• Home
  • Scores
  • Live
  • Tonight's picks
Live · 5
  • MLBBot 4
    ATL 2@CIN 2
    +5.8pphigh
  • MLBBot 4
    CHC 0@STL 1
    +28.4ppmedium
  • NBA10:32 - 1st
    SA 6@OKC 2
    -12.9ppmedium
  • WNBA5:20 - 1st
    IND 9@POR 10
    +0.0ppmedium
  • WNBA1:02 - 4th
    LA 76@CON 81
    +50.2pppeak
Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
  • NBA logo
  • NHL logo
  • WNBA logo
  • MLB logo
  • UFC logo
  • NFL logo
THE ONE Analytics
Beta
MLB logoMLBHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersLeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
FINAL+1TEX
CLE

CLE

64-63

3
4
TEX

TEX

64-66

Globe Life Field · Arlington, Texas
26,729 attended

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

TEX wins

CLE 3 · TEX 4 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked TEX +4pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
CLE0100000203
TEX0000110024

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →
Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

↳ Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

Build your edge. Every week.

Weekly research digest

One email per week · unsubscribe anytime

THE ONE Analytics

Elite sports analytics across NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball. Statcast-style advanced metrics, AI-graded prop analysis, and a model edge against Vegas refreshed every night.

6 leagues live · model running
Beta · every feature free

Sports

  • NFL
  • WNBA
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • CBB
  • MLB
  • NHL
  • UFC
  • Soccer
  • Horse Racing

Product

  • Features
  • Sports coverage
  • Best bets
  • Live games
  • Futures
  • 2026 Draft Big Board
  • Cross-sport rankings
  • Model accuracy
  • Yesterday's recap
  • NFL player directory
  • NBA head-to-head
  • Box scores · cross-sport
  • Sportsbooks by state
  • My bets
  • Methodology
  • Glossary
  • Pricing

Company

  • About
  • Notes
  • Partners
  • Press kit
  • Roadmap
  • Changelog
  • Brand kit
  • Sign in

Legal

  • Terms of Service
  • Betting Terms
  • Privacy Policy
  • Responsible Gambling
21+

Analytics for entertainment + research. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.

Resources →

© 2026 The One Analytics. All rights reserved. · [email protected]

Analytical research only · not gambling advice · bet responsibly

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

59%Last 7 · 68-47
62%Last 30 · 331-206
Receipts →
MLB·Fri, Aug 22·Final/SeriesTEX wins series 3-0

Recap · MLB

Texas Rangers held off Cleveland Guardians, 4–3. It came down to the final possession.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CLE · top performer

CLE
Daniel Schneemann

Daniel Schneemann

CF

0.667OPS

3-1

AB-H

0

R

0

RBI

TEX · top performer

TEX
Wyatt Langford

Wyatt Langford

LF

1.750OPS

4-2

AB-H

2

R

1

RBI

MLB · Cleveland Guardians at Texas Rangers · final

MLB · Box scoreSTATCAST

Final
CLE64-63
3
4
TEX64-66
CLE64-63·TEX64-66
CLE

CLE

64-63

3
 Batting
PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK
S. KwanS. Kwan★CF
1-44010000
SPRINT26.530
D. SchneemannD. Schneemann★CF
1-33010001
J. RamirezJ. Ramirez★3B
1-44012000
SPRINT27.251
K. ManzardoK. Manzardo★1B
1-44010002
C. SantanaC. Santana★1B
1-44110003
C. KayfusC. Kayfus★LF
1-33011001
G. AriasG. Arias★SS
0-44000004
B. NaylorB. Naylor★C
0-22000000
B. RocchioB. Rocchio★SS
1-33110001
SPRINT27.354
A. MartinezA. MartinezLF
0-11000001
N. JonesN. JonesRF
0-11100000
Team7-33333730013
 Pitching
PlayerIPHRERBBKHR
S. CecconiS. Cecconi★SP
6.0422032
M. FestaM. FestaRP
1.0000020
H. GaddisH. GaddisRP
1.0000000
Team8.0744052
TEX

TEX

64-66

4
 Batting
PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK
J. SmithJ. Smith★2B
0-44000001
W. LangfordW. Langford★LF
2-44221100
SPRINT2872
C. SeagerC. Seager★SS
1-44111000
SPRINT24.96
J. PedersonJ. Pederson★DH
2-44021000
SPRINT25.716
K. HigashiokaK. Higashioka★C
0-33000001
R. TellezR. Tellez★1B
1-33111101
J. JungJ. Jung★3B
0-33000001
E. DuranE. Duran★2B
1-33010000
SPRINT28.891
A. OsunaA. Osuna★LF
0-33000001
Team7-3131474205
 Pitching
PlayerIPHRERBBKHR
N. EovaldiN. Eovaldi★SP
7.0411090
P. MatonP. MatonRP
1.0100030
R. GarciaR. GarciaRP
1.0000010
Team9.07330130

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

7

Hits

7

3

Runs

4

0

Errors

0

Current series

TEX wins series 3-0

Aug 23CLECLE3@TEXTEX4today
Aug 23CLECLE0@TEXTEX10
Aug 24CLECLE0@TEXTEX5

Season series

TEX leads series 1-0

Aug 23CLECLE3@TEXTEX4today
Aug 23CLECLE0@TEXTEX10
Aug 24CLECLE0@TEXTEX5
Sep 26TEXTEX7@CLECLE3
Sep 27TEXTEX2@CLECLE3
Sep 28TEXTEX8@CLECLE9

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCLE ↔ TEX

Biggest swing: 38pp · Top 8th Inning

CLECLE
D. Schneemann

D. Schneemann

CF

Batter of the game

1-for-3 · 0.667 OPS

S. Cecconi

S. Cecconi

SP

Starting pitcher

6.0 IP · 3 K · 2 ER · 4 H

TEXTEX
W. Langford

W. Langford

LF

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.750 OPS

N. Eovaldi

N. Eovaldi

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

7.0 IP · 9 K · 1 ER · 4 H

How it ended

TEX beat CLE 4-3. Ram's play in the top 8th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (38pp).

Win probability

TEX vs CLE

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
TEXBottom 6th Inning · 1-2
+20pp→ 75% WP

Langford · homered to left center (398 feet).

CLETop 8th Inning · 3-2
+38pp→ 84% WP

Ram · írez doubled to right, Jones scored and Rocchio scored, Kwan to third.

TEXBottom 9th Inning · 3-3
+33pp→ 80% WP

Seager · singled to center, Langford scored, Seager to second.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
CLE0100000203
TEX0000110024

Period scoring

CLE won 2 · TEX won 3

0
0

Inn 1

1
0

Inn 2

Kayfus 1

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
1

Inn 5

Tellez 1

0
1

Inn 6

Langford 1

0
0

Inn 7

2
0

Inn 8

Ram 2

0
2

Inn 9

Seager 1

CLE
TEX

Play-by-play · 512 plays

period
event
player
  1. B9

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 4

  2. B9

    Pederson doubled to right, Seager scored.BIG MOMENT

    · ·

    CLE 3·TEX 4

    +20pp

  3. B9

    Pitch 1 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    CLE 3·TEX 4

  4. B9

    Cade Smith pitches to Joc Pederson

    · ·

    CLE 3·TEX 4

  5. B9

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 3

  6. B9

    Seager singled to center, Langford scored, Seager to second.BIG MOMENT

    · ·

    CLE 3·TEX 3

    +33pp

  7. B9

    Pitch 1 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    CLE 3·TEX 3

  8. B9

    Cade Smith pitches to Corey Seager

    · ·

    CLE 3·TEX 3

  9. B9

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  10. B9

    Langford doubled to center.BIG MOMENT

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

    +27pp

  11. B9

    Pitch 5 : Ball In Play

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  12. B9

    Pitch 4 : Ball 2

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  13. B9

    Pitch 3 : Ball 1

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  14. B9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 2 Swinging

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  15. B9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  16. B9

    Cade Smith pitches to Wyatt Langford

    · ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  17. B9

    Smith relieved Gaddis

    · ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  18. B9

    Bottom of the 9th inning

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  19. M9

    Middle of the 9th inning

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  20. T9

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  21. T9

    Jones flied out to center.

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  22. T9

    Pitch 7 : Ball In Play

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  23. T9

    Pitch 6 : Ball 3

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  24. T9

    Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Foul

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  25. T9

    Pitch 4 : Ball 2

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  26. T9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  27. T9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Swinging

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  28. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  29. T9

    Robert Garcia pitches to Nolan Jones

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

  30. T9

    ·

    CLE 3·TEX 2

Team stats

CLE

Away

Stat

TEX

Home

3

Runs

4

7

Hits

7

0

Errors

0

11

TB

16

0

HR

2

0

BB

0

13

K

5

14

LOB

5

STATCAST · Tonight’s standouts

2 of 13 players in cohort
  • Ezequiel DuranTEX · 2B
    SPRINT28.891
  • Wyatt LangfordTEX · LF
    SPRINT2872

Player projections

TEX vs CLE.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 80 high confidence

Strikeouts

  • Gavin WilliamsCLE
    7.2± 3.6low
  • Parker MessickCLE
    6.4± 2.1low
  • Jacob deGromTEX
    6.3± 3.6low

Hits

  • Travis BazzanaCLE
    1.1± 0.9high
  • Josh JungTEX
    1.1± 0.9high
  • Brayan RocchioCLE
    1.0± 1.1high

Total bases

  • Travis BazzanaCLE
    2.0± 2.1high
  • Brandon NimmoTEX
    1.9± 2.4high
  • Joc PedersonTEX
    1.9± 3.0high

RBIs

  • Ezequiel DuranTEX
    0.9± 1.4high
  • Brandon NimmoTEX
    0.6± 1.1high
  • Jake BurgerTEX
    0.6± 0.7high

Earned runs

  • Slade CecconiCLE
    3.0± 2.5low
  • Jack LeiterTEX
    3.0± 2.4low
  • Tanner BibeeCLE
    2.7± 3.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

54.7%

ensemble · TEX favored

  • Elo Static

    54.0%

    P(TEX win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Pitching

    57.1%

    P(TEX win)

    33%

    weight

  • Bullpen Park

    54.6%

    P(TEX win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

1.34 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

91% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 999 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year + total_runs

  • Sep 9, 25sim 96
    232
    1(H)3
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
  • Jul 26, 25sim 96
    53
    7(H)5
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
  • Sep 23, 25sim 95
    300
    1(H)6
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
  • Aug 23, 25sim 95
    50
    13(H)10
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
  • Aug 31, 25sim 95
    285
    21(H)1
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
  • Sep 10, 25sim 95
    295
    26(H)3
    EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs