NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2CAR

CAR

53-22-7

OTT

44-27-11

NHLSat, Apr 25FinalSeriesCAR wins series 2-1VegasCAR -142

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes went into Ottawa Senators and beat them, 4–2.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CAR · top performer

Sebastian Aho

C · #20

2Points

—

SOG

OTT · top performer

Drake Batherson

RW · #19

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. AhoC · #20	2	0	1	5	2	0	2	21:27
J. BlakeRW · #53	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	17:27
W. CarrierLW · #28	0	0	0	1	6	1	0	10:03
N. DeslauriersLW · #44	0	0	0	1	4	1	4	3:09
T. HallLW · #71	1	1	1	2	0	0	0	13:54
M. JankowskiLW · #77	0	1	1	1	1	2	0	12:28
S. JarvisC · #24	0	2	1	1	1	1	0	19:47
J. MartinookLW · #48	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	15:24
E. RobinsonLW · #50	0	1	1	2	1	0	2	6:38
J. StaalC · #11	0	0	0	3	4	0	2	19:17
L. StankovenC · #22	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	14:37
A. SvechnikovRW · #37	0	0	1	3	6	1	4	16:15

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChatfieldD · #5	0	1	1	2	2	0	0	23:51
S. GostisbehereD · #4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	17:45
K. MillerD · #19	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	21:16
A. NikishinD · #21	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	5:16
J. SlavinD · #74	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	26:22
S. WalkerD · #26	0	1	1	1	0	0	6	18:40

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
F. AndersenG · #31	27	2	25	.926	59:49

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AmadioRW · #22	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	12:15
D. BathersonRW · #19	1	1	-2	2	3	1	2	20:35
N. CousinsC · #21	0	0	-1	2	3	0	0	7:18
D. CozensC · #24	1	0	-1	2	8	0	0	17:23
L. EllerC · #89	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	8:32
W. FoegeleLW · #37	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	7:06
C. GirouxRW · #28	0	0	0	6	1	3	0	17:24
R. GreigC · #71	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	17:50
S. PintoC · #12	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	23:16
T. StutzleC · #18	0	1	-2	1	2	1	0	25:57
B. TkachukLW · #7	0	0	-1	1	5	1	2	20:37
F. ZetterlundLW · #20	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	9:37

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. ChabotD · #72	0	0	-1	3	0	2	2	27:17
D. GilbertD · #6	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	5:47
T. KlevenD · #43	0	0	0	1	5	0	2	19:40
N. MatinpaloD · #33	0	0	0	1	1	3	2	16:01
J. SpenceD · #10	0	0	-1	1	0	3	2	17:00
C. YakemchukD · #58	0	2	-1	3	0	0	0	19:34

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. UllmarkG · #35	28	2	26	.929	58:01

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

CAR wins series 4-0

Apr 18

OTT0@

CAR2

Apr 20

OTT2@

CAR3

Apr 23

CAR2@

OTT1

Apr 25

CAR4@

OTT2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CAR-14259%

OTT+12045%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 49 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

CAR

S. Aho

Top skater

2 G · 5 SOG

F. Andersen

Goaltender

25 SV · 2 GA · .926

OTT

D. Batherson

Top skater

1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG

L. Ullmark

Goaltender

26 SV · 2 GA · .929

How it ended

CAR beat OTT 4-2. S. Aho led the way — 2 G · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CAR	0	1	3	4
OTT	0	1	1	2

Period scoring

CAR won 1 · OTT won 0

CAR

OTT

Play-by-play · 369 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·19:44
Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·19:44
Icing
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·19:36
Claude Giroux shot blocked by K'Andre Miller
·
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·19:32
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Brady Tkachuk
·
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·19:32
Icing
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·19:21
Jordan Staal hit Tim Stützle
·
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·19:20
Dylan Cozens hit Sean Walker
·
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·19:16
Dylan Cozens Snap Shot Wide Right
·
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·19:12
Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·19:12
Icing
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·19:09
Sean Walker Snap Shot Wide Left
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·18:57
Tim Stützle hit Sean Walker
·
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·18:45
Tim Stützle faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·18:45
Sebastian Aho Goal (3) Backhand, assists: Seth Jarvis (2), Jalen Chatfield (1)
· ·
CAR 4·OTT 2
3rd·18:23
Tim Stützle shot blocked by Jordan Martinook
·
CAR 3·OTT 2
3rd·18:11
Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 3·OTT 2
3rd·18:11
Dylan Cozens Goal (2) Slap Shot, assists: Drake Batherson (1), Carter Yakemchuk (2)
· ·
CAR 3·OTT 2
3rd·18:03
Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
·
CAR 3·OTT 1
3rd·18:03
Goalie Stopped
CAR 3·OTT 1
3rd·18:01
Brady Tkachuk Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
CAR 3·OTT 1
3rd·17:48
Jordan Martinook hit Tim Stützle
·
CAR 3·OTT 1
3rd·17:38
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Tim Stützle
·
CAR 3·OTT 1
3rd·17:38
Sebastian Aho Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Seth Jarvis (1), Sean Walker (1)
· ·
CAR 3·OTT 1
3rd·17:33
Dylan Cozens hit Seth Jarvis
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
3rd·16:56
Tyler Kleven Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
3rd·16:55
Giveaway by Logan Stankoven
CAR 2·OTT 1
3rd·16:43
Jalen Chatfield hit Michael Amadio
·
CAR 2·OTT 1
3rd·15:47
Ridly Greig faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 2·OTT 1

Team stats

CAR

Away

Stat

OTT

Home

Shots

20.0

PCT

11.1

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 5.5·CAR -142/OTT +120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
CORSI%6599+
Dylan CozensOTT · C
xGF%6599
Sebastian AhoCAR · C
CORSI%6499
Jackson BlakeCAR · RW
CORSI%6499
Seth JarvisCAR · C
CORSI%6499

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

37.7%

ensemble · CAR favored

Elo Static
48.7%
P(OTT win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
48.7%
P(OTT win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
48.7%
P(OTT win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+120

Close price

+120

Open no-vig

43.7%

Close no-vig

43.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss