dougie Hamilton hit Taylor Hall
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·16:02
Alexander Nikishin Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·15:52
Logan Stankoven faceoff won against Luke Glendening
·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·15:52
Andrei Svechnikov Goal (16) Snap Shot, assists: Sebastian Aho (33), Seth Jarvis (15)
· ·
CAR 4·NJ 1
3rd·15:48
Takeaway by Seth Jarvis
CAR 3·NJ 1
3rd·15:24
Giveaway by Jalen Chatfield
CAR 3·NJ 1

Team stats

CAR

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 5.5·CAR -115/NJ -105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Sebastian AhoCAR · C
DIST MI60.999
Taylor HallCAR · LW
BURSTS5998
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
BURSTS5897
Seth JarvisCAR · C
DIST MI56.197
Sean WalkerCAR · D
SKATE MPH22.997

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

52.2%

ensemble · NJ favored

Elo Static
52.3%
P(NJ win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
52.3%
P(NJ win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
52.3%
P(NJ win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-105

Close price

-105

Open no-vig

48.9%

Close no-vig

48.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss