NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1BOS

PIT

21-14-9

BOS

25-19-2

NHLSun, Jan 11FinalSeriesBOS leads series 1-0VegasPIT -120

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins held off Pittsburgh Penguins, 1–0.

BOS +1.5 cashed (PIT lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 5.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

PIT · top performer

Noel Acciari

C · #55

0Points

—

SOG

BOS · top performer

Viktor Arvidsson

LW · #71

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
N. AcciariC · #55	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	11:12
J. BrazeauRW · #16	0	0	-1	4	1	0	4	12:08
E. ChinakhovRW · #59	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	11:50
S. CrosbyC · #87	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	20:28
C. DewarC · #19	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	12:38
K. HayesRW · #13	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	10:19
B. KindelC · #81	0	0	-1	2	0	1	0	15:34
B. LizotteC · #46	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	12:39
E. MalkinC · #71	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	17:12
A. ManthaRW · #39	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	15:34
T. NovakC · #18	0	0	-1	1	0	0	2	11:36
R. RakellRW · #67	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	20:54

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
C. CliftonD · #75	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	14:09
E. KarlssonD · #65	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	23:12
B. KulakD · #77	0	0	0	3	0	2	4	20:26
K. LetangD · #58	0	0	0	1	5	2	0	23:37
R. SheaD · #5	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	17:13
P. WotherspoonD · #28	0	0	-1	1	1	3	0	18:52

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
S. SkinnerG · #74	19	1	18	.947	58:27

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
V. ArvidssonLW · #71	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	16:46
M. EyssimontC · #81	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5:48
T. JeannotLW · #84	0	0	0	6	4	2	0	12:47
M. KastelicC · #47	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	12:06
M. KhusnutdinovC · #92	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	19:32
S. KuralyC · #52	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	13:48
E. LindholmC · #28	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	21:34
F. MintenC · #93	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:38
C. MittelstadtC · #11	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	15:59
D. PastrnakRW · #88	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	22:36
A. SteevesC · #21	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	12:37
P. ZachaC · #18	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	17:33

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. AspirotD · #45	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	12:42
H. JokiharjuD · #20	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	20:43
M. LohreiD · #6	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	15:47
C. McAvoyD · #73	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	22:41
A. PeekeD · #26	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	13:30
N. ZadorovD · #91	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	24:53

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. KorpisaloG · #70	27	0	27	1.000	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

BOS leads series 1-0

Jan 11

PIT0@

BOS1today

Mar 4

PIT1@

BOS2

Mar 8

BOS4@

PIT5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PIT -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

PIT-12055%

BOS+10050%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗

Line movement · 15 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat PIT 1-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
PIT	0	0	0	0
BOS	1	0	0	1

Period scoring

PIT won 0 · BOS won 1

PIT

BOS

Play-by-play · 299 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·19:53
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Sidney Crosby
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·19:53
Icing
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·19:35
Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·19:35
High Stick
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·19:22
Kris Letang hit Elias Lindholm
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·19:10
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Sidney Crosby
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·19:10
High Stick
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·19:06
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·18:36
Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·18:36
Off-side
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·18:24
Kris Letang shot blocked by Viktor Arvidsson
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·17:12
Erik Karlsson Slap Shot Wide Left
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·16:47
Tanner Jeannot hit Ryan Shea
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·16:26
Connor Clifton hit Mark Kastelic
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·16:23
Tanner Jeannot Snap Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·16:18
Giveaway by Connor Clifton
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·16:05
Thomas Novak shot blocked by Jonathan Aspirot
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·15:40
Giveaway by Pavel Zacha
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·15:20
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·15:19
Giveaway by Nikita Zadorov
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·15:01
Kris Letang hit Viktor Arvidsson
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·14:56
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Sidney Crosby
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·14:56
Puck Frozen - Goalie
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·14:54
Kris Letang Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·14:41
Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·14:41
Puck in Netting
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·14:39
Connor Dewar shot blocked by Jonathan Aspirot
·
PIT 0·BOS 1
3rd·14:21
Erik Karlsson Slap Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
PIT 0·BOS 1

Team stats

PIT

Away

Stat

BOS

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

PIT -1.5·O/U 6.5·PIT -120/BOS +100

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Egor ChinakhovPIT · RW
SHOT MPH94.799
Erik KarlssonPIT · D
SKATE MPH22.896
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
SKATE MPH23.091
Sidney CrosbyPIT · C
SHOT MPH88.786
Ben KindelPIT · C
SHOT MPH87.581

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

56.0%

ensemble · BOS favored

Elo Static
58.7%
P(BOS win)
45%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
58.7%
P(BOS win)
10%
weight
Xg Blend
58.9%
P(BOS win)
45%
weight

Disagreement

0.10 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

99% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

2 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+100

Close price

+100

Open no-vig

47.8%

Close no-vig

47.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

BOS vs PIT.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 117 high confidence

Shots on goal

David PastrnakBOS
3.2± 2.2high
Rickard RakellPIT
3.0± 2.1high
Matthew PoitrasBOS
2.7± 2.8low

Goals

Morgan GeekieBOS
0.6± 0.9high
Evgeni MalkinPIT
0.5± 1.0high
David PastrnakBOS
0.3± 0.5high

Points

David PastrnakBOS
1.1± 1.1high
Evgeni MalkinPIT
1.1± 1.4high
Sidney CrosbyPIT
1.1± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands