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FINAL+1NJ
NJ

NJ

26-22-2

21
EDM

EDM

25-18-8

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Jan 20FinalSeriesNJ wins series 2-0VegasEDM -175

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils went into Edmonton Oilers and beat them, 2–1.

NJ +1.5 cashed (EDM lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NJ · top performer

NJ
Cody Glass

Cody Glass

C · #12

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

EDM
Isaac Howard

Isaac Howard

LW · #53

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · New Jersey Devils at Edmonton Oilers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
1
NJ26-22-2EDM25-18-8
NJ

NJ

26-22-2

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
EDM

EDM

25-18-8

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

11

PIM

19

Season series

NJ wins series 2-0

Oct 18EDMEDM3@NJNJ5
Jan 21NJNJ2@EDMEDM1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NJNJ+14541%
EDMEDM-17564%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat EDM 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NJ0202
EDM0101

Period scoring

NJ won 1 · EDM won 0

0
0

1

2
1

2

0
0

3

NJ
EDM

Play-by-play · 290 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  3. 3rd·19:55

    Mattias Ekholm shot blocked by Brett Pesce

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  4. 3rd·19:48

    Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Jonas Siegenthaler

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  5. 3rd·19:46

    Mattias Ekholm Wrist Shot saved by Jake Allen

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  6. 3rd·19:43

    Zach Hyman hit Brett Pesce

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  7. 3rd·19:40

    Cody Glass faceoff won against Connor McDavid

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  8. 3rd·19:40

    Icing

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  9. 3rd·19:35

    Connor Brown Wrist Shot Wide Left

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  10. 3rd·19:24

    Jack Roslovic shot blocked by Cody Glass

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  11. 3rd·19:13

    Connor McDavid Wrist Shot saved by Jake Allen

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  12. 3rd·19:05

    Jack Roslovic Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  13. 3rd·18:33

    Evan Bouchard Slap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  14. 3rd·18:06

    Cody Glass faceoff won against Connor McDavid

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  15. 3rd·18:06

    Goalie Stopped

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  16. 3rd·18:04

    Timo Meier Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  17. 3rd·18:01

    Jack Hughes Wrist Shot Short

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  18. 3rd·17:56

    Dougie Hamilton Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  19. 3rd·17:42

    Matt Savoie Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  20. 3rd·16:45

    Giveaway by Jake Allen

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  21. 3rd·16:20

    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins faceoff won against Nico Hischier

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  22. 3rd·16:20

    Off-side

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  23. 3rd·15:55

    Giveaway by Matt Savoie

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  24. 3rd·15:28

    Matt Savoie Tip-In saved by Jake Allen

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  25. 3rd·15:01

    Connor Brown Wrist Shot saved by Tristan Jarry

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  26. 3rd·14:33

    Zach Hyman shot blocked by Dougie Hamilton

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  27. 3rd·14:06

    Giveaway by Connor McDavid

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  28. 3rd·13:39

    Spencer Stastney Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  29. 3rd·12:39

    Jake Walman Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

  30. 3rd·12:28

    Vasily Podkolzin Snap Shot saved by Jake Allen

    ·

    NJ 2·EDM 1

Team stats

NJ

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

17

Shots

23

0.0

PCT

0.0

11

PIM

19

22

Faceoffs W

35

12

Blocks

12

12

Giveaways

19

4

Takeaways

3

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·NJ +145/EDM -175

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE
  • Jake WalmanEDM · D
    SHOT MPH99.599
  • Connor McDavidEDM · C
    BURSTS5498
  • Evan BouchardEDM · D
    SHOT MPH97.395
  • Darnell NurseEDM · D
    BURSTS1389
  • Spencer StastneyEDM · D
    BURSTS6788

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · EDM favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+145

Close price

+145

Open no-vig

39.1%

Close no-vig

39.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR