Sep 12, 25sim 92
1176
3(H)97
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+5NY
NY
27-17
9186
CHI
10-34
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
ew York Liberty went into Chicago Sky and beat them, 91–86.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NY · top performer
Breanna Stewart
F · #30
23.4Game score
24
Pts
6
Reb
3
Ast
CHI · top performer
Maddy Westbeld
F · #21
24.2Game score
25
Pts
7
Reb
3
Ast
WNBA · New York Liberty at Chicago Sky · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
NY27-17
9186
CHI10-34
NY27-17CHI10-34
NY
27-17
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 24 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +19 | |
USG%.27771 ORB%.05671 DRB%.24771 | ||||||||
| 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +23 | |
| 19 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +9 | |
ORB%.08986 DRB%.25386 eFG%.45529 | ||||||||
| 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +9 | |
| 26 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +21 | |
| 15 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10 | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -15 | |
| 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -11 | |
| 16 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +7 | |
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -21 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4 | |
| 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10 | |
| Team | 91 | 35 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 10 | ||
CHI
10-34
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 32 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5 | |
| 36 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1 | |
| 33 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | |
| 22 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -25 | |
| 32 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6 | |
| 28 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +12 | |
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -19 | |
| Team | 86 | 26 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 11 | ||
| DNP: A. Reese, E. Williams, C. Vandersloot, A. Atkins, H. Van Lith | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
49
FG %
50
26
Ast
25
Season series
NY wins series 3-1
May 23NY99@CHI74
NY99@CHI74Jun 11CHI66@NY85
CHI66@NY85Aug 21CHI91@NY85
CHI91@NY85Sep 12NY91@CHI86today
NY91@CHI86todayHeadlines · top performers
Game flowNY ↔ CHI
NYB. Stewart
FGame leader · 24 min
24 PTS · 6 REB · 3 AST
CHIM. Westbeld
FGame leader · 28 min
25 PTS · 7 REB · 3 AST
How it ended
NY beat CHI 91-86. B. Stewart led with 24 PTS, 6 REB, 3 AST. NY outscored the other side 28-11 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs NY
Starters vs bench
production by unitNYstarters 54% of ptsStarters(5)
49 PTS · 17 REB · 19 AST
GS 48
Bench(7)
42 PTS · 18 REB · 7 AST
GS 35
CHIstarters 71% of ptsStarters(5)
61 PTS · 19 REB · 18 AST
GS 47
Bench(2)
25 PTS · 7 REB · 7 AST
GS 24
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 28 | 28 | 22 | 13 | 91 |
| CHI | 11 | 31 | 16 | 28 | 86 |
Period scoring
NY won 2 · CHI won 2
28
11
Q1
Stewart 8
Cardoso 4
28
31
Q2
Meesseman 10
Westbeld 7
22
16
Q3
Stewart 8
Cardoso 6
13
28
Q4
Gardner 8
Westbeld 13
NY
CHI
Shooting comparison
NY
CHI
49%
34-69
FG
50%
32-64
35%
8-23
3PT
43%
12-28
88%
15-17
FT
83%
10-12
Play-by-play · 337 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 91·CHI 86
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 91·CHI 86
- Q4·4.7
Maddy Westbeld makes 26-foot jump bank shot (Rachel Banham assists)
·
NY 91·CHI 86
- Q4·11.9
Isabelle Harrison turnover
NY 91·CHI 83
- Q4·11.9
Isabelle Harrison offensive foul
NY 91·CHI 83
- Q4·28.5
Maddy Westbeld makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 91·CHI 83
−0.6pp
- Q4·28.5
Maddy Westbeld makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 91·CHI 82
- Q4·28.5
Nyara Sabally shooting foul
NY 91·CHI 81
- Q4·39.5
Marine Johannes makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
NY 91·CHI 81
−1pp
- Q4·55.6
Nyara Sabally defensive rebound
NY 88·CHI 81
−0.6pp
- Q4·57.7
Rachel Banham misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 88·CHI 81
−2pp
- Q4·1:12
Isabelle Harrison bad pass (Kamilla Cardoso steals)
·
NY 88·CHI 81
+2pp
- Q4·1:23
Nyara Sabally offensive rebound
NY 88·CHI 81
−2pp
- Q4·1:28
Marine Johannes misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 88·CHI 81
+3pp
- Q4·1:35
Michaela Onyenwere personal foul
NY 88·CHI 81
−2pp
- Q4·1:43
Maddy Westbeld makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kia Nurse assists)
·
NY 88·CHI 81
+2pp
- Q4·1:49
Maddy Westbeld defensive rebound
NY 88·CHI 78
- Q4·1:51
Stephanie Talbot misses driving layup
NY 88·CHI 78
- Q4·2:08
Kamilla Cardoso makes driving layup (Rachel Banham assists)
·
NY 88·CHI 78
- Q4·2:28
Rebekah Gardner makes 25-foot three point jumper (Marine Johannes assists)
·
NY 88·CHI 76
−2pp
- Q4·2:44
Rachel Banham makes 11-foot pullup jump shot
NY 85·CHI 76
+0.8pp
- Q4·2:51
Maddy Westbeld defensive rebound
NY 85·CHI 74
- Q4·2:53
Isabelle Harrison misses 11-foot two point shot
NY 85·CHI 74
- Q4·3:16
Liberty Full timeout
NY 85·CHI 74
- Q4·3:16
Kamilla Cardoso makes layup (Maddy Westbeld assists)
·
NY 85·CHI 74
- Q4·3:32
Michaela Onyenwere defensive rebound
NY 85·CHI 72
- Q4·3:37
Isabelle Harrison misses 16-foot jumper
NY 85·CHI 72
- Q4·3:48
Isabelle Harrison defensive rebound
NY 85·CHI 72
- Q4·3:51
Rachel Banham misses 23-foot three point step back jumpshot
NY 85·CHI 72
−2pp
- Q4·4:06
Stephanie Talbot personal foul
NY 85·CHI 72
+1pp
Team stats
NY
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
34-69
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
32-64
49
FG %
50
8-23
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
12-28
15-17
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
10-12
26
Assists
25
10
Turnovers
11
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
2 of 12 players in cohort
Jonquel JonesNY · CORB%.08986- Breanna StewartNY · FUSG%.27771
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · NY favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs NY.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
95
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Breanna StewartNY17.3± 11.0low
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Skylar DigginsCHI13.3± 9.9low
Rebounds
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Breanna StewartNY8.2± 2.4low
- Jonquel JonesNY8.0± 3.1low
Assists
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.4± 4.7low
- Marine JohannesNY4.2± 4.0low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
- Jonquel JonesNY1.2± 1.9low
Steals
- Marine JohannesNY1.7± 2.1low
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
NY
league avg
CHI
45.6%
FG%
◀
44.7
41.1%
35.3%
3PT %
◀
32.6
25.9%
86.6
PPG
◀
85.4
82.8
21.7
Assists / G
◀
18.0
19.3
14.4
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶11.0