NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1NYR

BOS

30-20-3

NYR

22-25-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLMon, Jan 26FinalSeriesNYR win series 2-1VegasBOS -122

Recap · NHL

ew York Rangers held off Boston Bruins, 4–3 in overtime.

NYR +1.5 cashed (BOS lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

BOS · top performer

David Pastrnak

RW · #88

3Points

—

SOG

NYR · top performer

Will Cuylle

LW · #50

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

BOS30-20-3

NYR22-25-6

BOS30-20-3NYR22-25-6

BOS

30-20-3

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

NYR

22-25-6

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NYR win series 2-1

Nov 28

NYR6@

BOS2

Jan 10

NYR2@

BOS10

Jan 27

BOS3@

NYR4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BOS -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOS-12255%

NYR+10250%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYR beat BOS 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
BOS	1	2	0	0	3
NYR	2	0	1	1	4

Period scoring

BOS won 1 · NYR won 3

BOS

NYR

Play-by-play · 309 plays

period

event

player

OT·3:53
Game End
BOS 3·NYR 4
OT·3:53
End of OT
BOS 3·NYR 4
OT·3:53
Matthew Robertson Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Jonathan Quick (1), Vincent Trocheck (22)
· ·
BOS 3·NYR 4
OT·3:22
David Pastrnak Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
OT·3:10
Braden Schneider Slap Shot Wide Left
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
OT·2:53
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Elias Lindholm
· ·
BOS 3·NYR 3
OT·2:20
Morgan Geekie Snap Shot Wide Right
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
OT·1:49
Hampus Lindholm Snap Shot Off Crossbar
· ·
BOS 3·NYR 3
OT·1:45
Giveaway by Mika Zibanejad
BOS 3·NYR 3
OT·0:00
J.T. Miller faceoff won against Mark Kastelic
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·19:21
J.T. Miller faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·19:21
Icing
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·19:12
Morgan Geekie Tip-In Wide Left
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·19:06
David Pastrnak Slap Shot Wide Left
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·19:01
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
· ·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·19:01
Goalie Stopped
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·19:00
Marat Khusnutdinov Snap Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·18:32
Fraser Minten faceoff won against Noah Laba
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·18:32
Puck in Benches
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·18:21
Andrew Peeke Slap Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·18:09
Gabe Perreault shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
· ·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·18:08
Gabe Perreault shot blocked by Hampus Lindholm
· ·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·17:05
Takeaway by Artemi Panarin
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·17:01
Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·17:01
Goalie Stopped
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·16:58
Noah Laba Backhand saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·16:53
Brennan Othmann hit Jonathan Aspirot
·
BOS 3·NYR 3
3rd·16:19
David Pastrnak hit Braden Schneider
·
BOS 3·NYR 3

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

BOS -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS -122/NYR +102

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE

J.T. MillerNYR · LW
SHOT MPH102.699+
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
DIST MI263.494
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
SKATE MPH23.092
Noah LabaNYR · C
BURSTS17992
Alexis LafreniereNYR · LW
DIST MI231.391

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NYR favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYR win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+102

Close price

+102

Open no-vig

47.4%

Close no-vig

47.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

NYR vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

144

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

David PastrnakBOS
3.2± 2.2high
Matthew PoitrasBOS
2.7± 2.8low
Viktor ArvidssonBOS
2.3± 1.7high

Goals

Morgan GeekieBOS
0.6± 0.9high
Gabe PerreaultNYR
0.4± 1.0high
David PastrnakBOS
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Adam FoxNYR
1.2± 1.0high
David PastrnakBOS
1.1± 1.1high
J.T. MillerNYR
1.0± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands