UTAH
12-21
LAC
12-21
UTAH · top performer
Kyle Anderson
F · #2
22
Pts
8
Reb
1
Ast
LAC · top performer
Kawhi Leonard
F · #2
45
Pts
7
Reb
3
Ast
Biggest swing: 13pp · 4th Quarter · 10:58
NBA · Utah Jazz at LA Clippers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 28 | 4 | 2-13 | 0-5 | — | -18 | 6 | 1 | |
| 17 | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | — | -10 | 2 | 0 | |
| 32 | 20 | 7-15 | 0-5 | 6-8 | -14 | 3 | 3 | |
| 24 | 5 | 2-9 | 1-5 | — | -13 | 2 | 1 | |
| 37 | 16 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | -15 | 6 | 10 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 32 | 22 | 8-10 | — | 6-7 | +7 | 8 | 1 | |
| 26 | 18 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 4-5 | -10 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1-4 | — | 0-1 | -3 | 6 | 1 | |
| 30 | 9 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | -9 | 2 | 3 | |
| Team | 101 | 36-78 | 6-27 | 23-30 | 35 | 20 | ||
| DNP: K. Love, J. Nurkic, A. Bailey | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 39 | 45 | 16-29 | 6-16 | 7-9 | +8 | 7 | 3 | |
| 20 | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | +12 | 11 | 0 | |
| 20 | 3 | 1-12 | 1-12 | — | +2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 29 | 20 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 9-11 | +5 | 3 | 7 | |
| 24 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | — | -4 | 2 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 28 | 14 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | +11 | 2 | 1 | |
| 24 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-3 | — | +11 | 6 | 1 | |
| 27 | 6 | 3-7 | — | — | +18 | 10 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | — | — | — | +3 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | — | — | — | +3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 24 | 10 | 4-7 | 2-5 | — | +13 | 4 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | — | — | — | +3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 118 | 40-89 | 16-51 | 22-26 | 47 | 20 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
46
FG %
45
20
Ast
20
Team stats
UTAH
Away
Stat
LAC
Home
36-78
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
40-89
46
FG %
45
6-27
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
16-51
23-30
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
22-26
20
Assists
20
18
Turnovers
12
Season series
Series tied 1-1
LAC108@UTAH129UTAH101@LAC118todayLAC115@UTAH103Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LAC -13.5
Between 10 and —
Total
230.5
Standard · +4.5 vs avg
Moneyline
UTAH+57515%LAC-85089%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
13.5
0.0 since open
Total
230.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
LAC beat UTAH 118-101. K. Leonard led the way with 45 points and 7 rebounds. LAC outscored the other side 36-20 in the 4th quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LAC vs UTAH
Starters vs bench
production by unitUTAHstarters 50% of ptsStarters(5)
50 PTS · 19 REB · 15 AST
GS 22
Bench(4)
51 PTS · 16 REB · 5 AST
GS 47
LACstarters 66% of ptsStarters(5)
78 PTS · 25 REB · 13 AST
GS 61
Bench(7)
40 PTS · 22 REB · 7 AST
GS 36
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactJames Harden · makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
Kawhi Leonard · makes 27-foot three point jumper (Yanic Konan Niederhauser assists)
Kawhi Leonard · makes 25-foot three pointer
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 17 | 33 | 31 | 20 | 101 |
| LAC | 31 | 22 | 29 | 36 | 118 |
Period scoring
UTAH won 2 · LAC won 2
Q1
Anderson 6
Harden 11
Q2
Anderson 10
Leonard 16
Q3
Sensabaugh 12
Harden 8
Q4
Collier 7
Leonard 20
Shooting comparison
46%
36-78
FG
45%
40-89
22%
6-27
3PT
31%
16-51
77%
23-30
FT
85%
22-26
Play-by-play · 472 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
UTAH 101·LAC 118
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
UTAH 101·LAC 118
- Q4·6.6
shot clock turnover
UTAH 101·LAC 118
- Q4·30.7
Taylor Hendricks out of bounds bad pass turnover
UTAH 101·LAC 118
- Q4·34.7
Kobe Brown bad pass turnover (Taylor Hendricks steals)
·
UTAH 101·LAC 118
- Q4·47.3
Brice Sensabaugh makes 1-foot driving dunk (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
·
UTAH 101·LAC 118
- Q4·53.5
Kobe Sanders makes 22-foot three point jumper (Jordan Miller assists)
·
UTAH 99·LAC 118
- Q4·1:08
Brice Sensabaugh steps out of bounds turnover
UTAH 99·LAC 115
- Q4·1:17
Kobe Sanders makes driving layup
UTAH 99·LAC 115
- Q4·1:29
Kobe Brown enters the game for Nicolas Batum
·
UTAH 99·LAC 113
- Q4·1:29
Jordan Miller enters the game for Derrick Jones Jr.
·
UTAH 99·LAC 113
- Q4·1:29
Cam Christie enters the game for Kawhi Leonard
·
UTAH 99·LAC 113
- Q4·1:29
Clippers Full timeout
UTAH 99·LAC 113
- Q4·1:29
Kobe Sanders defensive rebound
UTAH 99·LAC 113
- Q4·1:29
Brice Sensabaugh misses 24-foot running jump shot
UTAH 99·LAC 113
- Q4·1:37
Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
UTAH 99·LAC 113
- Q4·1:39
Isaiah Collier blocks Yanic Konan Niederhauser 's 3-foot two point shot
·
UTAH 99·LAC 113
- Q4·1:41
Yanic Konan Niederhauser offensive rebound
UTAH 99·LAC 113
- Q4·1:43
Kawhi Leonard misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
UTAH 99·LAC 113
- Q4·2:05
Isaiah Collier makes free throw 2 of 2
UTAH 99·LAC 113
- Q4·2:05
Jazz offensive team rebound
UTAH 98·LAC 113
- Q4·2:05
Isaiah Collier misses free throw 1 of 2
UTAH 98·LAC 113
- Q4·2:05
Derrick Jones Jr. shooting foul
UTAH 98·LAC 113
- Q4·2:10
Kobe Sanders offensive foul turnover
UTAH 98·LAC 113
- Q4·2:10
Kobe Sanders offensive foul
UTAH 98·LAC 113
- Q4·2:22
Kyle Anderson makes 8-foot two point shot
UTAH 98·LAC 113
- Q4·2:42
Kawhi Leonard makes running layup (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)
·
UTAH 96·LAC 113
- Q4·2:47
Brice Sensabaugh lost ball turnover (Kawhi Leonard steals)
·
UTAH 96·LAC 111
- Q4·2:57
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
UTAH 96·LAC 111
- Q4·2:59
Kawhi Leonard misses 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
UTAH 96·LAC 111
Betting line
LAC -13.5·O/U 230.5·UTAH +575/LAC -850
Recap · NBA
A Clippers held off Utah Jazz, 118–101.
LAC -13.5 cashed (won by 17). Total stayed UNDER 230.5 by 11.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 players in cohort- Kawhi LeonardTOR · FUSG%33.399
Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC · CTS%69.198
Kris DunnLAC · GDEFL3.697
Brook LopezLAC · CCONT8.396
James HardenCLE · GDRIVES12.694
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · UTAH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LAC vs UTAH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
160
projections · 130 high confidence
Points
- Lauri MarkkanenUTAH24.2± 5.0high
- Keyonte GeorgeUTAH21.4± 8.8high
- Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH20.7± 4.8high
Rebounds
- Jusuf NurkicUTAH11.4± 4.1high
- Kyle FilipowskiUTAH8.1± 2.6high
- John KoncharUTAH6.6± 3.4high
Assists
- Isaiah CollierUTAH6.6± 2.5high
- Kennedy ChandlerUTAH6.5± 2.2medium
- Darius GarlandLAC6.3± 2.3high
Blocks
- Brook LopezLAC1.3± 1.4high
- Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC1.3± 1.5high
- Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH1.3± 1.3high
Steals
- Bez MbengUTAH2.5± 1.7medium
- John KoncharUTAH1.9± 1.7high
- Kris DunnLAC1.6± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
UTAH
league avg
LAC
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶55.9%
46.7%
FG%
47.0
▶48.5%
117.6
PPG
114.9
113.9
29.6
Assists / G
25.0
23.8
15.0
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶13.6
Team pages