NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1NJ

BOS

37-23-7

34-31-2

NHLMon, Mar 16FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNJ -125

BOS · top performer

David Pastrnak

RW · #88

2Points

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

Paul Cotter

LW · #47

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. ArvidssonLW · #71	0	1	-1	0	0	0	0	15:16
M. GeekieC · #39	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	16:23
T. JeannotLW · #84	0	0	-1	0	3	0	0	10:39
M. KastelicC · #47	0	0	-1	1	1	0	12	8:50
M. KhusnutdinovC · #92	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	19:56
S. KuralyC · #52	0	0	-1	4	0	0	0	10:50
E. LindholmC · #28	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	20:38
F. MintenC · #93	0	0	2	3	1	1	0	18:13
C. MittelstadtC · #11	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	15:24
D. PastrnakRW · #88	2	0	1	4	2	1	2	24:03
A. SteevesC · #21	0	0	0	1	6	1	0	11:34
P. ZachaC · #18	1	0	-1	1	2	1	0	18:54

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AspirotD · #45	0	0	-1	1	0	2	2	16:15
H. JokiharjuD · #20	0	1	1	0	1	3	0	19:14
H. LindholmD · #27	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	22:00
M. LohreiD · #6	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	22:07
C. McAvoyD · #73	0	1	-2	2	0	3	2	20:55
N. ZadorovD · #91	0	0	1	2	3	2	0	20:07

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. KorpisaloG · #70	34	4	30	.882	64:14

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. BjugstadC · #72	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	7:42
J. BrattLW · #63	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	22:38
C. BrownRW · #16	1	1	2	3	1	0	2	19:50
P. CotterLW · #47	2	0	1	2	3	0	0	9:18
C. GlassC · #12	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	15:26
A. GritsyukRW · #81	0	0	-1	2	2	0	0	11:17
L. HameenahoRW · #29	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	9:16
N. HischierC · #13	0	0	-1	2	0	0	2	22:03
J. HughesC · #86	0	3	2	4	0	2	0	24:16
T. MeierRW · #28	0	0	-1	4	1	1	0	17:56
D. MercerC · #91	0	0	-2	1	0	0	2	19:07
M. TsyplakovRW · #42	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	7:39

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. DillonD · #5	0	1	1	0	3	1	5	15:48
D. HamiltonD · #7	0	1	0	3	1	1	0	26:19
L. HughesD · #43	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	22:35
J. KovacevicD · #8	0	0	0	2	1	1	7	16:10
S. NemecD · #17	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	19:48
J. SiegenthalerD · #71	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	21:31

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. MarkstromG · #25	22	3	19	.864	64:53

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 7

NJ1@

BOS4

Mar 16

BOS3@

NJ4today

Apr 14

NJ0@

BOS4

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOS+10549%

NJ-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 25 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat BOS 4-3. P. Cotter led the way — 2 G · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
BOS	2	0	1	0	3
NJ	0	2	1	1	4

Period scoring

BOS won 1 · NJ won 2

BOS

Play-by-play · 357 plays

period

event

player

OT·4:53
Game End
BOS 3·NJ 4
OT·4:53
End of OT
BOS 3·NJ 4
OT·4:53
Paul Cotter Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Jack Hughes (34), Dougie Hamilton (21)
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 4
OT·4:51
David Pastrnak hit Jack Hughes
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·4:44
Charlie McAvoy Wrist Shot Hit Right Post
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·4:04
Giveaway by Jack Hughes
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·3:51
Jack Hughes Snap Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·3:36
Giveaway by Jack Hughes
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·3:29
Takeaway by Jesper Bratt
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·3:27
Nico Hischier shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·3:22
Takeaway by Elias Lindholm
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·2:43
Elias Lindholm hit Timo Meier
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·2:40
Simon Nemec shot blocked by Fraser Minten
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·2:35
Arseny Gritsyuk Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·2:12
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Mason Lohrei
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·2:00
David Pastrnak Slap Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·1:17
Luke Hughes Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·0:51
Jesper Bratt Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·0:00
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Pavel Zacha
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
BOS 3·NJ 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BOS 3·NJ 3
3rd·19:31
Cody Glass faceoff won against Pavel Zacha
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
3rd·19:31
Hand Pass
BOS 3·NJ 3
3rd·19:23
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
3rd·19:23
Puck in Netting
BOS 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:41
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Tanner Jeannot
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:34
Fraser Minten faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:34
Goalie Stopped
BOS 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:32
Morgan Geekie Tip-In saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
BOS 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:27
Elias Lindholm Tip-In Wide Right
· ·
BOS 3·NJ 3

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS +105/NJ -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils held off Boston Bruins, 4–3 in overtime.

BOS +1.5 cashed (NJ won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Connor Brown · NJD19:420.6667.5%64.9%19:42 TOI · 0.66 iXG · 67.5% CF · 64.9% xGF
David Pastrnak · BOS24:000.5951.4%58.7%24:00 TOI · 0.59 iXG · 51.4% CF · 58.7% xGF
Timo Meier · NJD17:480.4958.8%54.2%17:48 TOI · 0.49 iXG · 58.8% CF · 54.2% xGF
Paul Cotter · NJD9:240.4215.4%9.2%9:24 TOI · 0.42 iXG · 15.4% CF · 9.2% xGF
Jack Hughes · NJD24:300.3970.8%73.7%24:30 TOI · 0.39 iXG · 70.8% CF · 73.7% xGF
Fraser Minten · BOS18:180.3650.0%54.1%18:18 TOI · 0.36 iXG · 50.0% CF · 54.1% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Joonas Korpisalo · BOS30–4.882-0.3330–4 · .882 SV% · -0.33 GSAx
Jacob Markstrom · FLA19–3.864-0.6819–3 · .864 SV% · -0.68 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

52.2%

ensemble · NJ favored

Elo Static
52.2%
P(NJ win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
52.2%
P(NJ win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
52.2%
P(NJ win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Boston BruinsNew Jersey Devils

Elsewhere in the NHL