NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3MTL

VAN

16-24-5

MTL

26-14-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLMon, Jan 12FinalSeriesMTL wins series 2-0VegasMTL -192

Recap · NHL

ontreal Canadiens held off Vancouver Canucks, 6–3.

MTL -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

VAN · top performer

Evander Kane

LW · #91

1Points

—

SOG

MTL · top performer

Ivan Demidov

RW · #93

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

VAN16-24-5

MTL26-14-6

VAN16-24-5MTL26-14-6

VAN

16-24-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

MTL

26-14-6

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

MTL wins series 2-0

Oct 25

MTL4@

VAN3

Jan 13

VAN3@

MTL6today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MTL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

VAN+16038%

MTL-19266%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MTL beat VAN 6-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
VAN	1	2	0	3
MTL	1	2	3	6

Period scoring

VAN won 0 · MTL won 1

VAN

MTL

Play-by-play · 313 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·19:58
Oliver Kapanen Backhand saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·19:49
Evander Kane Snap Shot Wide Right
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·19:30
Filip Hronek Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·19:24
Filip Hronek shot blocked by Phillip Danault
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·19:14
Linus Karlsson faceoff won against Phillip Danault
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·19:14
Goalie Stopped
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·19:12
Elias Pettersson Tip-In saved by Jakub Dobes
· ·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·19:06
Filip Hronek shot blocked by Phillip Danault
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·19:00
Brock Boeser Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·18:46
Brock Boeser Slap Shot Wide Right
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·18:34
Giveaway by Conor Garland
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·18:32
Conor Garland shot blocked by Mike Matheson
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·18:23
Elias Pettersson shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
· ·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·18:03
Elias Pettersson Slap Shot Hit Right Post
· ·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·17:48
Oliver Kapanen faceoff won against Elias Pettersson
· ·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·17:48
Noah Dobson Hooking against Nils Hoglander
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·17:39
Nils Hoglander shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·17:28
Evander Kane shot blocked by Noah Dobson
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·17:24
Nils Hoglander Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·16:53
Nils Hoglander Snap Shot Hit Right Post
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·16:11
Arber Xhekaj hit Drew O'Connor
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·16:04
Samuel Blais hit Victor Mancini
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·15:52
Drew O'Connor shot blocked by Samuel Blais
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·15:51
Giveaway by Jakub Dobes
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·15:30
Giveaway by P.O Joseph
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·15:16
Brendan Gallagher Snap Shot Above Crossbar
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·14:38
Brendan Gallagher Snap Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
VAN 3·MTL 6
3rd·14:37
Phillip Danault faceoff won against David Kampf
·
VAN 3·MTL 6

Team stats

VAN

Away

Stat

MTL

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

100.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

MTL -1.5·O/U 6.5·VAN +160/MTL -192

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE

Lane HutsonMTL · D
DIST MI71.899+
Mike MathesonMTL · D
DIST MI62.999
Cole CaufieldMTL · RW
DIST MI56.699
Brock BoeserVAN · RW
SHOT MPH96.498
Arber XhekajMTL · D
SHOT MPH98.598

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MTL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MTL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-192

Close price

-192

Open no-vig

63.1%

Close no-vig

63.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

MTL vs VAN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jake DeBruskVAN
3.1± 2.4high
Cole CaufieldMTL
2.8± 1.4high
Evander KaneVAN
2.5± 1.8high

Goals

Cole CaufieldMTL
0.5± 0.5high
Jake DeBruskVAN
0.5± 0.7high
Alex NewhookMTL
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Cole CaufieldMTL
0.9± 0.7high
Lane HutsonMTL
0.9± 0.7high
Nick SuzukiMTL
0.9± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands