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FINAL+3UTA
SEA

SEA

21-17-9

36
UTA

UTA

25-20-4

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 17FinalSeriesUTA leads series 2-0VegasUTAH -198

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth held off Seattle Kraken, 6–3.

UTA -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

SEA
Matty Beniers

Matty Beniers

C · #10

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

UTA
Lawson Crouse

Lawson Crouse

LW · #67

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Seattle Kraken at Utah Mammoth · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
3
6
SEA21-17-9UTA25-20-4
SEA

SEA

21-17-9

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
UTA

UTA

25-20-4

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

6

Season series

UTA leads series 2-0

Dec 13SEASEA3@UTAUTA5
Jan 17SEASEA3@UTAUTA6today
Apr 3UTAUTA6@SEASEA2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA+16438%
UTAUTA-19866%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

UTA beat SEA 6-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
SEA1203
UTA1236

Period scoring

SEA won 0 · UTA won 1

1
1

1

2
2

2

0
3

3

SEA
UTA

Play-by-play · 329 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    SEA 3·UTA 6

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SEA 3·UTA 6

  3. 3rd·19:36

    Michael Carcone Backhand saved by Philipp Grubauer

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 6

  4. 3rd·19:28

    Takeaway by Sean Durzi

    SEA 3·UTA 6

  5. 3rd·19:09

    Ben Meyers faceoff won against Jack McBain

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 6

  6. 3rd·19:09

    Barrett Hayton Goal (5) Snap Shot, assists: John Marino (20), Karel Vejmelka (2)

    · ·

    SEA 3·UTA 6

  7. 3rd·19:04

    John Marino Snap Shot Wide Right

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  8. 3rd·18:50

    Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  9. 3rd·18:48

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Jaden Schwartz

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  10. 3rd·18:48

    Off-side

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  11. 3rd·18:30

    Giveaway by Shane Wright

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  12. 3rd·17:53

    Jared McCann shot blocked by Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  13. 3rd·17:23

    Giveaway by Nick Schmaltz

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  14. 3rd·17:19

    Brandon Montour Slap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  15. 3rd·17:05

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  16. 3rd·17:05

    Icing

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  17. 3rd·17:01

    Lawson Crouse Snap Shot Wide Right

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  18. 3rd·16:55

    Brandon Montour Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  19. 3rd·16:48

    Vince Dunn shot blocked by Lawson Crouse

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  20. 3rd·16:31

    Giveaway by Nate Schmidt

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  21. 3rd·16:27

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Berkly Catton

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  22. 3rd·16:27

    Puck in Netting

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  23. 3rd·16:25

    Kaapo Kakko shot blocked by Daniil But

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  24. 3rd·16:09

    Giveaway by Daniil But

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  25. 3rd·15:59

    Ryker Evans shot blocked by Jack McBain

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  26. 3rd·15:58

    Nick DeSimone hit Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  27. 3rd·15:12

    Jack McBain faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  28. 3rd·15:12

    Lawson Crouse Goal (12) Snap Shot, assists: Clayton Keller (33), Nate Schmidt (14)

    · ·

    SEA 3·UTA 5

  29. 3rd·15:06

    Nate Schmidt shot blocked by Jordan Eberle

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 4

  30. 3rd·15:03

    Nick Schmaltz faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    SEA 3·UTA 4

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

21

Shots

31

0.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

6

31

Faceoffs W

35

18

Blocks

15

14

Giveaways

17

5

Takeaways

4

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 5.5·SEA +164/UTA -198

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Jared McCannSEA · LW
    SHOT MPH94.496
  • Jordan EberleSEA · RW
    DIST MI236.192
  • Ryker EvansSEA · D
    SKATE MPH23.092

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · UTA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+164

Close price

+164

Open no-vig

36.3%

Close no-vig

36.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR