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FINAL+4BOS
BOS

BOS

21-18-2

62
EDM

EDM

20-15-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLWed, Dec 31FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasEDM -185

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins went into Edmonton Oilers and beat them, 6–2.

BOS +1.5 cashed (EDM lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

BOS · top performer

BOS
David Pastrnak

David Pastrnak

RW · #88

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

EDM · top performer

EDM
Leon Draisaitl

Leon Draisaitl

C · #29

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
6
2
BOS21-18-2EDM20-15-6
BOS

BOS

21-18-2

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
EDM

EDM

20-15-6

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

47

PIM

43

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 19EDMEDM3@BOSBOS1
Jan 1BOSBOS6@EDMEDM2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

EDM -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOSBOS+15439%
EDMEDM-18565%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗SpreadBet EDM -1.5↗

Line movement · 14 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat EDM 6-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
BOS2226
EDM1012

Period scoring

BOS won 3 · EDM won 0

2
1

1

2
0

2

2
1

3

BOS
EDM

Play-by-play · 313 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  3. 3rd·19:40

    Alex Steeves faceoff won against Adam Henrique

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  4. 3rd·19:40

    Darnell Nurse Misconduct

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  5. 3rd·19:40

    Sean Kuraly Misconduct

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  6. 3rd·19:20

    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins faceoff won against Sean Kuraly

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  7. 3rd·19:20

    Mattias Janmark Misconduct

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  8. 3rd·19:20

    Nikita Zadorov Misconduct

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  9. 3rd·19:17

    Viktor Arvidsson Wrist Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  10. 3rd·19:01

    Mattias Janmark hit Nikita Zadorov

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  11. 3rd·18:53

    Alec Regula shot blocked by Alex Steeves

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  12. 3rd·18:29

    Trent Frederic faceoff won against Sean Kuraly

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  13. 3rd·18:29

    Jonathan Aspirot Fighting against Max Jones

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  14. 3rd·18:29

    Max Jones Fighting against Jonathan Aspirot

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  15. 3rd·17:50

    Pavel Zacha Slap Shot saved by Connor Ingram

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  16. 3rd·17:45

    David Pastrnak shot blocked by Evan Bouchard

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  17. 3rd·17:34

    Leon Draisaitl Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  18. 3rd·17:07

    Connor McDavid Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  19. 3rd·16:39

    Hampus Lindholm Slap Shot saved by Connor Ingram

    · ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  20. 3rd·16:03

    Jack Roslovic faceoff won against Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  21. 3rd·16:03

    Andrew Mangiapane Misconduct

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  22. 3rd·16:03

    Mark Kastelic Misconduct

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  23. 3rd·16:03

    Mark Kastelic Roughing against Andrew Mangiapane served by Michael Eyssimont

    · ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  24. 3rd·16:03

    Andrew Mangiapane Roughing against Mark Kastelic served by Max Jones

    · ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  25. 3rd·16:03

    Goalie Stopped

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  26. 3rd·16:01

    Jonathan Aspirot Slap Shot saved by Connor Ingram

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  27. 3rd·15:42

    Mark Kastelic Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  28. 3rd·14:44

    Giveaway by Mason Lohrei

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  29. 3rd·14:43

    Vasily Podkolzin hit Andrew Peeke

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

  30. 3rd·14:34

    Ryan Nugent-Hopkins faceoff won against Fraser Minten

    ·

    BOS 6·EDM 2

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

EDM

Home

29

Shots

36

33.3

PCT

0.0

47

PIM

43

30

Faceoffs W

31

13

Blocks

14

13

Giveaways

16

6

Takeaways

4

Betting line

EDM -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS +154/EDM -185

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Connor McDavidEDM · C
    BURSTS5498
  • Evan BouchardEDM · D
    SHOT MPH97.395
  • Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
    SKATE MPH23.092
  • Morgan GeekieBOS · C
    SHOT MPH88.989
  • Darnell NurseEDM · D
    BURSTS1389

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · EDM favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(EDM win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+154

Close price

+154

Open no-vig

37.8%

Close no-vig

37.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR