WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+21DAL

PHX

27-17

7697

DAL

10-34

WNBAThu, Sep 11FinalSeriestied 2-2

PHX · top performer

Satou Sabally

F · #0

14.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

DAL · top performer

Paige Bueckers

G · #5

24.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowPHX ↔ DAL

Biggest swing: 12pp · 2nd Quarter · 1:00

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
A. ThomasF · #25	13	3	1-3	—	1-2	-3	2	5
N. MackF · #4	16	3	1-5	—	1-2	+1	3	1
S. SaballyF · #0	20	14	5-9	2-6	2-3	0	5	5
K. CopperG · #2	17	8	3-9	2-4	—	+1	0	1
M. Akoa MakaniG · #8	17	6	2-2	2-2	—	0	5	3
Bench
K. WestbeldF · #24	20	9	1-2	—	7-8	-11	3	1
K. BrownC · #21	24	12	5-7	1-1	1-2	-22	5	0
S. WhitcombG · #33	13	0	0-4	0-3	—	-17	0	0
K. LaksaG · #9	24	8	3-5	2-4	—	-25	1	1
K. WilliamsG · #23	19	8	3-7	2-5	—	-14	1	2
L. HeldG · #1	18	5	2-5	1-3	—	-15	2	2
Team		76	26-58	12-28	12-17		27	21

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
M. Hines-AllenF · #2	27	7	3-11	0-4	1-1	+21	10	6
M. SiegristF · #20	20	10	4-7	0-1	2-2	+8	2	2
G. BergerG · #9	16	4	2-3	0-1	—	-4	0	3
P. BueckersG · #5	30	24	10-18	2-3	2-3	+21	8	7
H. JonesG · #30	22	6	3-7	0-1	0-2	-7	2	3
Bench
A. OkonkwoF · #0	26	20	8-13	4-8	—	+30	4	0
D. MillerF · #1	21	4	1-6	0-3	2-2	+14	7	2
A. PettyF · #3	3	0	—	—	—	-4	0	0
C. WilliamsG · #13	4	2	1-2	—	—	-3	0	0
A. JamesG · #10	31	20	9-17	2-7	0-1	+29	9	1
Team		97	41-84	8-28	7-11		42	24

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

PHX

Away

Stat

DAL

Home

26-58

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

41-84

FG %

12-28

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

8-28

12-17

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

7-11

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Jun 12

DAL80@

PHX93

Jul 4

PHX89@

DAL98

Jul 8

DAL72@

PHX102

Sep 12

PHX76@

DAL97today

How it ended

DAL beat PHX 97-76. P. Bueckers led with 24 PTS, 8 REB, 7 AST. DAL outscored the other side 32-19 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

DAL vs PHX

Starters vs bench

production by unit

PHXstarters 45% of pts

Starters(5)

34 PTS · 15 REB · 15 AST

GS 30

Bench(6)

42 PTS · 12 REB · 6 AST

GS 21

DALstarters 53% of pts

Starters(5)

51 PTS · 22 REB · 21 AST

GS 49

Bench(5)

46 PTS · 20 REB · 3 AST

GS 40

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

DAL2nd Quarter · 4:37 · 37-38

+9pp→ 51% WP

Amy Okonkwo · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Haley Jones assists)

DAL2nd Quarter · 54.6 · 45-54

+10pp→ 80% WP

Amy Okonkwo · makes 24-foot three point shot (Paige Bueckers assists)

PHX2nd Quarter · 1:00 · 45-51

+12pp→ 30% WP

Paige Bueckers · blocks Sami Whitcomb 's 2-foot driving layup

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
PHX	28	19	13	16	76
DAL	25	32	25	15	97

Period scoring

PHX won 2 · DAL won 2

Sabally 9

James 7

Brown 5

Okonkwo 11

Copper 3

Berger 6

Williams 5

Okonkwo 5

PHX

DAL

Shooting comparison

PHX

DAL

45%

26-58

49%

41-84

43%

12-28

3PT

29%

8-28

71%

12-17

64%

7-11

Play-by-play · 375 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHX 76·DAL 97
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHX 76·DAL 97
Q4·15.6
Aziaha James defensive rebound
PHX 76·DAL 97
Q4·18.6
Kiana Williams misses 23-foot three point step back jumpshot
·
PHX 76·DAL 97
Q4·34.0
Aziaha James makes driving layup
PHX 76·DAL 97
Q4·49.3
Kitija Laksa makes 29-foot three point jumper (Lexi Held assists)
·
PHX 76·DAL 95
Q4·1:00
Lexi Held defensive rebound
PHX 73·DAL 95
Q4·1:00
Haley Jones misses layup
PHX 73·DAL 95
Q4·1:08
Kalani Brown makes layup (Kiana Williams assists)
· ·
PHX 73·DAL 95
Q4·1:18
Mercury defensive team rebound
PHX 71·DAL 95
Q4·1:20
Diamond Miller misses driving layup
PHX 71·DAL 95
Q4·1:33
Kiana Williams makes 23-foot three point jumper (Kitija Laksa assists)
· ·
PHX 71·DAL 95
Q4·1:44
Haley Jones makes driving layup
PHX 68·DAL 95
Q4·1:48
Diamond Miller defensive rebound
PHX 68·DAL 93
Q4·1:50
Lexi Held misses 15-foot step back jumpshot
PHX 68·DAL 93
Q4·2:07
Kalani Brown defensive rebound
PHX 68·DAL 93
Q4·2:08
Kalani Brown blocks Christyn Williams 's 4-foot driving layup
· ·
PHX 68·DAL 93
Q4·2:20
Kitija Laksa makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot (Lexi Held assists)
·
PHX 68·DAL 93
Q4·2:36
Christyn Williams makes 15-foot pullup jump shot
·
PHX 66·DAL 93
Q4·2:50
Kiana Williams out of bounds bad pass turnover
·
PHX 66·DAL 91
Q4·2:56
Aziaha James bad pass (Kathryn Westbeld steals)
·
PHX 66·DAL 91
Q4·3:06
Kitija Laksa personal foul
PHX 66·DAL 91
Q4·3:20
Kathryn Westbeld makes free throw 2 of 2
PHX 66·DAL 91
Q4·3:20
Ajae Petty enters the game for Amy Okonkwo
·
PHX 65·DAL 91
Q4·3:20
Mercury offensive team rebound
PHX 65·DAL 91
Q4·3:20
Kathryn Westbeld misses free throw 1 of 2
PHX 65·DAL 91
Q4·3:20
Christyn Williams shooting foul
·
PHX 65·DAL 91
Q4·3:36
Amy Okonkwo makes 3-foot layup (Diamond Miller assists)
·
PHX 65·DAL 91
Q4·3:49
Christyn Williams enters the game for Paige Bueckers
· ·
PHX 65·DAL 89
Q4·3:49
Wings defensive team rebound
PHX 65·DAL 89

Recap · WNBA

allas Wings held off Phoenix Mercury, 97–76. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

PHX26/58 · 45%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim5/10

50%

In the paint7/15

47%

Mid-range2/5

40%

Top-of-arc 310/25

40%

Left corner 32/2

100%

DAL41/84 · 49%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim17/25

68%

In the paint11/15

73%

Mid-range5/16

31%

Top-of-arc 37/24

29%

Left corner 30/2

Right corner 31/2

50%

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

PHX

DAL

eFG%

shooting

55.2%

53.6%

TOV%

ball control

21.6%

9.2%

OREB%

offensive glass

16.7%

43.6%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

20.7%

8.3%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

4 of 10 players in cohort

Natasha MackPHX · F
TS%.70899+
Kahleah CopperPHX · G
USG%.30599
Paige BueckersDAL · G
AST/TO2.893
Alyssa ThomasPHX · F
AST/TO2.389

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

PHX26/58 · 45%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim5/10

50%

In the paint7/15

47%

Mid-range2/5

40%

Top-of-arc 310/25

40%

Left corner 32/2

100%

DAL41/84 · 49%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim17/25

68%

In the paint11/15

73%

Mid-range5/16

31%

Top-of-arc 37/24

29%

Left corner 30/2

Right corner 31/2

50%

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

16.7%

ensemble · PHX favored

Elo Static
30.3%
P(DAL win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
29.0%
P(DAL win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
30.5%
P(DAL win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.67 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

96% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

DAL vs PHX.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 90 high confidence

Points

Paige BueckersDAL
21.0± 6.2high
Kahleah CopperPHX
20.2± 8.1high
Arike OgunbowaleDAL
15.9± 8.1high

Rebounds

Jessica ShepardDAL
12.0± 4.1high
Alyssa ThomasPHX
7.5± 2.7high
DeWanna BonnerPHX
7.0± 2.1high

Assists

Alyssa ThomasPHX
8.3± 3.9high
Paige BueckersDAL
6.1± 2.3high
Jessica ShepardDAL
5.9± 2.7high

Blocks

Awak KuierDAL
1.3± 1.5high
Natasha MackPHX
1.1± 0.9high
Alyssa ThomasPHX
0.7± 0.4high

Steals

Azzi FuddDAL
1.8± 1.3high
Alyssa ThomasPHX
1.4± 1.3high
DeWanna BonnerPHX
1.2± 0.8high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Team pages

Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings

Elsewhere in the WNBA

Data via ESPN · wehoop