NCAA Football·Model picks

Tonight'spicks roll out next.

Per-game NCAA Football model picks roll out league by league as the rating engine matures. MLB shipped first; each league lights up here once the underlying ratings + closing-line ingest are stable.

NCAA Football picks coming soon

Per-game model picks for NCAA Football land here once the rating engine + closing-line ingest are stable for this league. Until then, the NCAA Football edge surface shows where the market and our power-rank derivative disagree.

See NCAA Football edges →

Why MLB shipped first

Baseball's sample size is enormous (162 games per team) and the rating engine settles fast. Other leagues need either a deeper covariate set (NBA pace, NFL injury context) or a larger pre-season corpus before our Elo derivative beats the consumer-site benchmark we hold ourselves to. We'd rather ship picks late than ship picks that would lose your money.

Read the methodology →