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Big 12

TCU

2025 season

Model verdict

Where they stand

The verdict · SP+ rating

#37 of 136

SP+ rating 8.3 · 73.3 pctile of 136 · as of 2025 season · cfbfastR SP+ (Bill Connelly)

Rank within the full 136-team population on a published metric — no invented composites. How we grade

Model picks on TCU

Below the 30-pick gate (n=2)

SP+ components

Offense

+32.9

Higher = better

Defense

+23.9

Lower = better

Special teams

-0.7

Net field-goal + return value

Schedule strength · opponent SP+

Avg opp SP+

+4.9

Avg opp rank

#53

Ranked faced

vs ranked

2-1

Mean SP+ of the 12 rated opponents (of 13 games) · 2025 season. SP+ is Bill Connelly's published composite; “ranked” = SP+ top 25.

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