NCAA Football·Model picks
Per-game NCAA Football model picks roll out league by league as the rating engine settles. MLB shipped first because of sample size. Each league lights up here once its rating engine and closing-line ingest are both stable.
NCAA Football picks coming soon
Per-game model picks for NCAA Football land here once the rating engine + closing-line ingest are stable for this league. Until then, the NCAA Football edge surface shows where the market and our power-rank derivative disagree.
See NCAA Football edges →Why MLB shipped first
Baseball's sample size is enormous (162 games per team) and the rating engine settles fast. Other leagues need either a deeper covariate set (NBA pace, NFL injury context) or a larger pre-season corpus before our Elo derivative beats the consumer-site benchmark we hold ourselves to. We'd rather ship picks late than ship picks that would lose your money.
Read the methodology →NCAA Football betting markets
College football has the widest range of team quality in any major US sport — sharp lines on top-25 matchups, much softer lines on mid-week MAC games where injury info + insider knowledge create real edges.
What the NCAA Football model will weight
When NCAA Football model picks ship, the rating engine will weight the factors below. The shape mirrors the MLB model that's live today, which back-tested at 55% on 2,932 games. The full methodology is at /methodology.
Sharp angles · NCAA Football
These are the recurring patterns sharp NCAA Football bettors actually work. Each one has shown up in the post-mortem of multiple winning weeks. Treat them as a starting point for handicapping, not a substitute for it.
What you can use right now