Live · 8
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+3BUF
BUF

BUF

23-15-4

52
NYR

NYR

20-19-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 8FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasBUF -125

Recap · NHL

uffalo Sabres went into New York Rangers and beat them, 5–2.

BUF -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

BUF · top performer

BUF
Ryan McLeod

Ryan McLeod

C · #71

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NYR · top performer

NYR
Artemi Panarin

Artemi Panarin

LW · #10

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
5
2
BUF23-15-4NYR20-19-6
BUF

BUF

23-15-4

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NYR

NYR

20-19-6

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

4

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 9NYRNYR4@BUFBUF0
Jan 9BUFBUF5@NYRNYR2today
Apr 8BUFBUF5@NYRNYR3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BUF -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BUFBUF-12556%
NYRNYR+10549%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BUF -1.5↗SpreadBet BUF -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BUF beat NYR 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
BUF1225
NYR0112

Period scoring

BUF won 3 · NYR won 0

1
0

1

2
1

2

2
1

3

BUF
NYR

Play-by-play · 308 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  3. 3rd·19:42

    Zach Benson Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  4. 3rd·19:28

    Ryan McLeod faceoff won against Jonny Brodzinski

    ·

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  5. 3rd·19:28

    Off-side

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  6. 3rd·19:27

    Giveaway by Will Borgen

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  7. 3rd·18:59

    Sam Carrick faceoff won against Josh Norris

    ·

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  8. 3rd·18:59

    Puck in Netting

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  9. 3rd·18:57

    Tage Thompson Snap Shot Off Crossbar

    ·

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  10. 3rd·18:39

    Matt Rempe hit Zach Metsa

    ·

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  11. 3rd·18:30

    Sam Carrick faceoff won against Tage Thompson

    ·

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  12. 3rd·18:30

    Ryan McLeod Goal (9) Wrist Shot, assists: none

    BUF 5·NYR 2

  13. 3rd·18:23

    Ryan McLeod Wrist Shot Wide Right

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  14. 3rd·18:20

    Alexis Lafrenière Tip-In saved by Colten Ellis

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  15. 3rd·18:12

    Vladislav Gavrikov Snap Shot saved by Colten Ellis

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  16. 3rd·17:13

    Artemi Panarin Wrist Shot saved by Colten Ellis

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  17. 3rd·17:06

    Gabe Perreault Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  18. 3rd·17:04

    Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Mattias Samuelsson

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  19. 3rd·16:39

    Scott Morrow Wrist Shot Hit Right Post

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  20. 3rd·15:49

    Takeaway by Mika Zibanejad

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  21. 3rd·15:43

    Vladislav Gavrikov Wrist Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  22. 3rd·15:36

    Artemi Panarin Slap Shot saved by Colten Ellis

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  23. 3rd·15:18

    Mika Zibanejad Slap Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  24. 3rd·14:53

    Vladislav Gavrikov hit Beck Malenstyn

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  25. 3rd·14:48

    Takeaway by Beck Malenstyn

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  26. 3rd·14:38

    Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Beck Malenstyn

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  27. 3rd·14:38

    Mattias Samuelsson Goal (7) Snap Shot, assists: Ryan McLeod (16)

    ·

    BUF 4·NYR 2

  28. 3rd·14:29

    Giveaway by Mattias Samuelsson

    BUF 3·NYR 2

  29. 3rd·14:24

    Ryan McLeod faceoff won against J.T. Miller

    ·

    BUF 3·NYR 2

  30. 3rd·14:24

    Peyton Krebs High-sticking - double minor against Vincent Trocheck

    ·

    BUF 3·NYR 2

Team stats

BUF

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

21

Shots

32

50.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

4

20

Faceoffs W

31

20

Blocks

12

17

Giveaways

13

9

Takeaways

5

Betting line

BUF -1.5·O/U 6.5·BUF -125/NYR +105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • J.T. MillerNYR · LW
    SHOT MPH102.699+
  • Ryan McLeodBUF · C
    BURSTS7299
  • Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
    DIST MI263.494
  • Rasmus DahlinBUF · D
    DIST MI46.992
  • Bowen ByramBUF · D
    BURSTS1691

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NYR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+105

Close price

+105

Open no-vig

46.8%

Close no-vig

46.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR