
OTT
32-22-9

VAN
19-37-8
Recap · NHL
ttawa Senators went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 2–0.
OTT -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 4.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
OTT · top performer

Brady Tkachuk
LW · #7
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
VAN · top performer

Filip Hronek
D · #17
0
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:28 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:50 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:54 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:39 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:53 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:11 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:01 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:45 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19:01 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:46 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:00 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24:29 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17:45 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18:51 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:12 | |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:07 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0 | 16 | 1.000 | 60:00 |
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18:44 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:44 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:37 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:52 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:55 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:54 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:54 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15:26 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:25 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:10 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26:01 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13:24 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22:10 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:19 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20:10 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 1 | 22 | .957 | 57:36 |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
8
Season series
OTT wins series 2-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
OTT -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 15 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
B. Tkachuk
LWTop skater
1 G · 4 SOG
J. Reimer
GGoaltender
16 SV · 0 GA · 1.000
F. Hronek
DTop skater
3 SOG
K. Lankinen
GGoaltender
22 SV · 1 GA · .957
How it ended
OTT beat VAN 2-0. B. Tkachuk led the way — 1 G · 4 SOG.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| VAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Period scoring
OTT won 2 · VAN won 0
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 257 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
OTT 2·VAN 0
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
OTT 2·VAN 0
- 3rd·19:44
Teddy Blueger shot blocked by Tyler Kleven
·
OTT 2·VAN 0
- 3rd·19:26
Takeaway by Liam Ohgren
OTT 2·VAN 0
- 3rd·19:24
Giveaway by Liam Ohgren
OTT 2·VAN 0
- 3rd·19:14
Tom Willander Wrist Shot Above Crossbar
·
OTT 2·VAN 0
- 3rd·19:09
Tom Willander shot blocked by Liam Ohgren
·
OTT 2·VAN 0
- 3rd·18:40
Ridly Greig faceoff won against Max Sasson
·
OTT 2·VAN 0
- 3rd·18:40
Brady Tkachuk Goal (17) Wrist Shot, assists: Tim Stützle (38), Thomas Chabot (22)
· ·
OTT 2·VAN 0
- 3rd·18:30
Zeev Buium Wrist Shot saved by James Reimer
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·17:20
Elias Pettersson shot blocked by Shane Pinto
· ·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·16:59
Giveaway by Max Sasson
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·16:24
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Teddy Blueger
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·15:49
Nils Hoglander Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·15:32
Tom Willander Wrist Shot Above Crossbar
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·14:24
Michael Amadio Wrist Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·14:16
Filip Hronek Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·13:44
Claude Giroux faceoff won against Elias Pettersson
· ·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·13:44
Warren Foegele Hooking against Tom Willander
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·13:43
Takeaway by Ridly Greig
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·13:21
Tim Stützle hit Nils Hoglander
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·13:19
Jordan Spence hit Tom Willander
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·13:09
Tyler Kleven hit Elias Pettersson
· ·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·13:06
Jake DeBrusk Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·12:48
Giveaway by Drew O'Connor
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·12:14
Drew O'Connor Tip-In Wide Left
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·12:06
Drew O'Connor faceoff won against Claude Giroux
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·12:06
Goalie Stopped
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·12:04
Zeev Buium Wrist Shot saved by James Reimer
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
- 3rd·11:29
Michael Amadio Tip-In Wide Right
·
OTT 1·VAN 0
Team stats
OTT
Away
Stat
VAN
Home
24
Shots
16
0.0
PCT
0.0
6
PIM
8
18
Faceoffs W
23
9
Blocks
9
11
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
9
Betting line
OTT -1.5·O/U 6.5·OTT -230/VAN +190
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Dylan CozensOTT · CxGF%6599
Brock BoeserVAN · RWSHOT MPH96.498
Jake DeBruskVAN · LWiXG34.998
Filip HronekVAN · DDIST MI292.398
Drake BathersonOTT · RWCORSI%6297
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
28.2%
ensemble · OTT favored
Elo Static
42.5%
P(VAN win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
42.5%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
42.5%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
1 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+190
Close price
+190
Open no-vig
33.1%
Close no-vig
33.1%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss