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FINAL+1VAN
VAN

VAN

24-48-8

43
ANA

ANA

42-32-6

NHLSun, Apr 12FinalSeriesVAN wins series 3-1VegasANA -325

Recap · NHL

ancouver Canucks went into Anaheim Ducks and beat them, 4–3 in overtime.

VAN +1.5 cashed (ANA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

14

PIM

16

Season series

VAN wins series 3-1

Nov 27VANVAN5@ANAANA4
Jan 30ANAANA0@VANVAN2
Mar 25ANAANA5@VANVAN3
Apr 13VANVAN4@ANAANA3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

ANA -1.5

Total

7.5

Defensive · -1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

VANVAN+26028%
ANAANA-32576%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 30 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

7.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

VANVAN
B. Boeser

B. Boeser

RW

Top skater

1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG

N. Tolopilo

N. Tolopilo

G

Goaltender

24 SV · 3 GA · .889

ANAANA
C. Gauthier

C. Gauthier

LW

Top skater

2 G · 4 SOG

L. Dostal

L. Dostal

G

Goaltender

22 SV · 4 GA · .846

How it ended

VAN beat ANA 4-3. B. Boeser led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
VAN20114
ANA10203

Period scoring

VAN won 2 · ANA won 1

2
1

1

0
0

2

1
2

3

1
0

OT

VAN
ANA

Play-by-play · 308 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·4:50

    Game End

    VAN 4·ANA 3

  2. OT·4:50

    End of OT

    VAN 4·ANA 3

  3. OT·4:50

    Marco Rossi Goal (12) Slap Shot, assists: Zeev Buium (20), Brock Boeser (25)

    · ·

    VAN 4·ANA 3

  4. OT·4:41

    Zeev Buium Snap Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  5. OT·4:39

    Radko Gudas hit Liam Ohgren

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  6. OT·4:22

    Brock Boeser Slap Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  7. OT·4:13

    Marco Rossi Snap Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  8. OT·3:45

    Brock Boeser Slap Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  9. OT·3:35

    Brock Boeser shot blocked by Ryan Poehling

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  10. OT·3:13

    Elias Pettersson Tip-In saved by Lukas Dostal

    · ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  11. OT·2:53

    Ryan Poehling faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  12. OT·2:53

    Timeout - Visitor

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  13. OT·2:53

    Chris Kreider Slashing against Drew O'Connor

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  14. OT·2:48

    Takeaway by Drew O'Connor

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  15. OT·2:41

    Filip Hronek Snap Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  16. OT·1:32

    Cutter Gauthier Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  17. OT·0:54

    Tom Willander hit Troy Terry

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  18. OT·0:50

    Troy Terry Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  19. OT·0:27

    Troy Terry shot blocked by Tom Willander

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  20. OT·0:00

    Elias Pettersson faceoff won against Leo Carlsson

    · ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  21. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  22. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  23. 3rd·19:56

    Zeev Buium shot blocked by Jackson LaCombe

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  24. 3rd·19:54

    Aatu Räty faceoff won against Leo Carlsson

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  25. 3rd·19:54

    Icing

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  26. 3rd·19:48

    Giveaway by Filip Hronek

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  27. 3rd·19:41

    Teddy Blueger Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  28. 3rd·19:02

    Marcus Pettersson shot blocked by Jacob Trouba

    · ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  29. 3rd·18:33

    Takeaway by John Carlson

    VAN 3·ANA 3

  30. 3rd·18:25

    Ryan Poehling faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    VAN 3·ANA 3

Team stats

VAN

Away

Stat

ANA

Home

26

Shots

27

66.7

PCT

50.0

14

PIM

16

28

Faceoffs W

31

10

Blocks

9

15

Giveaways

22

4

Takeaways

6

Betting line

ANA -1.5·O/U 7.5·VAN +260/ANA -325

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • John CarlsonANA · D
    SHOT MPH102.799+
  • Beckett SenneckeANA · RW
    SHOT MPH96.199+
  • Brock BoeserVAN · RW
    SHOT MPH96.498
  • Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
    iXG34.998
  • Filip HronekVAN · D
    DIST MI292.398

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

66.9%

ensemble · ANA favored

  • Elo Static

    71.6%

    P(ANA win)

    68%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    71.6%

    P(ANA win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    71.6%

    P(ANA win)

    16%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+260

Close price

+260

Open no-vig

26.6%

Close no-vig

26.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API