
PHI
24-19-9

CBJ
25-20-7
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
olumbus Blue Jackets held off Philadelphia Flyers, 5–3.
CBJ -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
PHI · top performer

Travis Konecny
RW · #11
3
G
0
A
—
SOG
CBJ · top performer

Charlie Coyle
C · #3
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


PHI
24-19-9
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
CBJ
25-20-7
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
10
Season series
CBJ lead series 1-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CBJ -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 9 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
CBJ beat PHI 5-3.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| CBJ | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Period scoring
PHI won 0 · CBJ won 2
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 297 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:58
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:58
Goalie Stopped
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:56
Christian Dvorak Snap Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:55
Owen Tippett Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:49
Owen Tippett Wrist Shot Hit Left Post
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:48
Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:48
Erik Gudbranson Interference against Bobby Brink
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:46
Owen Tippett Tip-In Wide Right
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:19
Jamie Drysdale Slap Shot Above Crossbar
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:11
Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:11
Goalie Stopped
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:11
Sean Couturier Snap Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:04
Giveaway by Egor Zamula
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·19:01
Miles Wood hit Travis Sanheim
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·18:54
Sean Couturier faceoff won against Isac Lundeström
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·18:54
Mathieu Olivier Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Cole Sillinger (17)
·
PHI 3·CBJ 5
- 3rd·18:52
Takeaway by Cam York
PHI 3·CBJ 4
- 3rd·18:49
Cole Sillinger shot blocked by Bobby Brink
·
PHI 3·CBJ 4
- 3rd·18:31
Cam York Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
PHI 3·CBJ 4
- 3rd·17:53
Jamie Drysdale hit Ivan Provorov
·
PHI 3·CBJ 4
- 3rd·17:34
Trevor Zegras Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
PHI 3·CBJ 4
- 3rd·17:19
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
PHI 3·CBJ 4
- 3rd·17:19
Icing
PHI 3·CBJ 4
- 3rd·17:15
Mathieu Olivier Slap Shot Wide Left
PHI 3·CBJ 4
- 3rd·17:14
Travis Konecny hit Erik Gudbranson
·
PHI 3·CBJ 4
- 3rd·17:12
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
PHI 3·CBJ 4
- 3rd·17:12
Icing
PHI 3·CBJ 4
- 3rd·17:02
Isac Lundeström faceoff won against Christian Dvorak
·
PHI 3·CBJ 4
Team stats
PHI
Away
Stat
CBJ
Home
27
Shots
31
0.0
PCT
0.0
6
PIM
10
22
Faceoffs W
36
18
Blocks
11
9
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
5
Betting line
CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·PHI -105/CBJ -115
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · DDIST MI299.999+
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RWBURSTS30199
Jamie DrysdalePHI · DSKATE MPH23.098
Zach WerenskiCBJ · DDIST MI289.198
Adam FantilliCBJ · CDIST MI256.696
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.6%
ensemble · CBJ favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-115
Close price
-115
Open no-vig
51.1%
Close no-vig
51.1%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit