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FINAL+2CBJ
PHI

PHI

24-19-9

35
CBJ

CBJ

25-20-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLWed, Jan 28FinalSeriesCBJ lead series 1-0VegasCBJ -115

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets held off Philadelphia Flyers, 5–3.

CBJ -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

PHI · top performer

PHI
Travis Konecny

Travis Konecny

RW · #11

3Points

3

G

0

A

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

CBJ
Charlie Coyle

Charlie Coyle

C · #3

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
3
5
PHI24-19-9CBJ25-20-7
PHI

PHI

24-19-9

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CBJ

CBJ

25-20-7

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

10

Season series

CBJ lead series 1-0

Jan 29PHIPHI3@CBJCBJ5today
Mar 14CBJCBJ2@PHIPHI1
Mar 24CBJCBJ3@PHIPHI2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PHIPHI-10551%
CBJCBJ-11553%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat PHI 5-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
PHI1023
CBJ2125

Period scoring

PHI won 0 · CBJ won 2

1
2

1

0
1

2

2
2

3

PHI
CBJ

Play-by-play · 297 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  3. 3rd·19:58

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Christian Dvorak

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  4. 3rd·19:58

    Goalie Stopped

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  5. 3rd·19:56

    Christian Dvorak Snap Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  6. 3rd·19:55

    Owen Tippett Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  7. 3rd·19:49

    Owen Tippett Wrist Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  8. 3rd·19:48

    Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Charlie Coyle

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  9. 3rd·19:48

    Erik Gudbranson Interference against Bobby Brink

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  10. 3rd·19:46

    Owen Tippett Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  11. 3rd·19:19

    Jamie Drysdale Slap Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  12. 3rd·19:11

    Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Sean Monahan

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  13. 3rd·19:11

    Goalie Stopped

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  14. 3rd·19:11

    Sean Couturier Snap Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  15. 3rd·19:04

    Giveaway by Egor Zamula

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  16. 3rd·19:01

    Miles Wood hit Travis Sanheim

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  17. 3rd·18:54

    Sean Couturier faceoff won against Isac Lundeström

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  18. 3rd·18:54

    Mathieu Olivier Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Cole Sillinger (17)

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 5

  19. 3rd·18:52

    Takeaway by Cam York

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

  20. 3rd·18:49

    Cole Sillinger shot blocked by Bobby Brink

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

  21. 3rd·18:31

    Cam York Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

  22. 3rd·17:53

    Jamie Drysdale hit Ivan Provorov

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

  23. 3rd·17:34

    Trevor Zegras Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

  24. 3rd·17:19

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Christian Dvorak

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

  25. 3rd·17:19

    Icing

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

  26. 3rd·17:15

    Mathieu Olivier Slap Shot Wide Left

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

  27. 3rd·17:14

    Travis Konecny hit Erik Gudbranson

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

  28. 3rd·17:12

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Christian Dvorak

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

  29. 3rd·17:12

    Icing

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

  30. 3rd·17:02

    Isac Lundeström faceoff won against Christian Dvorak

    ·

    PHI 3·CBJ 4

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

27

Shots

31

0.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

10

22

Faceoffs W

36

18

Blocks

11

9

Giveaways

12

5

Takeaways

5

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·PHI -105/CBJ -115

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
    SKATE MPH23.098
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198
  • Adam FantilliCBJ · C
    DIST MI256.696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · CBJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-115

Close price

-115

Open no-vig

51.1%

Close no-vig

51.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR