Jan 18, 26sim 97
66
22(H)0
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+1NJ
NJ
27-22-2
54
VAN
17-29-5
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
ew Jersey Devils went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 5–4.
VAN +1.5 cashed (NJ won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NJ · top performer
Cody Glass
C · #12
3Points
2
G
1
A
—
SOG
VAN · top performer
Linus Karlsson
C · #94
2Points
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · New Jersey Devils at Vancouver Canucks · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
NJ27-22-2
54
VAN17-29-5
NJ27-22-2VAN17-29-5
NJ
27-22-2
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
VAN
17-29-5
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
6
Season series
Series tied 1-1
Dec 14VAN2@NJ1
VAN2@NJ1Jan 24NJ5@VAN4today
NJ5@VAN4todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NJ -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
NJ-15561%VAN+13043%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 8 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
NJ beat VAN 5-4.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| VAN | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Period scoring
NJ won 1 · VAN won 0
1
0
1
3
3
2
1
1
3
NJ
VAN
Play-by-play · 274 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
NJ 5·VAN 4
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NJ 5·VAN 4
- 3rd·19:57
Drew O'Connor Snap Shot Above Crossbar
·
NJ 5·VAN 4
- 3rd·19:55
Zeev Buium shot blocked by Cody Glass
·
NJ 5·VAN 4
- 3rd·19:38
Arseny Gritsyuk shot blocked by Filip Hronek
·
NJ 5·VAN 4
- 3rd·19:26
Filip Hronek hit Ondrej Palat
·
NJ 5·VAN 4
- 3rd·19:09
Nico Hischier shot blocked by Linus Karlsson
·
NJ 5·VAN 4
- 3rd·18:48
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Filip Chytil
·
NJ 5·VAN 4
- 3rd·18:48
Brock Boeser Goal (12) Wrist Shot, assists: Linus Karlsson (13), Tom Willander (12)
· ·
NJ 5·VAN 4
- 3rd·18:46
Linus Karlsson Tip-In saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·18:11
Takeaway by Marcus Pettersson
· ·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·17:20
Jesper Bratt shot blocked by Elias Pettersson
· ·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·17:18
Timo Meier Snap Shot Wide Right
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·16:47
Filip Hronek Slap Shot Wide Left
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·16:39
Filip Chytil Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·15:41
Nico Hischier Tip-In Wide Left
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·15:32
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Filip Chytil
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·15:32
Goalie Stopped
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·15:29
Johnathan Kovacevic Wrist Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·15:21
Elias Pettersson hit Dawson Mercer
· ·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·15:18
Giveaway by Elias Pettersson
· ·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·14:57
Lenni Hameenaho Snap Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·14:38
Linus Karlsson shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·14:36
Linus Karlsson Tip-In saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·13:46
Giveaway by Evgenii Dadonov
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·13:22
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Tom Willander
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·12:51
Giveaway by Elias Pettersson
· ·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·12:37
Ondrej Palat hit Zeev Buium
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·11:56
Ondrej Palat Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
NJ 5·VAN 3
- 3rd·11:45
Giveaway by Filip Hronek
NJ 5·VAN 3
Team stats
NJ
Away
Stat
VAN
Home
24
Shots
25
66.7
PCT
0.0
4
PIM
6
25
Faceoffs W
23
15
Blocks
17
11
Giveaways
18
2
Takeaways
5
Betting line
NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·NJ -155/VAN +130
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 13 skaters with EDGE
Brock BoeserVAN · RWSHOT MPH96.498
Filip HronekVAN · DDIST MI292.398
Jake DeBruskVAN · LWSKATE MPH23.595
Nils HoglanderVAN · LWSHOT MPH93.694
Zeev BuiumVAN · DSKATE MPH22.788
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · VAN favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(VAN win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(VAN win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(VAN win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+130
Close price
+130
Open no-vig
41.7%
Close no-vig
41.7%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss
Player projections
VAN vs NJ.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
135
projections · 120 high confidence
Shots on goal
- Jack HughesNJ4.3± 1.7high
- Timo MeierNJ3.3± 3.0high
- Jake DeBruskVAN3.1± 2.4high
Goals
- Jack HughesNJ0.6± 0.8high
- Jake DeBruskVAN0.5± 0.7high
- Dawson MercerNJ0.4± 0.7high
Points
- Jack HughesNJ1.6± 1.7high
- Jesper BrattNJ1.0± 1.7high
- Nico HischierNJ0.9± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands