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FINAL+2OTT
OTT

OTT

32-22-9

20
VAN

VAN

19-37-8

NHLMon, Mar 9FinalSeriesOTT wins series 2-0VegasOTT -230

Recap · NHL

ttawa Senators went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 2–0.

OTT -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

8

Season series

OTT wins series 2-0

Jan 14VANVAN1@OTTOTT2
Mar 10OTTOTT2@VANVAN0today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

OTT -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

OTTOTT-23070%
VANVAN+19034%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 15 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

OTTOTT
B. Tkachuk

B. Tkachuk

LW

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

J. Reimer

J. Reimer

G

Goaltender

16 SV · 0 GA · 1.000

VANVAN
F. Hronek

F. Hronek

D

Top skater

3 SOG

K. Lankinen

K. Lankinen

G

Goaltender

22 SV · 1 GA · .957

How it ended

OTT beat VAN 2-0. B. Tkachuk led the way — 1 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
OTT0112
VAN0000

Period scoring

OTT won 2 · VAN won 0

0
0

1

1
0

2

1
0

3

OTT
VAN

Play-by-play · 257 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    OTT 2·VAN 0

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    OTT 2·VAN 0

  3. 3rd·19:44

    Teddy Blueger shot blocked by Tyler Kleven

    ·

    OTT 2·VAN 0

  4. 3rd·19:26

    Takeaway by Liam Ohgren

    OTT 2·VAN 0

  5. 3rd·19:24

    Giveaway by Liam Ohgren

    OTT 2·VAN 0

  6. 3rd·19:14

    Tom Willander Wrist Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    OTT 2·VAN 0

  7. 3rd·19:09

    Tom Willander shot blocked by Liam Ohgren

    ·

    OTT 2·VAN 0

  8. 3rd·18:40

    Ridly Greig faceoff won against Max Sasson

    ·

    OTT 2·VAN 0

  9. 3rd·18:40

    Brady Tkachuk Goal (17) Wrist Shot, assists: Tim Stützle (38), Thomas Chabot (22)

    · ·

    OTT 2·VAN 0

  10. 3rd·18:30

    Zeev Buium Wrist Shot saved by James Reimer

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  11. 3rd·17:20

    Elias Pettersson shot blocked by Shane Pinto

    · ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  12. 3rd·16:59

    Giveaway by Max Sasson

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  13. 3rd·16:24

    Nick Jensen shot blocked by Teddy Blueger

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  14. 3rd·15:49

    Nils Hoglander Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  15. 3rd·15:32

    Tom Willander Wrist Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  16. 3rd·14:24

    Michael Amadio Wrist Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  17. 3rd·14:16

    Filip Hronek Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  18. 3rd·13:44

    Claude Giroux faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  19. 3rd·13:44

    Warren Foegele Hooking against Tom Willander

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  20. 3rd·13:43

    Takeaway by Ridly Greig

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  21. 3rd·13:21

    Tim Stützle hit Nils Hoglander

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  22. 3rd·13:19

    Jordan Spence hit Tom Willander

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  23. 3rd·13:09

    Tyler Kleven hit Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  24. 3rd·13:06

    Jake DeBrusk Wrist Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  25. 3rd·12:48

    Giveaway by Drew O'Connor

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  26. 3rd·12:14

    Drew O'Connor Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  27. 3rd·12:06

    Drew O'Connor faceoff won against Claude Giroux

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  28. 3rd·12:06

    Goalie Stopped

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  29. 3rd·12:04

    Zeev Buium Wrist Shot saved by James Reimer

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

  30. 3rd·11:29

    Michael Amadio Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    OTT 1·VAN 0

Team stats

OTT

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

24

Shots

16

0.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

8

18

Faceoffs W

23

9

Blocks

9

11

Giveaways

12

2

Takeaways

9

Betting line

OTT -1.5·O/U 6.5·OTT -230/VAN +190

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Dylan CozensOTT · C
    xGF%6599
  • Brock BoeserVAN · RW
    SHOT MPH96.498
  • Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
    iXG34.998
  • Filip HronekVAN · D
    DIST MI292.398
  • Drake BathersonOTT · RW
    CORSI%6297

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

28.2%

ensemble · OTT favored

  • Elo Static

    42.5%

    P(VAN win)

    68%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    42.5%

    P(VAN win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    42.5%

    P(VAN win)

    16%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+190

Close price

+190

Open no-vig

33.1%

Close no-vig

33.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API