NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2CAR

CAR

39-16-6

VAN

18-36-7

NHLWed, Mar 4FinalSeriesCAR wins series 2-0VegasCAR -340

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 6–4.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CAR · top performer

Nikolaj Ehlers

LW · #27

3Points

—

SOG

VAN · top performer

Filip Hronek

D · #17

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. AhoC · #20	1	1	0	3	0	1	2	19:15
J. BlakeRW · #53	0	1	0	3	0	0	2	14:36
W. CarrierLW · #28	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	10:18
N. EhlersLW · #27	3	0	2	3	0	0	0	16:06
T. HallLW · #71	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	13:48
S. JarvisC · #24	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	19:21
J. KotkaniemiC · #82	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	10:29
J. MartinookLW · #48	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	15:06
E. RobinsonLW · #50	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	11:09
J. StaalC · #11	0	1	1	2	2	0	0	16:53
L. StankovenC · #22	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	14:20
A. SvechnikovRW · #37	1	1	0	2	4	0	0	18:07

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChatfieldD · #5	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	19:43
S. GostisbehereD · #4	0	1	0	2	0	2	0	14:13
K. MillerD · #19	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	23:04
A. NikishinD · #21	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	15:46
J. SlavinD · #74	0	0	1	3	0	2	0	22:33
S. WalkerD · #26	1	1	1	2	1	3	2	20:19

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. BussiG · #32	22	4	18	.818	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. BluegerC · #53	0	0	-1	1	3	1	2	15:50
B. BoeserRW · #6	1	0	-1	3	7	1	0	19:29
J. DeBruskLW · #74	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	16:57
C. GarlandRW · #8	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	14:45
N. HoglanderLW · #21	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	11:39
D. KampfC · #64	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	13:53
L. KarlssonC · #94	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	12:31
D. O'ConnorLW · #18	0	1	0	2	2	2	0	16:57
L. OhgrenLW · #92	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	12:30
E. PetterssonC · #40	0	2	0	2	0	2	2	16:56
M. RossiC · #93	1	1	-1	1	2	1	0	16:14
M. SassonC · #63	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	11:48

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BuiumD · #24	0	0	-1	2	1	2	0	16:10
F. HronekD · #17	1	2	2	2	4	1	0	26:43
V. ManciniD · #90	0	0	-3	0	1	3	0	13:06
M. PetterssonD · #29	0	0	-1	3	0	2	0	23:11
Elias N. PetterssonD · #25	0	0	0	4	2	0	2	18:31
T. WillanderD · #5	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	18:51

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. TolopiloG · #60	10	1	9	.900	27:17
K. LankinenG · #32	22	4	18	.818	31:53

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

CAR wins series 2-0

Nov 15

VAN3@

CAR4

Mar 5

CAR6@

VAN4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CAR-34077%

VAN+27027%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

CAR

N. Ehlers

Top skaterHat trick

3 G · 3 SOG

B. Bussi

Goaltender

18 SV · 4 GA · .818

VAN

F. Hronek

Top skater

1 G · 2 A · 2 SOG

K. Lankinen

Goaltender

18 SV · 4 GA · .818

How it ended

CAR beat VAN 6-4. N. Ehlers led the way — 3 G · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CAR	1	4	1	6
VAN	2	1	1	4

Period scoring

CAR won 1 · VAN won 1

CAR

VAN

Play-by-play · 304 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CAR 6·VAN 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CAR 6·VAN 4
3rd·19:46
Jesperi Kotkaniemi faceoff won against David Kampf
·
CAR 6·VAN 4
3rd·19:46
Nikolaj Ehlers Goal (19) Wrist Shot, assists: Sebastian Aho (38), Andrei Svechnikov (31)
· ·
CAR 6·VAN 4
3rd·19:36
Filip Hronek Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·19:34
Elias Pettersson faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
· ·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·19:34
Icing
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·19:26
Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Elias Pettersson
· ·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·19:26
Icing
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·19:09
Drew O'Connor Slap Shot Wide Right
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·18:54
Drew O'Connor Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·18:14
Conor Garland Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·18:03
Giveaway by Sebastian Aho
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·17:47
Jordan Staal faceoff won against David Kampf
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·17:47
TV Timeout
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·17:47
Teddy Blueger Boarding against Andrei Svechnikov
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·17:11
Jaccob Slavin Wrist Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·17:09
Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Drew O'Connor
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·17:09
Icing
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·16:55
David Kampf shot blocked by Shayne Gostisbehere
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·16:51
Jordan Staal hit Marcus Pettersson
· ·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·16:47
Drew O'Connor hit Nikolaj Ehlers
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·15:55
Elias Pettersson Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
· ·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·15:27
Elias Pettersson Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
· ·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·15:20
Elias Pettersson hit Jalen Chatfield
· ·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·15:10
Marco Rossi hit Sebastian Aho
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·15:02
Giveaway by Liam Ohgren
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·14:07
Marcus Pettersson shot blocked by Logan Stankoven
· ·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·14:04
Brock Boeser Snap Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
·
CAR 5·VAN 4
3rd·13:20
Alexander Nikishin shot blocked by Drew O'Connor
·
CAR 5·VAN 4

Team stats

CAR

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

Shots

66.7

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·CAR -340/VAN +270

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
CORSI%6699+
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
CORSI%6599+
Sebastian AhoCAR · C
CORSI%6499
Jackson BlakeCAR · RW
CORSI%6499
Seth JarvisCAR · C
CORSI%6499

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

21.9%

ensemble · CAR favored

Elo Static
37.5%
P(VAN win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
37.5%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
37.5%
P(VAN win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+270

Close price

+270

Open no-vig

25.9%

Close no-vig

25.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss