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BUF#4 · American Football Conference
Buffalo Bills
12-5 (70.6%) · W1
Model verdict
Where they stand
The verdict · Elo rating
#2 of 32
Elo rating 1606.7 · as of 2026-05-04 · nfl_team_ratings
Rank within the full 32-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
Final 5 · 2026
2025-12-21 → 2026-01-17 · Full ATS profile →
Won by 3 at CLE, 23-20, 2025-12-21. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Lost by 1 vs PHI, 12-13, 2025-12-28. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
Won by 27 vs NYJ, 35-8, 2026-01-04. Covered the spread (latest line).
Won by 3 at JAX, 27-24, 2026-01-11. Covered the spread (latest line).
Lost by 3 at DEN, 30-33, 2026-01-17. Did not cover the spread (latest line).
latest-line grading · capture began 2026-05-01
Stat leaders
Who carries them
Passing yards
- 1Josh Allen25 TD3,668
- 2Mitchell Trubisky4 TD313
Rushing yards
- 1James Cook12 TD1,621
- 2Josh Allen14 TD579
- 3Ray Davis0 TD275
- 4Ty Johnson3 TD200
- 5Elijah Moore1 TD24
Receiving yards
- 1Khalil Shakir4 TD719
- 2Dalton Kincaid5 TD571
- 3Dawson Knox4 TD417
- 4Keon Coleman4 TD404
- 5Josh Palmer0 TD303
Receptions
- 1Khalil Shakir16 G72
- 2Dalton Kincaid12 G39
- 3Keon Coleman12 G38
- 4Dawson Knox16 G36
- 5James Cook17 G33
Total TDs
- 1Josh Allen16 G39
- 2James Cook17 G14
- 3Ty Johnson17 G5
- 4Dalton Kincaid12 G5
- 5Mitchell Trubisky4 G4
Passing + rushing + receiving TDs combined.
Yards per carry
- 1James Cook309 car5.2
- 2Josh Allen112 car5.2
- 3Ray Davis58 car4.7
- 4Ty Johnson50 car4.0
Min 50 carries.
2025 season · player_stats_weekly (nflverse weekly ingest) · counting boards ungated · yards/carry requires 50+ carries
Power tier · league of 32
Where they rank
Strong
avg rank 7.6
YDS
3rd
Total yards
PASS
13th
Pass yards
RUSH
1st
Rush yards
PTS
3rd
Points
TO
18th
Turnovers
Offensive profile · 2025
How the offense plays
Per-game · 17 weeks
Identity · Balanced
59% pass · 41% rush
PASS
RUSH
Total yards
394vs 342 yds/GAbove avg
Passing yards
234vs 225 yds/GLeague avg
Rushing yards
160vs 117 yds/GAbove avg
Points scored
31.1vs 23.5 pts/GAbove avg
Turnovers
1.00vs 0.90 TO/GSlight gap
Tick mark on each bar shows the league average for the 2025 season. The team identity strip up top reads at a glance: pass-heavy offenses usually score more in volume; run-heavy offenses control time of possession and game script.
2026 Draft Class · 10 picks
The new arrivals.
RND 2 · PICK 35
Tomarrion Parker
EDGE · Clemson
RND 2 · PICK 62
Davison Igbinosun
CB · Ohio St.
RND 4 · PICK 102
Jude Bowry
OT · Boston Col.
RND 4 · PICK 125
Skyler Bell
WR · Connecticut
RND 4 · PICK 126
Kaleb Elarms-Orr
LB · TCU
RND 5 · PICK 167
Jalon Kilgore
SAF · South Carolina
RND 5 · PICK 181
Zane Durant
DT · Penn St.
RND 7 · PICK 220
Toriano Pride
CB · Missouri
RND 7 · PICK 239
Tommy Doman
P · Florida
RND 7 · PICK 241
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
G · Texas A&M
Recent transactions
Latest player movement
- Jun 12
Signed T/G Jude Bowry to a rookie contract.
- Jun 11
Waived CB Dorian Strong and RB Desmond Reid with injury designations. Signed WRs Deven Thompkins and Max Tomczak to contracts. Waived WR Gabriel Benyard.
- Jun 1
Waived CB Daryl Porter Jr. Signed WR Mac Dalena to a contract.
- May 27
Signed LB Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles to a contract. Released WR Max Tomczak.
Source · ESPN
Offense · 45
The attack
A. Anderson
OT · #70
A. Reed-Adams
G · #60
A. Corbett
C
B. VanSumeren
FB · #43
B. Fina
OT
C. Lundt
OT · #77
C. McGovern
C · #66
D. Weatherspoon
OT
D. Kincaid
TE · #86
D. Knox
TE · #88
D. Reid
RB
D. Thompkins
WR
D. Dawkins
OT · #73
D. Moore
WR · #2
F. Gore Jr.
RB · #20
J. Maclin
WR
J. Acker
FB
J. Hawes
TE · #85
J. Virgil
WR · #13
J. Cook III
RB · #4
J. Allen
QB · #17
J. Palmer
WR · #5
J. Bowry
OT · #74
K. Latu
TE · #83
K. Coleman
WR · #0
K. Shakir
WR · #10
K. Allen
QB · #11
L. Cushenberry III
C
M. Dalena
WR
M. Tomczak
WR
M. Hardman Jr.
WR · #1
N. Broeker
G
O. Torrence
G · #64
R. Davis
RB · #7
S. Van Pran-Granger
C · #62
S. Buechele
QB · #6
S. Zylstra
TE
S. Bell
WR · #13
S. Brown
OT · #79
S. Gosnell
WR · #89
T. Clayton
OT · #67
T. Sherfield
WR · #16
T. Johnson
RB · #26
T. Grable
OT · #68
T. Shavers
WR · #14
Defense · 43
The stop unit
A. Jones Jr.
DE · #75
B. Chubb
LB · #9
C.J. Gardner-Johnson
S · #22
C. Denhoff
DE
C. Benford
CB · #47
C. Bishop
S · #24
D. Hamlin
S · #3
D. Igbinosun
CB · #21
D. Alford
CB · #23
D. Flannigan-Fowles
LB
D. Walker
DT · #96
D. Carter
DT · #90
D. Strong
CB · #43
D. Williams
LB · #42
E. Oliver
DT · #91
G. Stone
S · #25
G. Rousseau
LB · #15
J. Kilgore
S · #29
J. Solomon
LB · #56
J. Ciarlo
LB
J. Andreessen
LB · #44
J. Dunbar
CB
J. Hancock
CB · #37
K. Elarms-Orr
LB · #52
K. Walker
CB
K. Jenkins
LB · #49
K. Huisman
DT
L. Jackson
DE · #94
M. Hairston
CB · #31
M. Hoecht
DE · #55
M. Danna
DE · #51
P. Mathis
DT · #72
S. Franklin Jr.
S · #28
T.J. Parker
LB · #99
T.J. Sanders
DT · #98
T. Couch
CB · #33
T. Bernard
LB · #8
T. Gaines
LB
T. Akingbesote
DT · #71
T. Pride Jr.
CB · #32
W. Owens
S · #30
Z. Durant
DT · #92
Z. Logue
DT · #93
Special teams · 5
