NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1LA

26-23-14

CBJ

32-21-10

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLMon, Mar 9FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasCBJ -155

Recap · NHL

os Angeles Kings went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 5–4 in overtime.

LA +1.5 cashed (CBJ lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

LA · top performer

Adrian Kempe

RW · #9

2Points

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

Conor Garland

RW · #83

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

LA26-23-14

CBJ32-21-10

LA26-23-14CBJ32-21-10

26-23-14

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

CBJ

32-21-10

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 23

CBJ3@

LA1

Jan 27

LA0@

CBJ0

Mar 9

LA5@

CBJ4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

LA+13043%

CBJ-15561%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

LA beat CBJ 5-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
LA	2	1	1	1	5
CBJ	1	2	1	0	4

Period scoring

LA won 2 · CBJ won 1

CBJ

Play-by-play · 334 plays

period

event

player

OT·2:34
Game End
LA 5·CBJ 4
OT·2:34
End of OT
LA 5·CBJ 4
OT·2:34
Adrian Kempe Goal (25) Slap Shot, assists: Artemi Panarin (44), Drew Doughty (13)
· ·
LA 5·CBJ 4
OT·2:11
Quinton Byfield Slap Shot Wide Right
·
LA 4·CBJ 4
OT·0:23
Adrian Kempe Slap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
LA 4·CBJ 4
OT·0:00
Scott Laughton faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
LA 4·CBJ 4
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
LA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
LA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·19:17
Joel Edmundson hit Isac Lundeström
·
LA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·19:11
Giveaway by Joel Edmundson
LA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:14
Artemi Panarin Slap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
LA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:10
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Boone Jenner
·
LA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:10
Icing
LA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:04
Boone Jenner faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
LA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:04
Kirill Marchenko Goal (23) Snap Shot, assists: Zach Werenski (46), Charlie Coyle (34)
· ·
LA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·17:44
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·17:44
Goalie Stopped
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·17:43
Kirill Marchenko Slap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·17:38
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·17:38
Goalie Stopped
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·17:36
Zach Werenski Slap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·17:14
Alex Laferriere hit Mason Marchment
·
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·17:01
Mikey Anderson hit Kirill Marchenko
·
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·16:43
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·16:43
Scott Laughton Interference against Mason Marchment
·
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·16:41
Adam Fantilli Snap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·16:22
Giveaway by Mason Marchment
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·15:33
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·15:33
Puck Frozen - Goalie
LA 4·CBJ 3
3rd·15:25
Brian Dumoulin shot blocked by Sean Monahan
·
LA 4·CBJ 3

Team stats

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·LA +130/CBJ -155

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
BURSTS30199
Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
DIST MI289.198
Adam FantilliCBJ · C
DIST MI256.696
Erik GudbransonCBJ · D
SHOT MPH98.692

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-155

Close price

-155

Open no-vig

58.3%

Close no-vig

58.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

CBJ vs LA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 132 high confidence

Shots on goal

Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Alex LaferriereLA
3.0± 1.6high
Quinton ByfieldLA
3.0± 2.2high

Goals

Adrian KempeLA
0.5± 0.7high
Quinton ByfieldLA
0.4± 0.7high
Adam FantilliCBJ
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
0.8± 0.9high
Mason MarchmentCBJ
0.8± 0.7high
Alex LaferriereLA
0.8± 0.8high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands