WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+28LV

30-14

10375

21-23

WNBAThu, Sep 11FinalSeriesLV wins series 3-1

LV · top performer

A'ja Wilson

C · #22

28.6Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

LA · top performer

Dearica Hamby

F · #5

12.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowLV ↔ LA

Biggest swing: 5pp · 1st Quarter · 4:42

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
N. SmithF · #3	24	10	5-8	0-1	—	+39	2	2
A. WilsonC · #22	33	23	9-17	3-3	2-2	+33	19	4
C. GrayG · #12	33	15	6-10	3-5	—	+30	6	10
J. YoungG · #0	31	17	6-11	5-10	—	+34	5	12
A. NyeG · #13	19	6	2-7	2-7	—	+5	2	2
Bench
C. Parker-TyusF · #32	6	8	2-3	1-1	3-4	-5	2	0
K. StokesC · #41	5	0	—	—	—	-7	1	0
GustafsonC · #17	6	3	1-1	1-1	—	-6	1	0
J. LoydG · #24	27	21	7-17	7-16	—	+23	3	0
D. EvansG · #11	17	0	0-4	0-1	—	-6	3	5
Team		103	38-78	22-45	5-6		44	35

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
D. HambyF · #5	27	15	6-13	—	3-4	-28	6	3
A. StevensF · #23	26	5	2-6	1-5	—	-27	12	2
K. PlumG · #10	34	15	5-14	1-5	4-4	-24	4	8
R. BurrellG · #12	27	10	4-11	1-4	1-1	-21	2	1
S. BarkerG · #13	38	15	7-12	1-5	—	-30	2	2
Bench
E. CannonF · #32	7	0	0-1	0-1	—	-1	1	1
C. BrinkF · #22	5	2	1-2	0-1	—	0	2	0
S. FeaginF · #1	10	4	2-2	—	—	-3	0	2
A. PiliF · #24	6	7	3-5	—	1-1	+3	1	0
J. VanlooG · #35	21	2	1-7	0-5	—	-9	2	4
Team		75	31-73	4-26	9-10		32	23

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

Home

38-78

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

31-73

FG %

22-45

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

4-26

5-6

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

9-10

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

LV wins series 3-1

May 31

LA81@

LV96

Jun 12

LA97@

LV89

Jul 30

LV89@

LA74

Sep 12

LV103@

LA75today

How it ended

LV beat LA 103-75. A. Wilson led with 23 PTS, 19 REB, 4 AST. LV outscored the other side 29-13 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

LA vs LV

Starters vs bench

production by unit

LVstarters 69% of pts

Starters(5)

71 PTS · 34 REB · 30 AST

GS 86

Bench(5)

32 PTS · 10 REB · 5 AST

GS 22

LAstarters 80% of pts

Starters(5)

60 PTS · 26 REB · 16 AST

GS 45

Bench(5)

15 PTS · 6 REB · 7 AST

GS 10

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
LV	29	24	24	26	103
LA	13	21	24	17	75

Period scoring

LV won 3 · LA won 0

Young 12

Hamby 7

Gray 10

Plum 7

Wilson 14

Barker 9

Loyd 6

Burrell 7

Shooting comparison

49%

38-78

42%

31-73

49%

22-45

3PT

15%

4-26

83%

5-6

90%

9-10

Play-by-play · 363 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
LV 103·LA 75
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
LV 103·LA 75
Q4·0.6
shot clock turnover
LV 103·LA 75
Q4·25.0
Rae Burrell makes free throw 1 of 1
LV 103·LA 75
Q4·25.0
Dana Evans shooting foul
LV 103·LA 74
Q4·25.0
Rae Burrell makes two point shot (Sarah Ashlee Barker assists)
·
LV 103·LA 74
Q4·29.4
Dana Evans bad pass (Sarah Ashlee Barker steals)
·
LV 103·LA 72
Q4·38.9
Julie Vanloo makes driving layup
LV 103·LA 72
Q4·47.4
Megan Gustafson makes 27-foot three point jumper (Dana Evans assists)
·
LV 103·LA 70
Q4·57.1
Megan Gustafson defensive rebound
LV 100·LA 70
Q4·1:00
Rae Burrell misses 24-foot three point jumper
LV 100·LA 70
Q4·1:09
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus makes free throw 2 of 2
LV 100·LA 70
Q4·1:09
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus makes free throw 1 of 2
LV 99·LA 70
Q4·1:09
Sania Feagin shooting foul
LV 98·LA 70
Q4·1:23
Rae Burrell makes two point shot (Emma Cannon assists)
·
LV 98·LA 70
Q4·1:29
Dana Evans bad pass (Emma Cannon steals)
·
LV 98·LA 68
Q4·1:32
Kiah Stokes offensive rebound
LV 98·LA 68
Q4·1:37
Aaliyah Nye misses 24-foot three point jumper
LV 98·LA 68
Q4·1:53
Rae Burrell makes driving layup (Julie Vanloo assists)
·
LV 98·LA 68
Q4·1:59
Aaliyah Nye enters the game for Jewell Loyd
·
LV 98·LA 66
Q4·1:59
Cheyenne Parker-Tyus enters the game for A'ja Wilson
·
LV 98·LA 66
Q4·1:59
Megan Gustafson enters the game for Chelsea Gray
·
LV 98·LA 66
Q4·1:59
Dana Evans enters the game for NaLyssa Smith
·
LV 98·LA 66
Q4·1:59
Kiah Stokes enters the game for Jackie Young
·
LV 98·LA 66
Q4·1:59
Sparks Full timeout
LV 98·LA 66
Q4·1:59
Chelsea Gray personal take foul
LV 98·LA 66
Q4·2:06
Jackie Young makes 25-foot three pointer (Chelsea Gray assists)
·
LV 98·LA 66
Q4·2:23
A'ja Wilson defensive rebound
LV 95·LA 66
Q4·2:26
Julie Vanloo misses 23-foot three point pullup jump shot
LV 95·LA 66
Q4·2:33
NaLyssa Smith makes two point shot
LV 95·LA 66

Recap · WNBA

as Vegas Aces went into Los Angeles Sparks and beat them, 103–75. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

LV38/78 · 49%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim8/13

62%

In the paint4/11

36%

Mid-range4/9

44%

Top-of-arc 319/37

51%

Left corner 33/8

38%

LA31/73 · 42%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim26/39

67%

In the paint0/7

Top-of-arc 32/21

10%

Left corner 31/4

25%

Right corner 32/2

100%

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

eFG%

shooting

62.8%

45.2%

TOV%

ball control

12.0%

15.3%

OREB%

offensive glass

28.9%

13.2%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

6.4%

12.3%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

NaLyssa SmithLV · F
eFG%.69599+
A'ja WilsonLV · C
USG%.32399+
Kiah StokesGS · C
AST/TO3.899+
Kelsey PlumLA · G
TS%.68699
Megan DiLeoPOR · C
TS%.67497

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

LV38/78 · 49%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim8/13

62%

In the paint4/11

36%

Mid-range4/9

44%

Top-of-arc 319/37

51%

Left corner 33/8

38%

LA31/73 · 42%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim26/39

67%

In the paint0/7

Top-of-arc 32/21

10%

Left corner 31/4

25%

Right corner 32/2

100%

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

36.1%

ensemble · LV favored

Elo Static
44.1%
P(LA win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
46.0%
P(LA win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
49.1%
P(LA win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

2.05 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

86% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LA vs LV.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

110

projections · 85 high confidence

Points

A'ja WilsonLV
24.9± 8.3high
Kelsey PlumLA
23.3± 15.0low
Jackie YoungLV
17.7± 8.7high

Rebounds

Nneka OgwumikeLA
9.5± 2.6high
A'ja WilsonLV
9.3± 3.8high
Dearica HambyLA
6.9± 2.2high

Assists

Chelsea GrayLV
7.1± 2.1high
Kelsey PlumLA
6.6± 3.5low
Jackie YoungLV
6.5± 3.1high

Blocks

A'ja WilsonLV
1.8± 1.3high
Cameron BrinkLA
1.5± 0.8high
NaLyssa SmithLV
0.6± 1.0high

Steals

Dearica HambyLA
1.8± 1.3high
A'ja WilsonLV
1.6± 1.5high
Jewell LoydLV
1.6± 0.8high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Team pages

Las Vegas AcesLos Angeles Sparks

Elsewhere in the WNBA

Data via ESPN · wehoop