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C
QB2026 Draft Prospect

Cole Payton

North Dakota St.

Measurables

6'2 5/8"

232 lb

Special tier · broke the historical comp distribution

Unique Build · No Direct Comp

Scouting report · The One Analytics

Day 1Projected · Round 1-2

Movement Pocket Quarterback

Cole Payton projects as a movement pocket quarterback — a QB from North Dakota St. who tested with an elite athletic profile (81th composite). Combine line reads 6'2 5/8" · 232 lb, 4.56s 40, 40″ vertical, 130″ broad. College career: 199/283 for 3,190 yards · 21 TD · 6 INT across 5 seasons. Unique Build — the closest historical combine match still sits well outside typical comp distance. Dominance score 53 (matched the cohort when adjusted for age of production).

53B-

Dominance score · multi-component

Cohort-average producer

Blends four cohort percentiles — 35% age-weighted career volume, 40% peak single-season production, 15% breakout (early-career + jump year), 10% position-specific efficiency. Prospects with off-the-chart seasons earn a bonus on top.

Career volume

35%

13th

age-weighted

Peak season

40%

67th

2025

Breakout

15%

47th

early-career + jump year

Efficiency

10%

93th

Y/A · 11.27

1× off-the-chart season+5 dominance

Trait grades · 6 dimensions

B-

Arm Talent

53th percentile · Frame-only proxy (no on-field tape grading in this build) — 6'2 5/8"

A

Speed

94th percentile · 4.56s 40-yard

A-

Athleticism

86th percentile · Composite of speed + explosion + agility percentiles

B-

Frame

53th percentile · 6'2 5/8" · 232 lb

B

Mobility

65th percentile · 4.56s 40 · 7.12s cone

A+

Burst

99th percentile · 40" vert · 130" broad

NFL comparisons · top 3 historical

Closest distance · 0.77
  1. #1

    Jay Cutler

    2006 R1 · #11 · Vanderbilt · 6-3/226lb · 4.77s 40

    61

    sim

  2. #2

    Jalen Hurts

    2020 R2 · #53 · Oklahoma · 6-1/222lb · 4.59s 40

    61

    sim

  3. #3

    Anthony Richardson

    2023 R1 · #4 · Florida · 6-4/244lb · 4.43s 40

    60

    sim

Scheme fit

Wide-zone + RPO offense that leans on his legs as a constraint defenders have to honor.

X-Factor

Unique Build · No Direct Comp — closest historical comp sits 0.77 pooled std-dev away. Their measurable combination is genuinely uncommon.

Primary risk

Athletic profile is balanced — primary risk is positional value, not measurable holes.

Generated by deterministic-v5 · Apr 19, 2026Workout · Combine

Scouting Combine · 2026

Combine percentiles

vs. QB class · 2000–2026 baseline
73

Athletic composite

73rdSTRONG

5 of 6 metrics graded

2× Elite1× Great1× Solid1× Average
4.56s94thGREAT
i

40-Yard

vs. 421

40.098thELITE
i

Vertical

vs. 370

130.099thELITE
i

Broad

vs. 371

7.12s54thSOLID
i

3-Cone

vs. 338

4.36s47thAVERAGE
i

Shuttle

vs. 346

i

Bench

No data

Frame measurables · arm / hand / wingspan

68

Athletic composite

68thSTRONG

2 of 3 metrics graded

1× Great1× Average
31.646thAVERAGE
i

Arm

vs. 160

10.390thGREAT
i

Hand

vs. 161

i

Wingspan

No data

College career · ESPN

Career stats

SeasonTeamCMPATTCMP%YDSAVGTDINTLNGSACKRTG
2021NDSU1333.362.0006050.1
2022NDSU81266.7514.30115085.7
2023NDSU182766.728910.730495193.2
2024NDSU101662.51257.821331156.9
2025NDSU16222572.02,71912.11648122193.4
Career19928370.33,19011.32168128185.3