NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1BOS

BOS

44-27-10

CBJ

40-29-12

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSun, Apr 12FinalSeriesBOS wins series 3-0VegasCBJ -205

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 3–2.

BOS +1.5 cashed (CBJ lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

BOS · top performer

Sean Kuraly

C · #52

3Points

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

Adam Fantilli

C · #19

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

BOS44-27-10

CBJ40-29-12

BOS44-27-10CBJ40-29-12

BOS

44-27-10

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

CBJ

40-29-12

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

BOS wins series 3-0

Feb 27

CBJ2@

BOS4

Mar 29

BOS4@

CBJ3

Apr 12

BOS3@

CBJ2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOS+17037%

CBJ-20567%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 14 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat CBJ 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
BOS	1	1	1	3
CBJ	1	0	1	2

Period scoring

BOS won 1 · CBJ won 0

BOS

CBJ

Play-by-play · 293 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·19:41
Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·19:41
Puck in Netting
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·19:39
Adam Fantilli Snap Shot Wide Left
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·19:35
Kirill Marchenko Snap Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·19:34
Giveaway by Morgan Geekie
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·19:24
Kirill Marchenko Slap Shot Short
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·19:18
Charlie Coyle Tip-In Wide Right
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·19:03
Zach Werenski shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·18:55
David Pastrnak shot blocked by Charlie Coyle
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·18:38
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·18:38
Puck in Benches
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·18:34
Giveaway by Kirill Marchenko
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·18:02
Morgan Geekie Tip-In High and Wide Right
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·17:22
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Boone Jenner
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·17:22
Puck Frozen - Skater
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·17:10
Giveaway by Jonathan Aspirot
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·16:42
Nikita Zadorov hit Kirill Marchenko
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·16:29
Sean Kuraly Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·16:16
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Sean Kuraly
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·16:16
Goalie Stopped
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·16:14
Charlie Coyle Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·16:01
Giveaway by Ivan Provorov
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·15:40
Ivan Provorov shot blocked by Casey Mittelstadt
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·15:13
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Casey Mittelstadt
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·15:13
Goalie Puck Frozen - played from beyond center
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·15:12
Lukas Reichel Tip-In saved by Jet Greaves
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·15:01
Kirill Marchenko Snap Shot Wide Left
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2
3rd·14:30
Kirill Marchenko hit Henri Jokiharju
·
BOS 3·CBJ 2

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS +170/CBJ -205

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
BURSTS30199
Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
DIST MI289.198
Adam FantilliCBJ · C
DIST MI256.696
Erik GudbransonCBJ · D
SHOT MPH98.692

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+170

Close price

+170

Open no-vig

35.5%

Close no-vig

35.5%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

CBJ vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
David PastrnakBOS
3.2± 2.2high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high

Goals

Morgan GeekieBOS
0.6± 0.9high
David PastrnakBOS
0.3± 0.5high
Matthew PoitrasBOS
0.3± 0.8low

Points

David PastrnakBOS
1.1± 1.1high
Morgan GeekieBOS
0.9± 1.2high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
0.8± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands