SA
59-18
LAC
39-38
Recap · NBA
an Antonio Spurs went into LA Clippers and beat them, 118–99.
SA +2.5 cashed (LAC lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 231.5 by 14.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
SA · top performer
De'Aaron Fox
G · #4
22
Pts
8
Reb
5
Ast
LAC · top performer
Kawhi Leonard
F · #2
24
Pts
6
Reb
5
Ast
NBA · San Antonio Spurs at LA Clippers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 28 | 13 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 2-3 | +17 | 8 | 4 | |
| 25 | 8 | 2-3 | — | 4-4 | +14 | 6 | 5 | |
| 29 | 22 | 9-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | +24 | 8 | 5 | |
| 29 | 14 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | +4 | 10 | 2 | |
| 33 | 20 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | +5 | 4 | 5 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 21 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | — | +11 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 27 | 13 | 6-11 | 1-2 | — | +18 | 6 | 1 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | — | -7 | 1 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1-2 | — | — | -2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 25 | 19 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | +11 | 2 | 5 | |
| Team | 118 | 47-88 | 12-31 | 12-14 | 48 | 30 | ||
| DNP: L. Waters III, M. Plumlee | ||||||||
DNP: L. Waters III, M. Plumlee
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 32 | 24 | 10-16 | 4-5 | — | -3 | 6 | 5 | |
| 25 | 15 | 6-8 | — | 3-3 | +6 | 6 | 0 | |
| 24 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-2 | — | 0 | 4 | 1 | |
| 24 | 6 | 3-12 | 0-4 | — | -12 | 6 | 3 | |
| 29 | 11 | 5-17 | 1-8 | 0-2 | -19 | 2 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 6 | 0 | — | — | — | -16 | 2 | 1 | |
| 21 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | -21 | 1 | 4 | |
| 26 | 12 | 6-11 | 0-2 | — | -20 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 18 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 8-8 | -19 | 7 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | +2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | +3 | 1 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-2 | — | — | +4 | 2 | 0 | |
| Team | 99 | 40-93 | 5-27 | 14-18 | 38 | 20 | ||
| DNP: B. Bogdanovic | ||||||||
DNP: B. Bogdanovic
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
53
FG %
43
30
Ast
20
Season series
SA wins series 3-0
LAC112@SA116SA119@LAC115SA118@LAC99todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LAC -2.5
Between — and 5
Total
231.5
Standard · +5.5 vs avg
Moneyline
SA+12045%LAC-14259%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
2.5
0.0 since open
Total
231.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 7pp · 4th Quarter · 11:25
SAD. Fox
GGame leader · 29 min
22 PTS · 8 REB · 5 AST
LACK. Leonard
FGame leader · 32 min30+ minutes, 0 turnovers
24 PTS · 6 REB · 5 AST
How it ended
SA beat LAC 118-99. D. Fox led with 22 PTS, 8 REB, 5 AST. SA outscored the other side 35-19 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LAC vs SA
Starters vs bench
production by unitSAstarters 65% of ptsStarters(5)
77 PTS · 36 REB · 21 AST
GS 68
Bench(8)
41 PTS · 12 REB · 9 AST
GS 32
LACstarters 61% of ptsStarters(5)
60 PTS · 24 REB · 12 AST
GS 45
Bench(8)
39 PTS · 14 REB · 8 AST
GS 26
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactLuke Kornet · makes free throw 1 of 2
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA | 33 | 35 | 19 | 31 | 118 |
| LAC | 25 | 19 | 34 | 21 | 99 |
Period scoring
SA won 3 · LAC won 1
Q1
Fox 8
Leonard 11
Q2
Fox 10
Garland 6
Q3
Champagnie 5
