NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2BOS

SEA

21-16-9

BOS

27-19-2

NHLThu, Jan 15FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasBOS -175

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins held off Seattle Kraken, 4–2.

BOS -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

Kaapo Kakko

RW · #84

1Points

—

SOG

BOS · top performer

Viktor Arvidsson

LW · #71

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. BeniersC · #10	0	0	-2	1	0	1	2	20:23
B. CattonC · #27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12:28
J. EberleRW · #7	0	0	-2	1	1	2	0	19:21
F. GaudreauC · #89	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	15:09
K. KakkoRW · #84	0	1	-1	1	0	0	0	15:19
J. McCannLW · #19	0	1	-1	3	0	0	0	15:12
B. MeyersC · #59	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	12:35
J. SchwartzC · #17	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	15:30
C. StephensonC · #9	1	0	-2	2	1	0	0	19:22
E. TolvanenRW · #20	1	0	-1	3	6	0	0	16:53
R. WintertonC · #26	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	10:05
S. WrightC · #51	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	13:25

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
V. DunnD · #29	0	1	-1	1	1	1	0	25:47
C. FleuryD · #8	0	0	-2	1	2	1	0	10:25
A. LarssonD · #6	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	20:18
R. LindgrenD · #55	0	0	-2	2	0	2	0	14:14
B. MontourD · #62	0	1	0	4	3	0	2	25:03
J. OleksiakD · #24	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	18:25

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. DaccordG · #35	23	3	20	.870	57:17

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
V. ArvidssonLW · #71	1	0	1	3	0	1	0	14:44
M. GeekieC · #39	0	1	0	3	3	0	0	16:50
T. JeannotLW · #84	0	0	0	1	3	2	2	11:33
M. KastelicC · #47	1	0	1	3	2	2	0	12:41
M. KhusnutdinovC · #92	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	13:28
S. KuralyC · #52	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	15:12
E. LindholmC · #28	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	19:13
F. MintenC · #93	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	12:33
C. MittelstadtC · #11	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	14:09
D. PastrnakRW · #88	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	19:23
A. SteevesC · #21	0	0	0	1	2	0	7	9:28
P. ZachaC · #18	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	16:22

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. AspirotD · #45	0	0	2	1	3	3	2	18:51
H. JokiharjuD · #20	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	20:38
M. LohreiD · #6	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	19:13
C. McAvoyD · #73	0	2	3	0	4	3	0	28:00
A. PeekeD · #26	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	5:14
N. ZadorovD · #91	0	0	0	0	4	0	2	26:29

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. SwaymanG · #1	28	2	26	.929	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Jan 7

BOS4@

SEA7

Jan 16

SEA2@

BOS4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BOS -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEA+14541%

BOS-17564%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat SEA 4-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
SEA	1	1	0	2
BOS	2	1	1	4

Period scoring

SEA won 0 · BOS won 2

SEA

BOS

Play-by-play · 298 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
SEA 2·BOS 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SEA 2·BOS 4
3rd·19:55
Mark Kastelic Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·BOS 4
3rd·19:45
Ben Meyers faceoff won against Sean Kuraly
·
SEA 2·BOS 4
3rd·19:45
David Pastrnak Goal (20) Wrist Shot, assists: Morgan Geekie (17), Charlie McAvoy (26)
· ·
SEA 2·BOS 4
3rd·19:25
David Pastrnak shot blocked by Jordan Eberle
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·19:19
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·19:19
Icing
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·19:13
Eeli Tolvanen Tip-In saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·19:08
Eeli Tolvanen hit Nikita Zadorov
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:56
Freddy Gaudreau faceoff won against Morgan Geekie
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:56
Matty Beniers Holding against Charlie McAvoy
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:38
Jared McCann Slap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·18:16
Brandon Montour Slap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·17:56
Matty Beniers Batted Wide Left
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·17:40
Brandon Montour shot blocked by Charlie McAvoy
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·17:22
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Pavel Zacha
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·17:22
Goalie Stopped
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·17:20
Eeli Tolvanen Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·16:56
Takeaway by Jordan Eberle
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·16:35
Tanner Jeannot hit Matty Beniers
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·16:23
Takeaway by Nikita Zadorov
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·16:18
Giveaway by Mark Kastelic
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·15:49
Marat Khusnutdinov Tip-In saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·15:36
Marat Khusnutdinov Tip-In Wide Left
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·15:29
Vince Dunn hit Marat Khusnutdinov
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·14:36
Ben Meyers Snap Shot Wide Right
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·14:15
Charlie McAvoy hit Jordan Eberle
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·13:45
Sean Kuraly faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
SEA 2·BOS 3
3rd·13:45
Icing
SEA 2·BOS 3

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

BOS

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

BOS -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +145/BOS -175

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Brandon MontourSEA · D
SHOT MPH101.698
Matty BeniersSEA · C
DIST MI267.798
Jared McCannSEA · LW
SHOT MPH94.496
Jordan EberleSEA · RW
DIST MI236.192
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
SKATE MPH23.091

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

57.1%

ensemble · BOS favored

Elo Static
60.4%
P(BOS win)
45%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
60.4%
P(BOS win)
10%
weight
Xg Blend
61.1%
P(BOS win)
45%
weight

Disagreement

0.35 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

98% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

2 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

BOS vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

144

projections · 129 high confidence

Shots on goal

David PastrnakBOS
3.2± 2.2high
Bobby McMannSEA
3.0± 1.8high
Brandon MontourSEA
3.0± 1.3high

Goals

Morgan GeekieBOS
0.6± 0.9high
David PastrnakBOS
0.3± 0.5high
Matthew PoitrasBOS
0.3± 0.8low

Points

David PastrnakBOS
1.1± 1.1high
Morgan GeekieBOS
0.9± 1.2high
Pavel ZachaBOS
0.7± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands