2025 season
Model verdict
The verdict · SP+ rating
#40 of 136
SP+ rating 7.4 · 71.1 pctile of 136 · as of 2025 season · cfbfastR SP+ (Bill Connelly)
Rank within the full 136-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade
SP+ components
Offense
+31.5
Higher = better
Defense
+23.0
Lower = better
Special teams
-1.1
Net field-goal + return value
Schedule strength · opponent SP+
Avg opp SP+
+0.1
Avg opp rank
#72
Ranked faced
1
vs ranked
0-1
Mean SP+ of the 12 rated opponents (of 13 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.
Big 12
Model picks on HOU
Below the 30-pick gate (n=1)