Mathurin 10
Q4
Castle 10
Miller 6
Shooting comparison
53%
47-88
FG
43%
40-93
39%
12-31
3PT
19%
5-27
86%
12-14
FT
78%
14-18
Play-by-play · 467 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
SA 118·LAC 99
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
SA 118·LAC 99
- Q4·6.7
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
SA 118·LAC 99
- Q4·7.6
Bismack Biyombo blocks Kobe Sanders's tip shot
·
SA 118·LAC 99
- Q4·8.6
Kobe Sanders offensive rebound
SA 118·LAC 99
- Q4·9.6
Cam Christie misses layup
SA 118·LAC 99
- Q4·16.5
shot clock turnover
SA 118·LAC 99
- Q4·40.6
Kobe Sanders makes free throw 1 of 1
SA 118·LAC 99
- Q4·40.6
Bismack Biyombo shooting foul
SA 118·LAC 98
- Q4·40.6
Kobe Sanders makes driving layup
SA 118·LAC 98
- Q4·44.7
TyTy Washington Jr. defensive rebound
SA 118·LAC 96
- Q4·48.8
Jordan McLaughlin misses 12-foot pullup jump shot
SA 118·LAC 96
- Q4·57.4
TyTy Washington Jr. personal foul
SA 118·LAC 96
- Q4·1:17
Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
SA 118·LAC 96
- Q4·1:19
TyTy Washington Jr. misses driving floating jump shot
SA 118·LAC 96
- Q4·1:40
Jordan McLaughlin makes 11-foot driving floating jump shot
SA 118·LAC 96
- Q4·1:58
Kelly Olynyk defensive rebound
SA 116·LAC 96
- Q4·2:02
Kobe Sanders misses 23-foot three point jumper
SA 116·LAC 96
- Q4·2:11
Harrison Ingram makes driving layup (Jordan McLaughlin assists)
·
SA 116·LAC 96
- Q4·2:32
Kobe Sanders makes free throw 2 of 2
SA 114·LAC 96
- Q4·2:32
Clippers offensive team rebound
SA 114·LAC 95
- Q4·2:32
Kobe Sanders misses free throw 1 of 2
SA 114·LAC 95
- Q4·2:32
Carter Bryant shooting foul
SA 114·LAC 95
- Q4·2:45
Harrison Ingram traveling turnover
SA 114·LAC 95
- Q4·2:48
Cam Christie lost ball turnover (Jordan McLaughlin steals)
·
SA 114·LAC 95
- Q4·2:50
Cam Christie defensive rebound
SA 114·LAC 95
- Q4·2:53
Kelly Olynyk misses 27-foot three point jumper
SA 114·LAC 95
- Q4·3:09
Harrison Ingram enters the game for Harrison Barnes
·
SA 114·LAC 95
- Q4·3:09
Bismack Biyombo enters the game for Julian Champagnie
·
SA 114·LAC 95
- Q4·3:09
Kelly Olynyk enters the game for Dylan Harper
·
SA 114·LAC 95
Team stats
SA
Away
Stat
LAC
Home
47-88
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
40-93
53
FG %
43
12-31
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
5-27
12-14
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
14-18
30
Assists
20
14
Turnovers
10
Betting line
LAC -2.5·O/U 231.5·SA +120/LAC -142
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 8 players in cohort
Luke KornetSA · CTS%68.797- De'Aaron FoxSA · GDRIVES14.896
Stephon CastleSA · GTOUCHES71.591
Devin VassellSA · GDEFL2.583
Keldon JohnsonSA · FTS%61.376
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · SA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LAC vs SA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
180
projections · 145 high confidence
Points
- Kawhi LeonardLAC25.5± 4.3high
- Victor WembanyamaSA25.2± 4.8high
- Darius GarlandLAC19.0± 5.5high
Rebounds
- Victor WembanyamaSA9.9± 3.2high
- Kawhi LeonardLAC6.5± 1.4high
- John CollinsLAC5.8± 2.5high
Assists
- Darius GarlandLAC6.3± 2.3high
- De'Aaron FoxSA6.1± 1.3high
- Stephon CastleSA6.1± 1.7high
Blocks
- Victor WembanyamaSA3.0± 1.1high
- Brook LopezLAC1.3± 1.4high
- Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC1.3± 1.5high
Steals
- Kris DunnLAC1.6± 1.1high
- De'Aaron FoxSA1.4± 1.0high
- Kawhi LeonardLAC1.3± 0.9high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
SA
league avg
LAC
55.3%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶55.9%
47.7%
FG%
47.0
▶48.5%
118.2
PPG
114.9
113.9
27.3
Assists / G
25.0
23.8
12.8
Turnovers / G
14.0
13.6