NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+54NY

BKN

12-30

66120

26-18

NBAWed, Jan 21FinalSeriesNY leads series 3-0VegasNY -12.5

BKN · top performer

Ziaire Williams

F · #1

7.7Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NY · top performer

Landry Shamet

G · #44

19.9Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowBKN ↔ NY

Biggest swing: 5pp · 1st Quarter · 6:59

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
M. Porter Jr.F · #17	26	12	4-14	3-9	1-1	-26	6	1
N. ClowneyF · #21	23	8	3-7	2-4	—	-19	4	0
N. ClaxtonC · #33	23	4	1-5	—	2-4	-25	4	1
D. PowellG · #4	25	6	2-9	0-4	2-2	-26	1	3
E. DeminG · #8	21	6	2-7	2-6	—	-18	1	3
Bench
J. WilsonF · #22	11	0	0-1	0-1	0-2	-14	2	1
Z. WilliamsF · #1	19	11	5-10	1-3	—	-25	1	0
D. WolfF · #2	12	3	1-4	1-2	—	-13	2	0
D. SharpeC · #20	24	6	2-5	0-2	2-2	-36	2	1
T. MannG · #14	11	2	1-5	0-1	—	-14	0	0
T. MartinG · #13	11	3	1-3	1-2	—	-14	2	0
C. ThomasG · #24	16	5	1-6	1-5	2-2	-20	1	2
N. TraoreG · #88	19	0	0-3	0-1	—	-20	1	3
Team		66	23-79	11-40	9-13		27	15

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	30	5	2-4	—	1-2	+28	5	3
K. TownsC · #32	20	14	5-8	2-3	2-2	+21	8	3
J. HartG · #3	25	11	5-5	1-1	—	+19	9	3
M. BridgesG · #25	25	11	5-9	1-3	—	+18	4	4
J. BrunsonG · #11	31	20	8-17	1-8	3-4	+27	4	5
Bench
G. YabuseleF · #28	11	2	1-3	0-2	—	+9	1	0
P. DadietF · #4	7	0	—	—	—	+6	0	1
M. DiawaraF · #51	8	7	2-4	1-1	2-2	+8	3	1
M. RobinsonC · #23	17	7	3-3	—	1-2	+20	7	0
A. HukportiC · #55	11	2	1-2	—	—	+24	5	0
J. ClarksonG · #00	12	3	1-4	0-2	1-2	+22	3	2
L. ShametG · #44	15	18	6-7	6-6	—	+23	1	2
M. McBrideG · #2	19	14	5-10	3-4	1-2	+34	6	4
T. KolekG · #13	10	6	2-4	1-2	1-1	+11	0	0
Team		120	46-80	16-32	12-17		56	28

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

BKN

Away

Stat

Home

23-79

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

46-80

FG %

11-40

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

16-32

9-13

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

12-17

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

NY leads series 3-0

Nov 9

BKN98@

NY134

Nov 25

NY113@

BKN100

Jan 22

BKN66@

NY120today

Mar 20

NY93@

BKN92

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -12.5

Between 10 and —

Total

219.5

Standard · -6.5 vs avg

Moneyline

BKN+45518%

NY-62586%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -12.5↗SpreadBet NY -12.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

12.5

0.0 since open

Total

219.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat BKN 120-66. L. Shamet led with 18 PTS, 1 REB, 2 AST. NY outscored the other side 32-10 in the 4th quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs BKN

Starters vs bench

production by unit

BKNstarters 55% of pts

Starters(5)

36 PTS · 16 REB · 8 AST

GS 19

Bench(8)

30 PTS · 11 REB · 7 AST

GS 7

NYstarters 51% of pts

Starters(5)

61 PTS · 30 REB · 18 AST

GS 53

Bench(9)

59 PTS · 26 REB · 10 AST

GS 62

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
BKN	20	18	18	10	66
NY	38	22	28	32	120

Period scoring

BKN won 0 · NY won 4

Demin 6

Brunson 11

Jr. 6

Towns 25

Williams 7

Brunson 8

Martin 3

Shamet 9

BKN

Shooting comparison

BKN

29%

23-79

57%

46-80

28%

11-40

3PT

50%

16-32

69%

9-13

71%

12-17

Play-by-play · 420 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
BKN 66·NY 120
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
BKN 66·NY 120
Q4·8.5
Danny Wolf makes 25-foot three point jumper (Nolan Traore assists)
·
BKN 66·NY 120
Q4·20.1
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
BKN 63·NY 120
Q4·24.5
Tyler Kolek misses 7-foot pullup jump shot
BKN 63·NY 120
Q4·45.3
Terance Mann makes layup (Jalen Wilson assists)
·
BKN 63·NY 120
Q4·57.9
Nets Full timeout
BKN 61·NY 120
Q4·1:09
Mohamed Diawara makes tip shot
BKN 61·NY 120
Q4·1:09
Mohamed Diawara offensive rebound
BKN 61·NY 118
Q4·1:09
Mohamed Diawara misses tip shot
BKN 61·NY 118
Q4·1:09
Mohamed Diawara offensive rebound
BKN 61·NY 118
Q4·1:10
Mohamed Diawara misses driving layup
BKN 61·NY 118
Q4·1:30
Jordan Clarkson defensive rebound
BKN 61·NY 118
Q4·1:33
Jalen Wilson misses 27-foot three point jumper
BKN 61·NY 118
Q4·1:54
Jordan Clarkson makes free throw 2 of 2
BKN 61·NY 118
Q4·1:54
Knicks offensive team rebound
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·1:54
Jordan Clarkson misses free throw 1 of 2
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·1:54
Jalen Wilson shooting foul
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:08
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:10
Jalen Wilson misses free throw 2 of 2
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:10
Nolan Traore enters the game for Drake Powell
·
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:10
Danny Wolf enters the game for Day'Ron Sharpe
·
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:10
Nets offensive team rebound
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:10
Jalen Wilson misses free throw 1 of 2
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:10
Tyler Kolek shooting foul
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:15
Jalen Wilson defensive rebound
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:17
Ariel Hukporti misses 8-foot two point shot
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:24
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:27
Terance Mann misses 24-foot three point step back jumpshot
BKN 61·NY 117
Q4·2:53
Ariel Hukporti makes 1-foot dunk (Pacome Dadiet assists)
·
BKN 61·NY 117

Betting line

NY -12.5·O/U 219.5·BKN +455/NY -625

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks held off Brooklyn Nets, 120–66. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

NY -12.5 cashed (won by 54). Total stayed UNDER 219.5 by 33.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
OG AnunobyNY · F
CONT8.496
Michael Porter Jr.BKN · F
USG%29.995
Ziaire WilliamsBKN · F
DEFL3.295

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · BKN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NY vs BKN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

155

projections · 135 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Michael Porter Jr.BKN
22.7± 6.2high
OG AnunobyNY
18.6± 7.0high

Rebounds

Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high
Julius RandleBKN
7.2± 2.1high
Michael Porter Jr.BKN
6.9± 5.2high

Assists

Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Josh HartNY
4.6± 1.9high
Ben SarafBKN
3.7± 1.9high

Blocks

OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high
Josh MinottBKN
0.9± 1.2high
Trevon ScottBKN
0.8± 1.3low

Steals

Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high
Josh MinottBKN
1.3± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

BKN

league avg

52.0%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

55.9%

44.3%

FG%

47.0

▶

48.0%

105.9

PPG

114.9

▶

116.4

25.0

Assists / G

25.0

▶

27.0

15.0

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

12.7

Data via ESPN · hoopR