NCAA Football·Trends
Hot streaks, cold spells, and statistical extremes the rating engine is currently weighting. The trends here show up in the model's confidence numbers a few days before they show up in the headlines.
Model ratings
Top + bottom 10 by SP+ composite — the data-driven CFB rating that updates weekly during the season.
SP+ ratings · 2025
136 FBS teams · via cfbfastR
Top 10
10Indiana
Big Ten
Ohio State
Big Ten
Texas Tech
Big 12
Oregon
Big Ten
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
Georgia
SEC
Ole Miss
SEC
Utah
Big 12
Miami
ACC
Texas A&M
SEC
Bottom 10
10Massachusetts
Mid-American
Sam Houston
Conference USA
Charlotte
American Athletic
Georgia State
Sun Belt
Ball State
Mid-American
UL Monroe
Sun Belt
Kent State
Mid-American
UTEP
Mountain West
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
SP+ measures expected scoring margin vs an average FBS opponent at a neutral site. Composite = offense rating − defense rating (defense is the points-allowed component, so lower is better). Top-25-caliber teams clear +20; bottom-FBS sits below −15. The rating is updated weekly during the season by Bill Connelly.
Storylines
Auto-generated narratives from team-level form, win/loss streaks, and statistical outliers.
Storylines aren't surfacing yet for NCAA Football — they appear once we have at least 5 games of context.
See the roadmap →Season form
Last-5 / last-10 / last-20 win pct, plotted as a curve so you can see the trajectory at a glance.
Form curves need at least 10 games of season data per team — they unlock progressively as the season unfolds.
See the roadmap →