Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills: Final Score & Box Score — Aug 27, 2026

Highmark Stadium · Orchard Park, NY

59,001 attended

FINAL+1BUF

PIT

1-2

2728

BUF

3-0

NFL · Drive chart

24 drives · 6 TD · 2 FG · 1 INT · 2 Downs · 10 Punt

FGBUF13p · 59y
PuntPIT3p · 7y
TDPIT1p · 13y
PuntBUF4p · -23y
TDPIT5p · 28y
PuntBUF5p · 13y
INTPIT6p · 17y
TDBUF6p · 49y
PuntPIT6p · 11y
PuntBUF3p · 6y
PuntPIT3p
PuntBUF5p · 16y
½PIT3p · 12y
TDPIT11p · 68y
TDBUF7p · 79y
PuntPIT3p · 2y
PuntBUF3p · 5y
PuntPIT8p · 37y
PuntBUF4p · -8y
FGBUF9p · 41y
DownsPIT6p · 24y
TDBUF6p · 59y
DownsPIT4p · 3y
EndBUF2p · -2y

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · BUF favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BUF win)
33%
weight
Qb Elo
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BUF win)
33%
weight
Dvoa Proxy
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BUF win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

PIT

league avg

BUF

24.0

Pts / game

23.5

▶

31.1

317

Yds / game

342

▶

394

214

Pass yds / G

225

▶

234

103

Rush yds / G

117

▶

160

0.7

TO / G

◀

0.9

1.0

Player
Drew Allar · #16	9/18	88	0	0
Will Howard · #18	9/15	69	2	1
Team	18/33	135	2	1

Player
Lew Nichols · #35O	7	40	0	11
Eli Heidenreich · #29	9	35	1	9
Travis Homer · #21O	2	11	0	6
Kaleb Johnson · #20	5	11	0	6
Team	23	97	1	11

Player
Max Hurleman · #84	3	50	0	25
Lance Mason · #45O	3	31	0	13
Cornell Powell · #85	3	23	0	16
Germie Bernard · #17	1	13	1	13
Lew Nichols · #35O	1	13	0	13
Riley Nowakowski · #37	1	7	0	7
Kaden Wetjen · #10	1	7	0	7
Lake McRee · #81	1	5	1	5
Brandon Smith · #87	2	4	0	4
Travis Homer · #21O	1	2	0	2
Jaheim Bell · #82	1	2	0	2
Levi Wentz · #28O	0	0	0	0
Jakobie Keeney-James · #23O	0	0	0	0
Team	18	157	2	25

Player
Devan Boykin · #40	9	5	0	0
D'Shawn Jamison · #38	7	6	0	2
Elandon Roberts · #50	5	4	0	1
Cole Holcomb · #55	5	3	0	1
Carson Bruener · #44	5	2	0	0
Brandin Echols · #26	4	2	0	0
Doneiko Slaughter · #19D	4	2	0	0
Julius Welschof · #45D	3	2	1	2
Anthony Goodlow · #72D	3	2	1	1
Jack Henderson · #48	3	2	0	0
Robert Spears-Jennings · #28D	2	2	0	0
Jaylon Guilbeau · #21D	2	1	0	0
Gabriel Rubio · #96	2	0	0	0
Kevin Jobity Jr. · #92	1	1	1	1
Christian Kuntz · #46	1	1	0	0
Ben Skowronek · #15	1	1	0	0
Travis Homer · #21O	1	1	0	0
Esezi Otomewo · #93	1	1	0	0
Jacoby Windmon · #53	1	1	0	0
Jack Sawyer · #33	1	1	0	0
Levi Wentz · #28O	1	1	0	0
Daryl Porter · #27D	1	1	0	0
Eli Heidenreich · #29	1	1	0	0
Yahya Black · #94	1	0	0	0
Kyler Baugh · #65	0	0	0	0
Team	65	43	3	8

Player
Kaden Wetjen · #10	4	61	45	1
Team	4	61	45	1

3 sub-models, blended.

Tale of the tape

3 sub-models, blended.

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Fumbles

Defense

Kick Returns

Punt Returns

Kicking

Punting

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Fumbles

Defense

Interceptions

Kick Returns

Punt Returns

Kicking

Punting

Tale of the tape

Player
Skyler Bell · #13	1	28	1	28
Frank Gore Jr. · #20	10	27	1	10
Ian Wheeler · #27	9	23	1	6
Shane Buechele · #6	4	11	0	9
Team	24	89	3	28

Player
Skyler Bell · #13	7	49	0	16
Frank Gore Jr. · #20	5	45	0	24
Max Tomczak · #80	2	26	0	20
Keleki Latu · #83	2	20	0	17
Dante Pettis · #87	1	16	0	16
Ja'Mori Maclin · #84	1	12	0	12
Trent Sherfield · #81	1	10	0	10
Ian Wheeler · #27	2	10	0	6
Ben VanSumeren · #45	2	6	0	4
Shane Zylstra · #48	1	4	0	4
Mecole Hardman Jr. · #1	1	2	0	2
Quentin Skinner · #18	0	0	0	0
Shane Buechele · #6	1	-4	0	-4
Team	26	196	0	24

Player
Keonta Jenkins · #49	6	6	1	1
Theron Gaines · #54	6	2	0	0
Phidarian Mathis · #72	4	3	1	1
Te'Cory Couch · #33	4	2	0	0
Jordan Dunbar · #36	4	2	0	0
Andre Jones Jr. · #59	4	1	1	1
Jimmy Ciarlo · #35	4	0	0	0
Mike Danna · #51	3	2	0	1
Zane Durant · #92	2	2	0	0
Anthony Kendall · #30	2	2	0	0
Damar Hamlin · #3	2	1	0	0
Geno Stone · #25	2	1	0	0
Otis Reese IV · #50	2	1	0	0
Zion Logue · #93	2	1	0	0
D.J. Miller · #46	2	1	0	0
Kaleb Elarms-Orr · #52	2	1	0	0
Wande Owens · #38	1	1	0	1
Quentin Skinner · #18	1	1	0	0
Kani Walker · #41	1	1	0	0
Toriano Pride Jr. · #32	1	1	0	0
Davison Igbinosun · #21	1	1	0	0
TJ Parker · #99	1	1	0	0
Jalon Kilgore · #29	1	1	0	0
DeWayne Carter · #90	1	0	0	0
Cade Denhoff · #57	1	0	0	0
Maxwell Hairston · #31	1	0	0	0
Team	61	35	3	5

Player
Mecole Hardman Jr. · #1	2	21	17	0
Ray Davis · #7	2	11	11	0
Team	4	32	17	0

Player
Tommy Doman Jr. · #39	4	208	52.0	2
Mitch Wishnowsky · #19	2	68	34.0	1
Team	6	276	46.0	3

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Chris Boswell · #9	0/0	0	3/3	3
Team	0/0	0	3/3	3

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Cameron Johnston · #19S	5	253	50.6	2
Team	5	253	50.6	2

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Tyler Bass · #16	2/2	42	2/2	8
Team	2/2	42	2/2	8