Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts: Live Score & Box Score

Lucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis, IN

3:34 - 3RD+25ATL

ATL

0-1

316

IND

0-0-1

NFL · Drive chart

15 drives · 4 TD · 3 FG · 1 Downs · 7 Punt

PuntIND3p · 1y
FGATL8p · 29y
FGIND6p · 52y
TDATL4p · 59y
FGIND6p · 33y
TDATL12p · 67y
PuntIND3p · -12y
PuntATL3p · -1y
PuntIND3p · 7y
TDATL8p · 60y
PuntIND4p · 11y
TDATL4p · 73y
PuntIND3p · 3y
DownsATL10p · 69y
PuntIND3p · 4y

Ensemble breakdown

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · IND favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
33%
weight
Qb Elo
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
33%
weight
Dvoa Proxy
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Live model · pick

Receipts

Player props

Tale of the tape

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

ATL

league avg

IND

19.4

Pts / game

23.5

▶

27.2

344

Yds / game

342

▶

358

218

Pass yds / G

225

▶

240

126

Rush yds / G

◀

117

118

0.8

TO / G

◀

0.9

Player
Jack Strand · #18	8/10	155	1	0
Cooper Rush · #13	10/11	86	0	0
Team	18/21	240	1	0

Player
Josh Woods · #46	5	3	0	0
Natrone Brooks · #35	4	0	0	0
DeMarcco Hellams · #23	3	3	0	1
Cameron Sample · #69	3	2	1	0
JD Bertrand · #40	3	2	0	0
Kendal Daniels · #53	3	2	0	0
Devonnsha Maxwell · #73	2	2	0	0
James Pearce Jr. · #27	2	2	0	0
Clark Phillips III · #22	2	1	0	0
Christian Harris · #45	2	1	0	0
Jammie Robinson · #34	2	0	0	0
C.J. Henderson · #26	1	1	0	0
Carlos Allen Jr. · #79D	1	1	0	1
Sydney Brown · #29	1	0	0	0
Keshawn Banks · #59D	1	0	0	0
Team	35	20	1	2

Player
Tyler Goodson · #25	1	37	37	0
Vinny Anthony II · #86	1	28	28	0
Cash Jones · #32	1	23	23	0
Team	3	88	37	0

Player
Nick Folk · #6	1/1	51	4/4	7
Team	1/1	51	4/4	7

Player
Riley Leonard · #15	7/14	62	0	0
Anthony Richardson Sr. · #5	1/3	9	0	0
Team	8/17	71	0	0

3 sub-models, blended.

Tale of the tape

3 sub-models, blended.

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense

Kick Returns

Punt Returns

Kicking

Punting

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Fumbles

Defense

Kick Returns

Kicking

Punting

Tale of the tape

Player
Tyler Goodson · #25	6	59	1	49
Nathan Carter · #38	15	40	1	8
Jack Strand · #18	3	23	1	16
Cash Jones · #32	2	9	0	7
Cooper Rush · #13	1	0	0	0
Team	27	131	3	49

Player
Chris Blair · #19	2	37	0	19
Antwane Wells Jr. · #82	1	36	0	36
Beaux Collins · #88	1	35	0	35
Vinny Anthony II · #86	3	35	0	17
Nick Muse · #87	3	26	0	11
Joshua Simon · #47	1	21	0	21
Zachariah Branch · #17	2	15	0	15
Cash Jones · #32	1	13	1	13
Jack Velling · #84	2	11	0	7
Dylan Drummond · #80	1	8	0	8
Tyler Goodson · #25	1	4	0	4
Keelan Marion · #85	0	0	0	0
Team	18	241	1	36

Player
Seth McGowan · #20	8	27	0	7
Anderson Castle · #42	2	8	0	4
Riley Leonard · #15	1	2	0	2
Team	11	37	0	7

Player
Coleman Owen · #9	1	39	0	39
Deion Burks · #80	4	19	0	13
Pharaoh Brown · #49	2	8	0	9
Seth McGowan · #20	1	5	0	5
Laquon Treadwell · #13	0	0	0	0
Tyler Moore · #45	0	0	0	0
Team	8	71	0	39

Player
Austin Ajiake · #58	7	4	0	1
Jaylon Carlies · #57	6	5	0	0
Cam Taylor-Britt · #26	4	3	0	0
Rob Carter Jr. · #39	4	3	0	0
Hunter Wohler · #30	4	2	0	0
Mekhi Blackmon · #29	3	2	0	0
Trey Washington · #41	3	2	0	0
Jaylon Jones · #40	3	2	0	0
CJ Allen · #53	3	1	0	0
Bryce Boettcher · #50	3	1	0	1
Micheal Clemons · #72	2	2	0	0
Tim Smith · #93	2	2	0	0
Tahj Chambers · #44	2	2	0	0
Johnathan Edwards · #35	2	2	0	0
George Gumbs Jr. · #52	2	2	0	0
Colby Wooden · #96	2	1	0	0
Cameron Ball · #64	1	1	1	1
Jonathan Owens · #38	1	1	0	0
Juanyeh Thomas · #33	1	1	0	0
West Weeks · #47D	1	1	0	0
Mitchell Melton · #54	1	1	0	0
Derrick Nnadi · #92	1	0	0	0
Daniel Scott · #32	1	0	0	0
Caden Curry · #55	1	0	0	0
Team	60	41	1	3

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jake Bailey · #16	1	58	58.0	1
Team	1	58	58.0	1

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Spencer Shrader · #3S	2/2	53	0/0	6
Team	2/2	53	0/0	6

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Rigoberto Sanchez · #8S	6	327	54.5	0
Team	6	327	54.5	0