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TEN#16 · American Football Conference
Tennessee Titans
0-0 (0.0%) · -
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#32 of 32
Elo rating 1353.2 · as of 2026-05-04 · nfl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2025-12-07 → 2026-01-04 · Full ATS profile →
Won by 2 at CLE, 31-29, 2025-12-07. Covered the spread (latest line).
Lost by 13 at SF, 24-37, 2025-12-14. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Won by 17 vs KC, 26-9, 2025-12-21. Covered the spread (latest line).
Lost by 8 vs NO, 26-34, 2025-12-28. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 34 at JAX, 7-41, 2026-01-04. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01
Graded snap by snap
How good were they, snap to snap?
Their offense ranked 30th of 32 in the 2025 regular season, across 753 graded plays; the defense ranked 30th across 780.
EPA per play is how many points the average play was worth. Zero means the play was worth what an average play in that situation is worth. Across all 32 teams in 2025, offenses averaged +0.009 per play and defenses allowed +0.014 — those are averages of the 32 team rates, not play-weighted.
753 off plays · 780 def plays · win-probability band 0.05–0.95 · explosive = 20+ pass / 12+ rush yds
OFFENSE · 2025 REG
-0.172
Team EPA per play
30th of 32lg avg +0.009
DEFENSE · 2025 REG
+0.141
Team EPA per play allowed
30th of 32lg avg +0.014
The full split753/780 plays
Offense — team-wide, every graded snap
All plays-0.1726
30th of 32 · lg avg +0.009 · 2024 REG -0.145 (30th)
Success36.4%3
31st of 32 · lg avg 44.2% · 2024 REG 39.2% (31st)
Explosive6.5%23
25th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 7.4% (21st)
Dropbacks-0.1816
30th of 32 · lg avg +0.043 · 2024 REG -0.129 (31st)
Rushes-0.1583
31st of 32 · lg avg -0.043 · 2024 REG -0.167 (29th)
Defense — allowed, lower is better
All plays+0.1416
30th of 32 · lg avg +0.014 · 2024 REG +0.032 (19th)
Success47.2%19
26th of 32 · lg avg 44.3% · 2024 REG 43.0% (12th)
Explosive9.4%10
29th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 8.0% (18th)
Dropbacks+0.2176
30th of 32 · lg avg +0.050 · 2024 REG +0.076 (18th)
Rushes+0.01019
26th of 32 · lg avg -0.042 · 2024 REG -0.032 (22nd)
Bar = where they rank among all 32 teams. Number = the raw value.
Whole-team totals over every graded snap. The QB card further down rates one passer’s dropbacks from a different table, so its EPA/play is a different number, not a contradiction.
Offense EPA/play — 2025 REG -0.172 · 2024 REG -0.145 · -0.027
Defense EPA/play allowed — 2025 REG +0.141 · 2024 REG +0.032 · +0.109
Two separate completed regular seasons. This is what happened, not a forecast.
nfl_team_epa, 2025 REG, 753 plays, WP 0.05-0.95, computed 2026-06-18 · method r782-epa-v1
nflverse / nflfastR (CC BY 4.0), modified by theoneanalytics: aggregated to team/QB-season EPA. Win-probability band excludes garbage time. Regular season only — this table carries no playoff rows and no week-by-week splits.
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Passing yards
- 1Cam Ward15 TD3,169
- 2Brandon Allen0 TD72
Rushing yards
- 1Tony Pollard5 TD1,082
- 2Tyjae Spears2 TD283
- 3Cam Ward2 TD159
- 4Julius Chestnut0 TD40
- 5Chimere Dike0 TD18
Receiving yards
- 1Chig Okonkwo2 TD560
- 2Elic Ayomanor4 TD515
- 3Chimere Dike4 TD423
- 4Gunnar Helm2 TD357
- 5Van Jefferson1 TD350
Receptions
- 1Chig Okonkwo17 G56
- 2Chimere Dike17 G48
- 3Tyjae Spears13 G45
- 4Gunnar Helm16 G44
- 5Elic Ayomanor16 G41
Total TDs
- 1Cam Ward17 G17
- 2Tony Pollard17 G5
- 3Elic Ayomanor16 G4
- 4Chimere Dike17 G4
- 5Chig Okonkwo17 G2
Passing + rushing + receiving TDs combined.
2025 season · player_stats_weekly (nflverse weekly ingest) · counting boards ungated · yards/carry requires 50+ carries
Under center
What the QB is worth
QB value (our estimate)
Cam Ward
540 att · n=42 qualified QBs
Our QBR estimate21.0
- EPA / play-0.169
- Accuracy +-3.2%
- Pressure0.3%
Built on -0.169 EPA/play and -3.2% accuracy over expected. Our estimate, not ESPN's QBR.
Box-score power tier · league of 32
Where they rank
Soft
avg rank 25.2
YDS
30th
Total yards
PASS
29th
Pass yards
RUSH
30th
Rush yards
PTS
32nd
Points
TO
5th
Turnovers
Offensive profile · 2025
How the offense plays
Per-game · 17 weeks
Identity · Pass-leaning
67% pass · 33% rush
PASS
RUSH
Total yards
284vs 342 yds/GBelow avg
Passing yards
191vs 225 yds/GBelow avg
Rushing yards
94vs 117 yds/GBelow avg
Points scored
13.8vs 23.5 pts/GBelow avg
Turnovers
0.60vs 0.90 TO/GAbove avg
Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2025 season. The team identity strip up top reads at a glance: pass-heavy offenses usually score more in volume; run-heavy offenses control time of possession and game script.
2026 Draft Class · 8 picks
The new arrivals.
RND 1 · PICK 4
Carnell Tate
WR · Ohio St.
RND 1 · PICK 31
Keldric Faulk
EDGE · Auburn
RND 2 · PICK 60
Anthony Hill
LB · Texas
RND 5 · PICK 142
Fernando Carmona
G · Arkansas
RND 5 · PICK 165
Nicholas Singleton
RB · Penn St.
RND 6 · PICK 184
Jackie Marshall
DT · Baylor
RND 6 · PICK 194
Patrick Coogan
C · Indiana
RND 7 · PICK 225
Jaren Kanak
TE · Oklahoma
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- May 27
Signed DE Keldric Faulk to a rookie contract.
- May 20
Hired Dave Gardi as executive vice president, football operations.
Source · ESPN
Offense · 45
The attack
A. Wagner
OT · #69
A. James
C · #61
A. Deculus
OT · #76
A. Schlottmann
C · #51
B. Crenshaw-Dickson
OT · #78
B. Oliver
WR · #80
C. Ridley
WR · #0
C. Ward
QB · #1
C. Tate
WR · #14
C. Dike
WR · #17
C. Volson
G · #73
C. Jackson
WR · #39
D. Moore Jr.
OT · #75
D. Bellinger
TE · #82
D. Martin-Robinson
TE · #88
D. Moss
G · #67
E. Ayomanor
WR · #5
F. Carmona
G · #66
G. Dellinger
G · #71
G. Helm
TE · #84
H. Beatty
WR · #13
H. Hooker
QB · #16
J. Slater
G · #64
J. Kanak
TE · #81
J. Latham
OT · #55
J. Wilson
TE · #83
J. Chestnut
RB · #36
K.J. Osborn
WR · #85
K. Mullings
RB · #31
K. Granson
TE · #86
L. McCutcheon
WR · #89
M. Kinsey
WR · #12
M. Carter
RB · #35
M. Trubisky
QB · #10
N. Singleton
RB · #32
P. Coogan
C · #79
P. Skoronski
G · #77
R. Miller
OT · #62
T. Pollard
RB · #20
T. Spears
RB · #2
T. Montgomery
WR · #19
W. Robinson
WR · #4
W. Levis
QB · #8
X. Restrepo
WR · #87
Z. Thomas
OT · #72
Defense · 44
The stop unit
A. Taylor
CB · #24
A. Hooker
S · #37
A. Hill Jr.
LB · #53
B. Fitzgerald
S · #31
C. Horsley
DT · #68
C. Gray
LB · #33
C. Barton
LB · #50
C. Flott
CB · #18
D. Agoha
DE · #58
D. Mausi
LB · #54
E. Brown IV
DE · #99
E. Hallett II
S · #41
H. Clark
S · #42
J. Marshall
DT · #96
J. Martin
DE · #57
J. McMurray
CB · #16
J. Holmes
DE · #97
J. Williams Sr.
LB · #52
J. Harrell
LB · #92
J. Lukus
CB · #35
J. Simmons
DT · #98
J. Johnson II
DE · #11
J. Reed II
S · #28
J. Franklin-Myers
DE · #91
J. Elliott
DT · #95
J. Williams
CB · #25
K. Faulk
DE · #15
K. Brooks
S · #30
K. Winston Jr.
S · #23
K. Calligan
CB · #29
M. Herring
DE · #93
M. Powell
LB · #49
M. Harris
CB · #26
M. Robinson
CB · #21
M. Diabate
LB · #44
N. Johnson
S · #36
O. Oladejo
DE · #7
S. Kane
S · #42
S. Brown
LB · #48
S. Banks Jr.
LB · #40
S. Thomas
DT · #90
T. Horne
DT · #94
T. Adams
S · #38
T. Jones
DE · #56
Special teams · 3
