Matchup orbital

SEA

3

SEA

SEA

14-15

Final

Win prob

51/49

AWAY · HOME

STL

2

STL

STL

14-13

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

SEA 3 · STL 2 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked SEA +1pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
SEA0001001013
STL0010010002

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

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MLBGame · Sun, Apr 26Final
SEA

SEA14-15

SEA

@

14-13STL

STL

STL
SeriesSEA wins series 3-0VegasSEA -130

Recap · MLB

eattle Mariners went into St. Louis Cardinals and beat them, 3–2. It came down to the final possession.

STL +1.5 cashed (SEA won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 8.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
SEA
SEAWIN14-153
FINAL
STL
STL14-132

Current series

SEA wins series 3-0

Apr 25SEASEA3@STLSTL2
Apr 25SEASEA11@STLSTL9
Apr 26SEASEA3@STLSTL2today

Season series

SEA wins series 3-0

Apr 25SEASEA3@STLSTL2
Apr 25SEASEA11@STLSTL9
Apr 26SEASEA3@STLSTL2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

8.5

Standard · 0.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA-13057%
STLSTL+10848%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSEA ↔ STL

Biggest swing: 39pp · Top 9th Inning

SEASEA
R. Refsnyder

R. Refsnyder

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 1 HR · 5.000 OPS

E. Hancock

E. Hancock

SP

Starting pitcher

6.0 IP · 4 K · 2 ER · 7 H · 2 BB

STLSTL
N. Church

N. Church

LF

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.750 OPS

M. McGreevy

M. McGreevy

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.0 IP · 6 K · 1 ER · 5 H

How it ended

SEA beat STL 3-2. Refsnyder's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (39pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

STL vs SEA

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

SEA3
STL2

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
STLBottom 6th Inning · 1-2
+19pp→ 74% WP

Church · homered to right (407 feet).

SEATop 7th Inning · 2-2
+19pp→ 44% WP

Young · singled to right, Joe scored.

SEATop 9th Inning · 3-2
+39pp→ 84% WP

Refsnyder · homered to left center (412 feet).

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
SEA0001001013
STL0010010002

Period scoring

SEA won 3 · STL won 2

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
1

Inn 3

Wetherholt 1

1
0

Inn 4

Raleigh 1

0
0

Inn 5

0
1

Inn 6

Church 1

1
0

Inn 7

Young 1

0
0

Inn 8

1
0

Inn 9

Refsnyder 1

SEA
STL

Game flow · key plays

  1. T9

    Refsnyder homered to left center (412 feet).

    SEA 3·STL 2

    −39pp

  2. T7

    Young singled to right, Joe scored.

    SEA 2·STL 2

    −19pp

  3. B6

    Church homered to right (407 feet).

    SEA 1·STL 2

    +19pp

  4. T6

    Rivas singled to right.

    SEA 1·STL 1

    −10pp

  5. T4

    Raleigh homered to right center (401 feet).

    SEA 1·STL 1

    −13pp

  6. B3

    Wetherholt homered to right center (375 feet).

    SEA 0·STL 1

    +11pp

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

STL

Home

8

Hits

7

0

Errors

0

3

Runs

2

Player box score

SEA

SEA

14-15

3
J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford★

SS

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Raleigh

C. Raleigh★

C

OPS

1.250

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

J. Rodriguez

J. Rodriguez★

CF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Arozarena

R. Arozarena★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Raley

L. Raley★

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Canzone

D. Canzone★

RF

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Joe

C. Joe★

1B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Young

C. Young★

2B

OPS

1.333

H-AB

2-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

L. Rivas

L. Rivas★

3B

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Refsnyder

R. Refsnyder

RF

OPS

5.000

H-AB

1-1

R

1

RBI

1

HR

1

M. Garver

M. Garver

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

8-34

R

3

RBI

3

HR

2

E. Hancock

E. Hancock★

SP

IP

6.0

H

7

ER

2

K

4

G. Speier

G. Speier

RP

IP

0.2

H

0

ER

0

K

0

E. Bazardo

E. Bazardo

RP

IP

1.1

H

0

ER

0

K

1

J. Ferrer

J. Ferrer

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

Team total

IP

9.0

H

7

ER

2

K

5

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 8.5·SEA -130/STL +108

DraftKings · via ESPN