May 4, 26sim 93
221
28(H)0
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+2SD
SD
32-24
75
WSH
29-29
Nationals Park · Washington, District of Columbia
26,529 attended
Line movement
200 snapshots
WSH spread
+1.5
open +1.5
Total
O/U 9.0
open O/U 9.0
WSH no-vig %
49.6%
open 50.0% · -0.4
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = WSH favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
SD wins
SD 7 · WSH 5 (by 2)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked SD +1pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| WSH | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant