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FINAL+4STL
STL

STL

14-15-8

62
FLA

FLA

19-14-2

NHLSat, Dec 20FinalSeriesSTL leads series 1-0VegasFLA -180

Recap · NHL

t. Louis Blues went into Florida Panthers and beat them, 6–2.

STL +1.5 cashed (FLA lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

STL · top performer

STL
Jonatan Berggren

Jonatan Berggren

RW · #29

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

FLA · top performer

FLA
Sam Bennett

Sam Bennett

C · #9

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · St. Louis Blues at Florida Panthers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

Defensemen

Goalies

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

6

Season series

STL leads series 1-0

Dec 20STLSTL6@FLAFLA2today
Jan 30FLAFLA4@STLSTL5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

FLA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

STLSTL+15040%
FLAFLA-18064%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

STL beat FLA 6-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
STL1236
FLA0202

Period scoring

STL won 2 · FLA won 0

1
0

1

2
2

2

3
0

3

STL
FLA

Play-by-play · 314 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    STL 6·FLA 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    STL 6·FLA 2

  3. 3rd·19:49

    Luke Kunin faceoff won against Brayden Schenn

    ·

    STL 6·FLA 2

  4. 3rd·19:49

    Puck in Netting

    STL 6·FLA 2

  5. 3rd·19:46

    Tyler Tucker shot blocked by Jack Studnicka

    ·

    STL 6·FLA 2

  6. 3rd·18:53

    Robby Fabbri Backhand saved by Daniil Tarasov

    ·

    STL 6·FLA 2

  7. 3rd·18:01

    Luke Kunin hit Philip Broberg

    ·

    STL 6·FLA 2

  8. 3rd·17:42

    Colton Parayko hit Niko Mikkola

    ·

    STL 6·FLA 2

  9. 3rd·17:37

    Luke Kunin faceoff won against Mathieu Joseph

    ·

    STL 6·FLA 2

  10. 3rd·17:37

    Net Dislodged Offensive Skater

    STL 6·FLA 2

  11. 3rd·17:26

    Evan Rodrigues Slap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    STL 6·FLA 2

  12. 3rd·17:09

    Pius Suter shot blocked by Aaron Ekblad

    ·

    STL 6·FLA 2

  13. 3rd·17:08

    Mathieu Joseph shot blocked by Jeff Petry

    ·

    STL 6·FLA 2

  14. 3rd·16:28

    Evan Rodrigues faceoff won against Pius Suter

    ·

    STL 6·FLA 2

  15. 3rd·16:28

    Robert Thomas Goal (9) Wrist Shot, assists: none

    STL 6·FLA 2

  16. 3rd·16:15

    Robert Thomas faceoff won against Sam Bennett

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

  17. 3rd·16:15

    Justin Faulk High-sticking against Jesper Boqvist

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

  18. 3rd·16:04

    Jeff Petry shot blocked by A.J. Greer

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

  19. 3rd·16:00

    Evan Rodrigues hit Brayden Schenn

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

  20. 3rd·15:57

    Evan Rodrigues shot blocked by Justin Faulk

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

  21. 3rd·15:34

    Joel Hofer Wrist Shot Wide Right

    STL 5·FLA 2

  22. 3rd·15:21

    Jeff Petry shot blocked by Justin Faulk

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

  23. 3rd·15:17

    Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Evan Rodrigues

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

  24. 3rd·15:17

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    STL 5·FLA 2

  25. 3rd·15:15

    Seth Jones Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

  26. 3rd·14:53

    Robert Thomas hit Carter Verhaeghe

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

  27. 3rd·14:45

    Robert Thomas faceoff won against Anton Lundell

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

  28. 3rd·14:45

    Goalie Stopped

    STL 5·FLA 2

  29. 3rd·14:43

    Brad Marchand Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

  30. 3rd·14:14

    Sam Reinhart Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 5·FLA 2

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

FLA

Home

32

Shots

29

33.3

PCT

25.0

8

PIM

6

33

Faceoffs W

32

14

Blocks

7

11

Giveaways

15

4

Takeaways

2

Betting line

FLA -1.5·O/U 5.5·STL +150/FLA -180

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • Philip BrobergSTL · D
    BURSTS15898
  • Gustav ForslingFLA · D
    SHOT MPH100.497
  • Uvis BalinskisFLA · D
    SKATE MPH23.195
  • Colton ParaykoSTL · D
    BURSTS9494
  • Cam FowlerSTL · D
    DIST MI260.294

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

59.9%

ensemble · FLA favored

  • Elo Static

    65.4%

    P(FLA win)

    67%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    65.4%

    P(FLA win)

    16%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    65.4%

    P(FLA win)

    17%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-180

Close price

-180

Open no-vig

61.6%

Close no-vig

61.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API