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FINAL+1SJ
SJ

SJ

19-17-3

54
ANA

ANA

21-16-2

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLMon, Dec 29FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasANA -170

Recap · NHL

an Jose Sharks went into Anaheim Ducks and beat them, 5–4.

SJ +1.5 cashed (ANA lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SJ · top performer

SJ
Macklin Celebrini

Macklin Celebrini

C · #71

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

ANA · top performer

ANA
Troy Terry

Troy Terry

RW · #19

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · San Jose Sharks at Anaheim Ducks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
5
4
SJ19-17-3ANA21-16-2
SJ

SJ

19-17-3

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
ANA

ANA

21-16-2

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

4

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 12ANAANA7@SJSJ6
Dec 30SJSJ5@ANAANA4today
Apr 2ANAANA3@SJSJ4
Apr 10SJSJ1@ANAANA6

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

ANA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SJSJ+14241%
ANAANA-17063%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet ANA -1.5↗SpreadBet ANA -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SJ beat ANA 5-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
SJ2215
ANA1124

Period scoring

SJ won 2 · ANA won 1

2
1

1

2
1

2

1
2

3

SJ
ANA

Play-by-play · 317 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  3. 3rd·19:59

    Mason McTavish shot blocked by Ty Dellandrea

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  4. 3rd·19:58

    Ty Dellandrea faceoff won against Mason McTavish

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  5. 3rd·19:58

    Timeout - Home

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  6. 3rd·19:58

    Puck in Netting

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  7. 3rd·19:57

    Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Macklin Celebrini

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  8. 3rd·19:39

    Mason McTavish shot blocked by Alexander Wennberg

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  9. 3rd·19:29

    Chris Kreider hit Macklin Celebrini

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  10. 3rd·19:24

    Collin Graf shot blocked by Troy Terry

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  11. 3rd·19:11

    Collin Graf hit Cutter Gauthier

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  12. 3rd·19:08

    Mason McTavish Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  13. 3rd·19:03

    Mason McTavish faceoff won against Ty Dellandrea

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  14. 3rd·19:03

    Icing

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  15. 3rd·18:55

    Giveaway by Troy Terry

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  16. 3rd·18:53

    Beckett Sennecke Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  17. 3rd·18:27

    Jackson LaCombe shot blocked by Mario Ferraro

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  18. 3rd·18:03

    Mason McTavish Slap Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  19. 3rd·17:55

    Jackson LaCombe Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  20. 3rd·17:11

    Collin Graf hit Mason McTavish

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  21. 3rd·16:51

    Ty Dellandrea faceoff won against Mason McTavish

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  22. 3rd·16:51

    John Klingberg Tripping against Mikael Granlund

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  23. 3rd·16:42

    Cutter Gauthier shot blocked by Barclay Goodrow

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  24. 3rd·16:23

    Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by Pavel Mintyukov

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  25. 3rd·16:21

    Barclay Goodrow shot blocked by Ian Moore

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  26. 3rd·16:07

    Giveaway by Mikael Granlund

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  27. 3rd·15:58

    Macklin Celebrini faceoff won against Mikael Granlund

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  28. 3rd·15:58

    Troy Terry Goal (12) Wrist Shot, assists: Mason McTavish (15), Jackson LaCombe (17)

    · ·

    SJ 5·ANA 4

  29. 3rd·15:55

    Jackson LaCombe shot blocked by Mason McTavish

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 3

  30. 3rd·15:47

    Mason McTavish hit Shakir Mukhamadullin

    ·

    SJ 5·ANA 3

Team stats

SJ

Away

Stat

ANA

Home

13

Shots

42

0.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

4

26

Faceoffs W

32

19

Blocks

11

18

Giveaways

17

4

Takeaways

7

Betting line

ANA -1.5·O/U 6.5·SJ +142/ANA -170

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Leo CarlssonANA · C
    BURSTS4996
  • Jackson LaCombeANA · D
    DIST MI47.993
  • Cutter GauthierANA · LW
    SHOT MPH89.691
  • Alex KillornANA · LW
    SHOT MPH88.385
  • Ian MooreANA · D
    SKATE MPH22.284

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · ANA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(ANA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(ANA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(ANA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR