Mar 2, 26sim 98
54
27(H)2
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+1NJ
BOS
37-23-7
34
NJ
34-31-2
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
ew Jersey Devils held off Boston Bruins, 4–3 in overtime.
BOS +1.5 cashed (NJ won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
BOS · top performer
David Pastrnak
RW · #88
2Points
2
G
0
A
—
SOG
NJ · top performer
Jack Hughes
C · #86
3Points
0
G
3
A
—
SOG
NHL · Boston Bruins at New Jersey Devils · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final / OT
BOS37-23-7
34
NJ34-31-2
BOS37-23-7NJ34-31-2
BOS
37-23-7
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
NJ
34-31-2
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
18
PIM
20
Season series
Series tied 1-1
Dec 7NJ1@BOS4
NJ1@BOS4Mar 16BOS3@NJ4today
BOS3@NJ4todayApr 14NJ0@BOS4
NJ0@BOS4Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NJ -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
BOS+10549%NJ-12556%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 11 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
NJ beat BOS 4-3.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| NJ | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Period scoring
BOS won 1 · NJ won 2
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
1
3
0
1
OT
BOS
NJ
Play-by-play · 357 plays
period
event
player
- OT·4:53
Game End
BOS 3·NJ 4
- OT·4:53
End of OT
BOS 3·NJ 4
- OT·4:53
Paul Cotter Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Jack Hughes (34), Dougie Hamilton (21)
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 4
- OT·4:51
David Pastrnak hit Jack Hughes
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·4:44
Charlie McAvoy Wrist Shot Hit Right Post
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·4:04
Giveaway by Jack Hughes
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·3:51
Jack Hughes Snap Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·3:36
Giveaway by Jack Hughes
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·3:29
Takeaway by Jesper Bratt
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·3:27
Nico Hischier shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·3:22
Takeaway by Elias Lindholm
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·2:43
Elias Lindholm hit Timo Meier
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·2:40
Simon Nemec shot blocked by Fraser Minten
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·2:35
Arseny Gritsyuk Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·2:12
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Mason Lohrei
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·2:00
David Pastrnak Slap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·1:17
Luke Hughes Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·0:51
Jesper Bratt Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·0:00
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Pavel Zacha
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
BOS 3·NJ 3
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BOS 3·NJ 3
- 3rd·19:31
Cody Glass faceoff won against Pavel Zacha
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- 3rd·19:31
Hand Pass
BOS 3·NJ 3
- 3rd·19:23
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- 3rd·19:23
Puck in Netting
BOS 3·NJ 3
- 3rd·18:41
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Tanner Jeannot
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- 3rd·18:34
Fraser Minten faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- 3rd·18:34
Goalie Stopped
BOS 3·NJ 3
- 3rd·18:32
Morgan Geekie Tip-In saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
- 3rd·18:27
Elias Lindholm Tip-In Wide Right
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
Team stats
BOS
Away
Stat
NJ
Home
22
Shots
34
0.0
PCT
0.0
18
PIM
20
37
Faceoffs W
34
19
Blocks
9
18
Giveaways
19
6
Takeaways
6
Betting line
NJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS +105/NJ -125
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · CSKATE MPH23.092
Morgan GeekieBOS · CSHOT MPH88.989
Jonathan AspirotBOS · DSHOT MPH94.081
Tanner JeannotBOS · LWSHOT MPH86.679
Elias LindholmBOS · CSHOT MPH86.478
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · NJ favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
NJ vs BOS.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
141
projections · 120 high confidence
Shots on goal
- Jack HughesNJ4.3± 1.7high
- Timo MeierNJ3.3± 3.0high
- David PastrnakBOS3.2± 2.2high
Goals
- Morgan GeekieBOS0.6± 0.9high
- Jack HughesNJ0.6± 0.8high
- Dawson MercerNJ0.4± 0.7high
Points
- Jack HughesNJ1.6± 1.7high
- David PastrnakBOS1.1± 1.1high
- Jesper BrattNJ1.0± 1.7high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands