NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1STL

STL

23-29-9

SEA

29-23-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLWed, Mar 4FinalSeriesSTL wins series 2-1VegasSEA -148

Recap · NHL

t. Louis Blues went into Seattle Kraken and beat them, 3–2.

STL +1.5 cashed (SEA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

STL · top performer

Brayden Schenn

C · #10

3Points

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

Jordan Eberle

RW · #7

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

STL23-29-9

SEA29-23-9

STL23-29-9SEA29-23-9

STL

23-29-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

SEA

29-23-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

STL wins series 2-1

Nov 9

SEA4@

STL3

Feb 27

SEA1@

STL5

Mar 5

STL3@

SEA2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

STL+12445%

SEA-14860%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

STL beat SEA 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
STL	1	1	1	3
SEA	1	0	1	2

Period scoring

STL won 1 · SEA won 0

STL

SEA

Play-by-play · 299 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:55
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Jack Finley
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:55
Goalie Stopped
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:53
Brandon Montour Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:36
Jordan Eberle Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:34
Brandon Montour Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:22
Brandon Montour Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:03
Pius Suter faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:03
Goalie Stopped
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·19:01
Matty Beniers Tip-In saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:47
Philip Broberg shot blocked by Matty Beniers
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:25
Pius Suter faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:25
Goalie Stopped
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:23
Brandon Montour Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·18:00
Jordan Eberle Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:58
Matty Beniers Tip-In saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:54
Robert Thomas faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:54
Justin Faulk Delaying Game - Puck over glass
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:48
Robert Thomas faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:48
Puck in Netting
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:47
Matty Beniers shot blocked by Brayden Schenn
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:45
Brandon Montour shot blocked by Jimmy Snuggerud
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:42
Matty Beniers faceoff won against Brayden Schenn
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:42
Puck in Netting
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:40
Adam Larsson Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:26
Giveaway by Justin Faulk
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:10
Giveaway by Justin Faulk
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:06
Dalibor Dvorsky faceoff won against Shane Wright
·
STL 3·SEA 2
3rd·17:06
Puck in Benches
STL 3·SEA 2

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 6.5·STL +124/SEA -148

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Philip BrobergSTL · D
BURSTS15898
Brandon MontourSEA · D
SHOT MPH101.698
Matty BeniersSEA · C
DIST MI267.798
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · RW
SHOT MPH95.697
Jared McCannSEA · LW
SHOT MPH94.496

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-148

Close price

-148

Open no-vig

57.2%

Close no-vig

57.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

SEA vs STL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 129 high confidence

Shots on goal

Dylan HollowaySTL
3.1± 1.3high
Bobby McMannSEA
3.0± 1.8high
Brandon MontourSEA
3.0± 1.3high

Goals

Robert ThomasSTL
0.7± 1.2high
Dylan HollowaySTL
0.4± 0.8high
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Robert ThomasSTL
1.4± 1.1high
Dylan HollowaySTL
1.2± 1.1high
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL
1.0± 1.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands