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Big 12

UCF

2025 season

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · SP+ rating

#76 of 136

SP+ rating -1.2 · 44.4 pctile of 136 · as of 2025 season · cfbfastR SP+ (Bill Connelly)

Rank within the full 136-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Model picks on UCF

Below the 30-pick gate (n=0)

SP+ components

Offense

+23.2

Higher = better

Defense

+24.0

Lower = better

Special teams

-0.5

Net field-goal + return value

Schedule strength · opponent SP+

Avg opp SP+

+3.9

Avg opp rank

#59

Ranked faced

vs ranked

0-2

Mean SP+ of the 10 rated opponents (of 12 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.

Big 12