NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+8BOS

NYR

20-20-6

210

BOS

24-19-2

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 10FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasBOS -130

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins held off New York Rangers, 10–2.

BOS -1.5 cashed (won by 8). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 5.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYR · top performer

Mika Zibanejad

C · #93

2Points

—

SOG

BOS · top performer

David Pastrnak

RW · #88

6Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NYR20-20-6

BOS24-19-2

NYR20-20-6BOS24-19-2

NYR

20-20-6

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

BOS

24-19-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 28

NYR6@

BOS2

Jan 10

NYR2@

BOS10today

Jan 27

BOS3@

NYR4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BOS -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYR+11048%

BOS-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat NYR 10-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYR	1	1	0	2
BOS	3	4	3	10

Period scoring

NYR won 0 · BOS won 3

NYR

BOS

Play-by-play · 348 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYR 2·BOS 10
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYR 2·BOS 10
3rd·19:19
Casey Mittelstadt faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 2·BOS 10
3rd·19:19
Goalie Stopped
NYR 2·BOS 10
3rd·19:16
Alex Steeves Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Martin
·
NYR 2·BOS 10
3rd·19:05
Matthew Robertson hit Marat Khusnutdinov
·
NYR 2·BOS 10
3rd·19:04
Giveaway by Marat Khusnutdinov
NYR 2·BOS 10
3rd·18:57
Henri Jokiharju shot blocked by Matt Rempe
·
NYR 2·BOS 10
3rd·18:43
Matt Rempe hit Jonathan Aspirot
·
NYR 2·BOS 10
3rd·18:31
Jonny Brodzinski faceoff won against Fraser Minten
·
NYR 2·BOS 10
3rd·18:31
Marat Khusnutdinov Goal (9) Tip-In, assists: Henri Jokiharju (8), Fraser Minten (10)
· ·
NYR 2·BOS 10
3rd·18:24
Fraser Minten faceoff won against Jonny Brodzinski
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·18:24
Sean Kuraly Fighting against Will Cuylle
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·18:24
Will Cuylle Fighting against Sean Kuraly
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·17:33
Henri Jokiharju Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Martin
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·17:13
Viktor Arvidsson Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Martin
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·16:03
Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Noah Laba
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·16:03
Off-side
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·15:50
J.T. Miller Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·15:45
Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·15:45
Will Cuylle Boarding against Viktor Arvidsson
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·15:35
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·15:35
Puck in Crowd
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·14:58
Matthew Robertson hit Mark Kastelic
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·14:40
Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Noah Laba
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·14:40
Goalie Stopped
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·14:39
J.T. Miller Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·14:38
Matthew Robertson Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·14:27
Vincent Trocheck Wrist Shot Hit Right Post
·
NYR 2·BOS 9
3rd·14:26
Matthew Robertson shot blocked by Mark Kastelic
·
NYR 2·BOS 9

Team stats

NYR

Away

Stat

BOS

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

BOS -1.5·O/U 6.5·NYR +110/BOS -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE

J.T. MillerNYR · LW
SHOT MPH102.699+
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
DIST MI263.494
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
SKATE MPH23.092
Noah LabaNYR · C
BURSTS17992
Alexis LafreniereNYR · LW
DIST MI231.391

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · BOS favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-130

Close price

-130

Open no-vig

54.3%

Close no-vig

54.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

BOS vs NYR.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

144

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

David PastrnakBOS
3.2± 2.2high
Matthew PoitrasBOS
2.7± 2.8low
Viktor ArvidssonBOS
2.3± 1.7high

Goals

Morgan GeekieBOS
0.6± 0.9high
Gabe PerreaultNYR
0.4± 1.0high
David PastrnakBOS
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Adam FoxNYR
1.2± 1.0high
David PastrnakBOS
1.1± 1.1high
J.T. MillerNYR
1.0± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands