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SEA#13 · National Football Conference
Seattle Seahawks
0-0 (0.0%) · -
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#1 of 32
Elo rating 1653.8 · as of 2026-05-04 · nfl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2025-12-28 → 2026-02-08 · Full ATS profile →
Won by 17 at CAR, 27-10, 2025-12-28. Covered the spread (latest line).
Won by 10 at SF, 13-3, 2026-01-03. Covered the spread (latest line).
Won by 35 vs SF, 41-6, 2026-01-17. Covered the spread (latest line).
Won by 4 vs LAR, 31-27, 2026-01-25. Covered the spread (latest line).
Won by 16 at NE, 29-13, 2026-02-08. Covered the spread (latest line).
latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01
Graded snap by snap
How good were they, snap to snap?
Their offense ranked 10th of 32 in the 2025 regular season, across 791 graded plays; the defense ranked 1st across 802.
EPA per play is how many points the average play was worth. Zero means the play was worth what an average play in that situation is worth. Across all 32 teams in 2025, offenses averaged +0.009 per play and defenses allowed +0.014 — those are averages of the 32 team rates, not play-weighted.
791 off plays · 802 def plays · win-probability band 0.05–0.95 · explosive = 20+ pass / 12+ rush yds
OFFENSE · 2025 REG
+0.054
Team EPA per play
10th of 32lg avg +0.009
DEFENSE · 2025 REG
-0.124
Team EPA per play allowed
1st of 32lg avg +0.014
The full split791/802 plays
Offense — team-wide, every graded snap
All plays+0.05471
10th of 32 · lg avg +0.009 · 2024 REG -0.031 (22nd)
Success47.3%84
6th of 32 · lg avg 44.2% · 2024 REG 44.0% (16th)
Explosive9.1%84
6th of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 8.2% (15th)
Dropbacks+0.12374
9th of 32 · lg avg +0.043 · 2024 REG +0.012 (21st)
Rushes-0.03658
14th of 32 · lg avg -0.043 · 2024 REG -0.113 (24th)
Defense — allowed, lower is better
All plays-0.12499+
1st of 32 · lg avg +0.014 · 2024 REG -0.014 (10th)
Success39.5%94
3rd of 32 · lg avg 44.3% · 2024 REG 44.1% (16th)
Explosive5.2%97
2nd of 32 · lg avg 7.6% · 2024 REG 7.2% (9th)
Dropbacks-0.07481
7th of 32 · lg avg +0.050 · 2024 REG +0.022 (9th)
Rushes-0.21299+
1st of 32 · lg avg -0.042 · 2024 REG -0.072 (15th)
Bar = where they rank among all 32 teams. Number = the raw value.
Whole-team totals over every graded snap. The QB card further down rates one passer’s dropbacks from a different table, so its EPA/play is a different number, not a contradiction.
Offense EPA/play — 2025 REG +0.054 · 2024 REG -0.031 · +0.085
Defense EPA/play allowed — 2025 REG -0.124 · 2024 REG -0.014 · -0.110
Two separate completed regular seasons. This is what happened, not a forecast.
nfl_team_epa, 2025 REG, 791 plays, WP 0.05-0.95, computed 2026-06-18 · method r782-epa-v1
nflverse / nflfastR (CC BY 4.0), modified by theoneanalytics: aggregated to team/QB-season EPA. Win-probability band excludes garbage time. Regular season only — this table carries no playoff rows and no week-by-week splits.
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Passing yards
- 1Sam Darnold25 TD4,048
- 2Drew Lock0 TD15
Rushing yards
- 1Kenneth Walker III5 TD1,027
- 2Zach Charbonnet12 TD730
- 3Sam Darnold0 TD95
- 4George Holani1 TD73
- 5Rashid Shaheed0 TD64
Receiving yards
- 1Jaxon Smith-Njigba10 TD1,793
- 2Cooper Kupp2 TD593
- 3AJ Barner6 TD519
- 4Kenneth Walker III0 TD282
- 5Rashid Shaheed0 TD188
Receptions
- 1Jaxon Smith-Njigba17 G119
- 2AJ Barner17 G52
- 3Cooper Kupp16 G47
- 4Kenneth Walker III17 G31
- 5Zach Charbonnet16 G20
Total TDs
- 1Sam Darnold17 G25
- 2Zach Charbonnet16 G12
- 3Jaxon Smith-Njigba17 G10
- 4AJ Barner17 G7
- 5Kenneth Walker III17 G5
Passing + rushing + receiving TDs combined.
2025 season · player_stats_weekly (nflverse weekly ingest) · counting boards ungated · yards/carry requires 50+ carries
Under center
What the QB is worth
QB value (our estimate)
Sam Darnold
568 att · n=42 qualified QBs
Our QBR estimate73.4
- EPA / play+0.139
- Accuracy +4.1%
- Pressure0.2%
Built on +0.139 EPA/play and 4.1% accuracy over expected. Our estimate, not ESPN's QBR.
Box-score power tier · league of 32
Where they rank
Strong
avg rank 12.8
YDS
7th
Total yards
PASS
9th
Pass yards
RUSH
10th
Rush yards
PTS
12th
Points
TO
26th
Turnovers
Offensive profile · 2025
How the offense plays
Per-game · 17 weeks
Identity · Pass-leaning
66% pass · 34% rush
PASS
RUSH
Total yards
362vs 342 yds/GSlight edge
Passing yards
239vs 225 yds/GSlight edge
Rushing yards
123vs 117 yds/GSlight edge
Points scored
24.4vs 23.5 pts/GLeague avg
Turnovers
1.20vs 0.90 TO/GBelow avg
Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2025 season. The team identity strip up top reads at a glance: pass-heavy offenses usually score more in volume; run-heavy offenses control time of possession and game script.
2026 Draft Class · 7 picks
The new arrivals.
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 9
Signed OT Bobby Hart to a contract.
- Jun 8
Signed OT Bobby Hart to a contract. Waived WR Levi Wentz.
- Jun 1
Signed RN Jadarian Price to a contract.
- May 27
Acquired WR Irvin Charles from the N.Y. Jets in exchange for a 2028 conditional seventh-round draft pick. Waived WR Trayvon Rudolph.
Source · ESPN
Offense · 44
The attack
A. Lucas
OT · #72
A. Barner
TE · #88
A. Kight
OT · #79
A. Bradford
G · #75
B. Stephens
G · #60
B. Hart
OT · #68
B. Russell
FB · #38
B. Cabeldue
G · #77
C. Cross
OT · #67
C. Haynes
G · #64
C. White
WR · #82
C. Kupp
WR · #10
D. Lock
QB · #2
E. Arroyo
TE · #18
E. Wilson
RB · #27
E. Henderson Jr.
WR · #84
E. Saubert
TE · #81
F. Maranges
C · #62
G. Holani
RB · #36
G. Zabel
G · #76
I. Charles
WR · #85
J. Wright
RB · #31
J. Price
RB · #8
J. Bobo
WR · #19
J. Milroe
QB · #6
J. Sundell
C · #61
J. Smith-Njigba
WR · #11
J. Jones
G · #74
K. Duplessis
WR · #25
L. Mason
TE · #42
L. Brown
OT · #73
M. Richman
G · #78
M. Foster Jr.
WR · #87
N. Kallerup
TE · #89
N. Vannett
TE · #83
O. Oluwatimi
C · #55
R. Rochelle
WR · #35
R. Shaheed
WR · #22
R. White III
WR · #86
R. Ouzts
FB · #40
S. Darnold
QB · #14
T. Horton
WR · #15
V. Jones Jr.
WR · #33
Z. Charbonnet
RB · #26
Defense · 44
The stop unit
A. Hubbard
LB · #93
A. Finley
S · #30
A. Fuller
CB · #35
B. Johnson
CB · #36
B. Pili
DT · #95
B. Thomas
DT · #69
B. Clark
S · #9
B. Murphy II
DT · #91
C. Surratt
LB · #44
C. Paul Jr.
LB · #49
C. O'Toole
LB · #57
D. Bell
S · #23
D. Fowler Jr.
LB · #56
D. Lawrence
LB · #0
D. Hall
LB · #58
D. Eastern
DT · #97
D. Witherspoon
CB · #21
D. Thomas
LB · #32
E. Jones IV
LB · #13
J.R. Singleton
DT · #70
J. Weston
LB · #46
J. Gaines
LB · #47
J. Sheriff
LB · #50
J. Ivey
LB · #51
J. Reed
DT · #90
J. Jobe
CB · #29
J. Love
S · #20
J. Neal
CB · #1
L. Williams
DT · #99
M. Jones Jr.
LB · #59
M. Hook
S · #43
M. Dansby
CB · #37
M. Morris
DE · #94
N. Pritchett
CB · #28
N. Emmanwori
S · #3
N. Igbinoghene
CB · #17
P. O'Connell
LB · #52
R. Thomas II
S · #24
R. Mills
DT · #98
S. Jean-Charles
CB · #34
T. Okada
S · #39
T. Knight
LB · #48
U. Nwosu
LB · #7
U. Seumalo
DT · #92
Special teams · 3
